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Strong Plays Record
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← Jul 12 →
Wins
0
Losses
4
Push
2
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-12 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
351
Total Found
285
Shown
285
Actionable
66
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
76 Coby Mayo
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 KC @ BAL
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 5%
ERA 4.56
Home Runs 0.5 +375 78.9 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
21.1% 45.6% 0
KC @ BAL
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
77 Esmerlyn Valdez 3/3 MIL @ PIT
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.15
Home Runs 0.5 +375 78.9 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
21.1% 45.6% 0
MIL @ PIT
12:15 PM ET
Final
L
78 Casey Schmitt ELITE 3/3 COL @ SF
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 6.46
Hits 0.5 -250 78.6 1, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
71.4% 28.6% 1
COL @ SF
4:05 PM ET
Final
W
79 Chandler Simpson ELITE 3/3 SEA @ TB LF
LHB vs RHP
Average 42%
ERA 3.23
Hits 0.5 -250 78.6 1, 3, 2
3/3
100.0%
71.4% 28.6% 0
SEA @ TB
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
80 Ben Rice 3/3 NYY @ WSH DH
LHB vs RHP
Average 53%
ERA 3.88
Home Runs 0.5 +350 77.8 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
22.2% 44.4% 0
NYY @ WSH
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
81 Sung-Mun Song
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TOR @ SD SS
LHB vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 4.32
Runs Batted In 0.5 +332 76.9 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
23.1% 43.5% 1
TOR @ SD
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
82 Derek Hill 3/3 PHI @ DET PH
RHB vs LHP
Good 78%
ERA 3.06
Runs Batted In 0.5 +325 76.5 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
23.5% 43.1% 0
PHI @ DET
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
83 Zach McKinstry 3/3 PHI @ DET RF
LHB vs RHP
Average 68%
ERA 2.28
Runs Batted In 0.5 +324 76.4 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
23.6% 43.1% 0
PHI @ DET
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
84 Tim Tawa 3/3 ARI @ LAD 1B
RHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 4.91
Runs Batted In 0.5 +313 75.8 2, 4, 0
2/3
66.7%
24.2% 42.5% 1
ARI @ LAD
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
85 Jake Rogers
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 PHI @ DET
RHB vs RHP
Average 68%
ERA 2.28
Runs Batted In 0.5 +300 75.0 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% N/A
PHI @ DET
1:40 PM ET
Final
86 James Wood 3/3 NYY @ WSH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 20%
ERA 4.15
Home Runs 0.5 +300 75.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 1
NYY @ WSH
1:35 PM ET
Final
W
87 Justin Crawford
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 PHI @ DET CF
LHB vs LHP
Good 78%
ERA 3.06
Runs Batted In 0.5 +300 75.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% N/A
PHI @ DET
1:40 PM ET
Final
88 Kazuma Okamoto 3/3 TOR @ SD 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.02
Home Runs 0.5 +300 75.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 0
TOR @ SD
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
89 Geraldo Perdomo 3/3 ARI @ LAD SS
S vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 4.91
Runs Batted In 0.5 +286 74.1 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
25.9% 40.8% 0
ARI @ LAD
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
90 Yordan Alvarez 3/3 HOU @ TEX LF
LHB vs LHP
Replacement 3%
ERA 4.72
Home Runs 0.5 +280 73.7 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 0
HOU @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
L
91 Cooper Pratt
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ PIT SS
RHB vs RHP
Weak 25%
ERA 3.58
Runs Batted In 0.5 +275 73.3 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
26.7% 40.0% N/A
MIL @ PIT
12:15 PM ET
Final
92 Ezequiel Duran 3/3 HOU @ TEX 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 10.22
Runs Batted In 0.5 +273 73.2 3, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
26.8% 39.9% 0
HOU @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
L
93 Chase Meidroth 3/3 OAK @ CWS 2B
RHB vs RHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.10
Runs Batted In 0.5 +266 72.7 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
27.3% 39.3% 0
ATH @ CHW
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
94 Christian Vazquez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 HOU @ TEX
RHB vs LHP
Replacement 3%
ERA 4.72
Runs Batted In 0.5 +266 72.7 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
27.3% 39.3% 0
HOU @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
L
95 J.T. Realmuto
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 PHI @ DET C
RHB vs LHP
Good 78%
ERA 3.06
Runs Batted In 0.5 +262 72.4 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
27.6% 39.0% 3
PHI @ DET
1:40 PM ET
Final
W
96 Andrés Giménez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 TOR @ SD SS
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.02
Runs Batted In 0.5 +261 72.3 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
27.7% 39.0% 0
TOR @ SD
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
97 Jose Tena
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 NYY @ WSH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 20%
ERA 4.15
Runs Batted In 0.5 +260 72.2 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 0
NYY @ WSH
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
98 Junior Caminero 3/3 SEA @ TB 3B
RHB vs RHP
Average 42%
ERA 3.23
Home Runs 0.5 +260 72.2 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 0
SEA @ TB
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
99 Sal Frelick 3/3 MIL @ PIT RF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 25%
ERA 3.58
Runs Batted In 0.5 +257 72.0 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
28.0% 38.7% 0
MIL @ PIT
12:15 PM ET
Final
L
100 Patrick Bailey
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CLE @ MIA C
S vs RHP
ERA 3.28
Runs Batted In 0.5 +250 71.4 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
28.6% 38.1% 0
CLE @ MIA
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 76–100 of 285 plays