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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jul 7 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-07 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
370
Total Found
236
Shown
236
Actionable
18
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
101 Mitch Garver
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 SEA @ MIA
RHB vs RHP
Good 83%
ERA 2.58
 Hits 0.5 -104 49.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 51.0% 15.7% 0
SEA @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
102 Heriberto Hernandez 3/3 SEA @ MIA LF
RHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 4.23
 Runs Batted In 0.5 -105 48.8 2, 0, 3
2/3
66.7%
 51.2% 15.4% 1
SEA @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
103 Nathaniel Lowe
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 PHI @ CIN
LHB vs RHP
Average 68%
ERA 2.28
 Hits 0.5 -107 48.3 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 51.7% 15.0% 0
PHI @ CIN
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
104 Alex Freeland
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 COL @ LAD
S vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 6.46
 Hits 0.5 -108 48.1 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 51.9% 14.7% 3
COL @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
W
105 Donovan Walton
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 LAA @ TEX
LHB vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 3.49
 Hits 0.5 -108 48.1 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 51.9% 14.7% N/A
LAA @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
106 Evan Carter 3/3 LAA @ TEX CF
LHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 3.40
 Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
 53.5% 13.2% 0
LAA @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
107 Tyler Callihan 3/3 ATL @ PIT
LHB vs RHP
ERA 8.44
 Hits 0.5 -118 45.9 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 54.1% 12.5% 2
ATL @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
108 Alex Jackson
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 CLE @ MIN
RHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.66
 Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 54.5% 12.1% N/A
CLE @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
109 Freddy Fermin
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 ARI @ SD C TBD Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 54.5% 12.1% N/A
ARI @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
110 Pavin Smith 3/3 ARI @ SD DH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.02
 Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 54.5% 12.1% 0
ARI @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
111 Spencer Torkelson 3/3 OAK @ DET 1B
RHB vs RHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.10
 Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 54.5% 12.1% 1
ATH @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
112 Tyler Tolbert
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 KC @ NYM 2B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 5.35
 Hits 0.5 -123 44.8 5, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 55.2% 11.5% 5
KC @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
113 Nicky Lopez 3/3 LAA @ TEX 2B
LHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 3.40
 Hits 0.5 -125 44.4 1, 0, 3
2/3
66.7%
 55.6% 11.1% 1
LAA @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
W
114 Marcelo Mayer
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 BOS @ CWS TBD Hits 0.5 -130 43.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 56.5% 10.1% N/A
BOS @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
115 Patrick Bailey
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CLE @ MIN C
S vs RHP
Average 55%
ERA 3.67
 Hits 0.5 -130 43.5 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 56.5% 10.1% 0
CLE @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
116 Travis d'Arnaud
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 LAA @ TEX
RHB vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 3.49
 Hits 0.5 -130 43.5 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 56.5% 10.1% N/A
LAA @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
117 Adrian Del Castillo
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 ARI @ SD PH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.02
 Hits 0.5 -131 43.3 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 56.7% 10.0% N/A
ARI @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
118 Tsung-Che Cheng
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 BOS @ CWS TBD Hits 0.5 -132 43.1 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 56.9% 9.8% N/A
BOS @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
119 Tyrone Taylor
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 KC @ NYM
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 5%
ERA 4.56
 Hits 0.5 -134 42.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 57.3% 9.4% N/A
KC @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
120 Joey Ortiz 3/3 MIL @ STL 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.52
 Hits 0.5 -137 42.2 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
 57.8% 8.9% 2
MIL @ STL
2:15 PM ET
Final
W
121 Joey Ortiz 3/3 MIL @ STL 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.52
 Hits 0.5 -137 42.2 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
 57.8% 8.9% 2
MIL @ STL
7:45 PM ET
Final
W
122 Zach McKinstry 3/3 OAK @ DET RF
LHB vs RHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.10
 Hits 0.5 -139 41.8 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
 58.2% 8.5% 2
ATH @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
123 Chadwick Tromp
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 CHC @ BAL
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.31
 Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
 58.3% 8.3% N/A
CHC @ BAL
6:35 PM ET
Final
124 Jared Triolo
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 ATL @ PIT PH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 8.44
 Hits 0.5 -143 41.2 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 58.8% 7.8% 1
ATL @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
125 Kyle Isbel
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 KC @ NYM CF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.35
 Hits 0.5 -143 41.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 58.8% 7.8% N/A
KC @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
Showing 101–125 of 236 plays
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