Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-06 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

161

Total Found

101

Shown

101

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
76	Nasim Nunez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	HOU @ WSH		Mike Burrows S vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 5.99	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	3	HOU @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final W
77	Aaron Judge ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ TB		Griffin Jax RHB vs RHP ERA 3.60	Runs Batted In	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	N/A	NYY @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final
78	Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	ARI @ SD	PH	Walker Buehler S vs RHP ERA 5.07	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	0, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	0	ARI @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final L
79	Luis Arraez	3/3	TOR @ SF		Kevin Gausman LHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.32	Hits	2.5	+320	26.2	0, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	TOR @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L
80	Garrett Mitchell	3/3	MIL @ STL	CF	Dustin May LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.55	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	2	MIL @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final W
81	Giancarlo Stanton ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ TB	PH	Griffin Jax RHB vs RHP ERA 3.60	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	N/A	NYY @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final
82	Nathan Church	3/3	MIL @ STL	CF	Shane Drohan LHB vs LHP ERA 2.97	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	MIL @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
83	Rafael Devers	3/3	TOR @ SF		Kevin Gausman LHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.32	Runs Batted In	1.5	+300	25.0	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	TOR @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L
84	Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ TB	CF	Griffin Jax LHB vs RHP ERA 3.60	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	NYY @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
85	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	ARI @ SD	DH	Walker Buehler RHB vs RHP ERA 5.07	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	2	ARI @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final W
86	Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ WSH	DH	Miles Mikolas RHB vs RHP ERA 5.78	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	0	HOU @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
87	Jake Bauers	3/3	MIL @ STL	1B	Dustin May LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.55	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	1, 0, 3	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	1	MIL @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
88	Brenton Doyle ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	COL @ LAD		Eric Lauer RHB vs LHP ERA 4.81	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	N/A	COL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final/11
89	Kyle Karros	3/3	COL @ LAD	3B	Eric Lauer RHB vs LHP ERA 4.81	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	1	COL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final/11 L
90	Matt Olson	3/3	NYM @ ATL	1B	Freddy Peralta LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.68	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	2	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final/10 W
91	Mauricio Dubon	3/3	NYM @ ATL	SS	Freddy Peralta RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 4.68	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	3, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	1	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final/10 L
92	Francisco Lindor	3/3	NYM @ ATL	SS	Reynaldo López S vs RHP Average 69% ERA 3.18	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	0	NYM @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final/10 L
93	Freddie Freeman	3/3	COL @ LAD	1B	Kyle Freeland LHB vs LHP ERA 7.46	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	1	COL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final/11 L
94	James Wood	3/3	HOU @ WSH		Mike Burrows LHB vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 5.99	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	1	HOU @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
95	Jose Altuve	3/3	HOU @ WSH	2B	Miles Mikolas RHB vs RHP ERA 5.78	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	1	HOU @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
96	Jasson Dominguez	3/3	NYY @ TB		Griffin Jax S vs RHP ERA 3.60	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	0	NYY @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
97	TJ Rumfield	3/3	COL @ LAD	1B	Eric Lauer LHB vs LHP ERA 4.81	Hits	1.5	+203	17.0	3, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	33.0%	0.3%	0	COL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final/11 L
98	Junior Caminero	3/3	NYY @ TB	3B	Cam Schlittler RHB vs RHP Ace 95% ERA 2.01	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	0	NYY @ TB 6:40 PM ET Final L
99	Ketel Marte	3/3	ARI @ SD	2B	Walker Buehler S vs RHP ERA 5.07	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	1	ARI @ SD 9:40 PM ET Final L
100	Masyn Winn	3/3	MIL @ STL		Shane Drohan RHB vs LHP ERA 2.97	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	2	MIL @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final W

Showing 76–100 of 101 plays

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