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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jul 7 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-07 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
370
Total Found
236
Shown
236
Actionable
18
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
151 Will Smith
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 COL @ LAD C
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 6.46
 Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 63.6% 3.0% N/A
COL @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
152 Jeff McNeil
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 OAK @ DET
LHB vs LHP
Good 78%
ERA 3.06
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 1, 3, 0
1/3
33.3%
 14.3% 19.0% N/A
ATH @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
153 Kyle Karros 3/3 COL @ LAD 3B
RHB vs LHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.69
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 1, 3, 0
1/3
33.3%
 14.3% 19.0% 0
COL @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
154 Nolan Arenado
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 ARI @ SD 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.02
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
 14.3% 19.0% 0
ARI @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
155 Gabriel Gonzalez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 CLE @ MIN
RHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.66
 Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 64.9% 1.8% N/A
CLE @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
156 Endy Rodriguez
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 ATL @ PIT
S vs RHP
ERA 8.44
 Hits 0.5 -187 34.8 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 65.2% 1.5% N/A
ATL @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
157 Bryan Reynolds 3/3 ATL @ PIT LF
S vs RHP
ERA 8.44
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +550 34.6 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
 15.4% 17.9% 0
ATL @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
158 Cal Raleigh 3/3 SEA @ MIA DH
S vs RHP
Good 83%
ERA 2.58
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +550 34.6 1, 3, 0
1/3
33.3%
 15.4% 17.9% 1
SEA @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
159 Josh Bell 3/3 CLE @ MIN DH
S vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.66
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +550 34.6 1, 3, 0
1/3
33.3%
 15.4% 17.9% 0
CLE @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
160 Blake Dunn
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 PHI @ CIN
RHB vs RHP
Average 68%
ERA 2.28
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% N/A
PHI @ CIN
7:10 PM ET
Final
161 Randal Grichuk 3/3 BOS @ CWS LF
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.14
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% 0
BOS @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
162 Miguel Vargas 3/3 BOS @ CWS 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.14
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 33.3 0, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
 16.7% 16.7% 0
BOS @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
163 Owen Caissie
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 SEA @ MIA
LHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 4.23
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 33.3 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
 16.7% 16.7% 1
SEA @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
164 Xavier Edwards 3/3 SEA @ MIA
S vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 4.23
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 33.3 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
 16.7% 16.7% 0
SEA @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
165 Starling Marte
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 KC @ NYM
RHB vs LHP
ERA 5.35
 Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 66.7% 0.0% N/A
KC @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
166 James Wood 3/3 HOU @ WSH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 6.06
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +475 32.6 4, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
 17.4% 15.9% 1
HOU @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
167 Kody Clemens 3/3 CLE @ MIN 2B
LHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.66
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +475 32.6 1, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
 17.4% 15.9% 1
CLE @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
168 Randy Arozarena 3/3 SEA @ MIA LF
RHB vs RHP
Good 83%
ERA 2.58
 Hits 1.5 +475 32.6 1, 3, 0
1/3
33.3%
 17.4% 15.9% 2
SEA @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
169 Luis Garcia Jr. 3/3 HOU @ WSH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 6.06
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +450 31.8 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
 18.2% 15.2% 0
HOU @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
170 Shohei Ohtani 3/3 COL @ LAD DH
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 6.46
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +450 31.8 4, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
 18.2% 15.2% 1
COL @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
171 Austin Hedges
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CLE @ MIN C
RHB vs RHP
Average 55%
ERA 3.67
 Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
 20.0% 13.3% N/A
CLE @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
172 CJ Abrams 3/3 HOU @ WSH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 6.06
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +400 30.0 3, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
 20.0% 13.3% 1
HOU @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
173 Connor Wong
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 BOS @ CWS C TBD Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
 20.0% 13.3% 1
BOS @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
174 Jackson Merrill 3/3 ARI @ SD CF TBD Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
 20.0% 13.3% 1
ARI @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
175 Josh Smith 3/3 LAA @ TEX
LHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 3.40
 Hits 1.5 +400 30.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
 20.0% 13.3% 1
LAA @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 151–175 of 236 plays
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