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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jun 20 – Jul 19 →
Wins
22
Losses
61
Push
42
Win %
26.5%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-19 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
349
Total Found
267
Shown
267
Actionable
60
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 Griffin Conine ELITE 3/3 MIA @ MIL RF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.24
 Home Runs 0.5 +400 130.0 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 20.0% 80.0% 0
MIA @ MIL
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
2 Willy Adames ELITE 3/3 SF @ SEA
RHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.32
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +238 120.4 1, 4, 1
3/3
100.0%
 29.6% 70.4% 0
SF @ SEA
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
3 Garrett Mitchell ELITE 3/3 MIA @ MIL CF
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 4%
ERA 3.78
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +225 119.2 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 30.8% 69.2% 0
MIA @ MIL
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
4 Griffin Conine ELITE 3/3 MIA @ MIL RF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.24
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +221 118.8 3, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 31.2% 68.8% 0
MIA @ MIL
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
5 Isaac Collins ELITE 3/3 SD @ KC LF
S vs RHP
ERA 5.18
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +220 118.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 31.3% 68.8% 1
SD @ KC
2:10 PM ET
Final
W
6 Michael Busch ELITE 3/3 MIN @ CHC 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.57
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +204 117.1 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 32.9% 67.1% 1
MIN @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
W
7 Esmerlyn Valdez ELITE 3/3 PIT @ CLE
RHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.56
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +201 116.8 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 33.2% 66.8% 2
PIT @ CLE
1:40 PM ET
Final
W
8 Drake Baldwin ELITE 3/3 TEX @ ATL DH
LHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 4.04
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +182 114.5 1, 5, 1
3/3
100.0%
 35.5% 64.5% 2
TEX @ ATL
1:35 PM ET
Final
W
9 Lane Thomas ELITE 3/3 SD @ KC
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.18
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +159 111.4 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 38.6% 61.4% 0
SD @ KC
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
10 Shea Langeliers ELITE 3/3 WSH @ OAK
RHB vs LHP
Average 49%
ERA 2.77
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +115 103.5 3, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 46.5% 53.5% 0
WSH @ ATH
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
11 James McCann ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 STL @ ARI C
RHB vs RHP
Average 38%
ERA 3.96
 Hits 0.5 +106 101.5 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 48.5% 51.5% N/A
STL @ ARI
4:10 PM ET
Final/10
12 Patrick Bailey ELITE 3/3 PIT @ CLE C
S vs RHP
Weak 25%
ERA 3.57
 Hits 0.5 -101 99.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 50.2% 49.8% 0
PIT @ CLE
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
13 Kahlil Watson ELITE 3/3 PIT @ CLE
LHB vs RHP
Weak 25%
ERA 3.57
 Hits 0.5 -115 96.5 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 53.5% 46.5% 1
PIT @ CLE
1:40 PM ET
Final
W
14 Petey Halpin ELITE 3/3 PIT @ CLE CF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 25%
ERA 3.57
 Hits 0.5 -120 95.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 54.5% 45.5% 1
PIT @ CLE
1:40 PM ET
Final
W
15 Griffin Conine ELITE 3/3 MIA @ MIL RF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.24
 Hits 0.5 -123 94.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 55.2% 44.8% 1
MIA @ MIL
2:10 PM ET
Final
W
16 Eli White ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TEX @ ATL
RHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 4.04
 Hits 0.5 -130 93.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 56.5% 43.5% 0
TEX @ ATL
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
17 Willy Adames ELITE 3/3 SF @ SEA
RHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.32
 Hits 0.5 -130 93.5 1, 1, 3
3/3
100.0%
 56.5% 43.5% 0
SF @ SEA
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
18 Garrett Mitchell ELITE 3/3 MIA @ MIL CF
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 4%
ERA 3.78
 Hits 0.5 -131 93.3 3, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 56.7% 43.3% 0
MIA @ MIL
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
19 Luke Keaschall ELITE 3/3 MIN @ CHC RF
RHB vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 4.17
 Hits 0.5 -136 92.4 1, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 57.6% 42.4% 1
MIN @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
W
20 Tommy Edman ELITE 3/3 LAD @ NYY PH
S vs RHP
Ace 95%
ERA 2.05
 Hits 0.5 -137 92.2 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 57.8% 42.2% 1
LAD @ NYY
12:35 PM ET
Final
W
21 Tommy Edman ELITE 3/3 LAD @ NYY PH
S vs RHP
Ace 95%
ERA 2.05
 Hits 0.5 -137 92.2 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 57.8% 42.2% 1
LAD @ NYY
7:20 PM ET
Final
W
22 Mike Yastrzemski ELITE
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 TEX @ ATL LF
LHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 4.04
 Hits 0.5 -139 91.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 58.2% 41.8% N/A
TEX @ ATL
1:35 PM ET
Final
23 Bryce Eldridge ELITE 3/3 SF @ SEA
LHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.32
 Hits 0.5 -140 91.7 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 58.3% 41.7% 1
SF @ SEA
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
24 Kyle Schwarber ELITE 3/3 NYM @ PHI DH
LHB vs RHP
Average 62%
ERA 3.52
 Hits 0.5 -140 91.7 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 58.3% 41.7% 0
NYM @ PHI
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
25 Steven Kwan ELITE 3/3 PIT @ CLE LF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 25%
ERA 3.57
 Hits 0.5 -140 91.7 3, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 58.3% 41.7% 2
PIT @ CLE
1:40 PM ET
Final
W
Showing 1–25 of 267 plays
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