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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jul 14 – Jul 20 →
Wins
5
Losses
15
Push
9
Win %
25%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-20 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
348
Total Found
268
Shown
268
Actionable
58
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 Isaac Collins ELITE 3/3 SF @ KC LF
S vs RHP
ERA 5.02
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +221 118.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 31.2% 68.8% 1
SF @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
2 Michael Harris II ELITE 3/3 SD @ ATL CF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.03
 Hits 1.5 +200 116.7 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 33.3% 66.7% 1
SD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
3 Nico Hoerner ELITE 3/3 DET @ CHC 2B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 12%
ERA 4.48
 Hits 1.5 +199 116.6 2, 4, 2
3/3
100.0%
 33.4% 66.6% 2
DET @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final/10
W
4 Fernando Tatis Jr. ELITE 3/3 SD @ ATL RF
RHB vs RHP
Average 41%
ERA 4.12
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +182 114.5 4, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 35.5% 64.5% 0
SD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
5 Tyler Soderstrom ELITE 3/3 OAK @ ARI TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +181 114.4 1, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 35.6% 64.4% 0
ATH @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
6 Drake Baldwin ELITE 3/3 SD @ ATL DH
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.03
 Hits 1.5 +180 114.3 5, 2, 3
3/3
100.0%
 35.7% 64.3% 0
SD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
7 Esmerlyn Valdez ELITE 3/3 PIT @ NYY
RHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 4.15
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +165 112.3 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 37.7% 62.3% 2
PIT @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
W
8 Willi Castro ELITE 3/3 WSH @ COL
S vs LHP
ERA 4.04
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +161 111.7 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 38.3% 61.7% 3
WSH @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
W
9 Drake Baldwin ELITE 3/3 SD @ ATL DH
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.03
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +160 111.5 2, 1, 5
3/3
100.0%
 38.5% 61.5% 0
SD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
10 Michael Harris II ELITE 3/3 SD @ ATL CF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.03
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +143 108.8 1, 1, 3
3/3
100.0%
 41.2% 58.8% 1
SD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
11 Nathaniel Lowe ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CIN @ SEA
LHB vs RHP
Weak 27%
ERA 3.76
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +132 106.9 3, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 43.1% 56.9% N/A
CIN @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
12 Michael Busch ELITE 3/3 DET @ CHC 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 12%
ERA 4.48
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +130 106.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 43.5% 56.5% 1
DET @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final/10
W
13 Yordan Alvarez ELITE 3/3 MIA @ HOU LF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 24%
ERA 4.57
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +120 104.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 45.5% 54.5% 2
MIA @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
W
14 James McCann ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 OAK @ ARI C
RHB vs LHP
Replacement 3%
ERA 6.08
 Hits 0.5 +106 101.5 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 48.5% 51.5% N/A
ATH @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
15 A.J. Ewing ELITE 3/3 NYM @ MIL CF
LHB vs RHP
Ace 97%
ERA 1.62
 Hits 0.5 -109 97.8 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 52.2% 47.8% 0
NYM @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
16 Brewer Hicklen ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 SD @ ATL PR
RHB vs LHP
ERA 5.03
 Hits 0.5 -112 97.2 2, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 52.8% 47.2% N/A
SD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
17 Petey Halpin ELITE 3/3 MIN @ CLE CF
LHB vs RHP
Average 44%
ERA 2.85
 Hits 0.5 -119 95.7 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 54.3% 45.7% 3
MIN @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
18 Griffin Conine ELITE 3/3 MIA @ HOU RF
LHB vs RHP
 Hits 0.5 -125 94.4 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 55.6% 44.4% 1
MIA @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
W
19 Kahlil Watson ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 MIN @ CLE
LHB vs RHP
Average 44%
ERA 2.85
 Hits 0.5 -135 92.6 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 57.4% 42.6% N/A
MIN @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
20 Jared Triolo ELITE 3/3 PIT @ NYY PH
RHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 4.15
 Hits 0.5 -138 92.0 2, 1, 3
3/3
100.0%
 58.0% 42.0% 1
PIT @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
W
21 Mike Yastrzemski ELITE
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 SD @ ATL LF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.03
 Hits 0.5 -139 91.8 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 58.2% 41.8% N/A
SD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
22 Jazz Chisholm Jr. ELITE 3/3 PIT @ NYY PH
LHB vs RHP
Good 79%
ERA 3.49
 Hits 0.5 -140 91.7 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 58.3% 41.7% 2
PIT @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
W
23 Braden Montgomery ELITE 3/3 CWS @ TEX RF
S vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 3.49
 Hits 0.5 -145 90.8 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 59.2% 40.8% 1
CHW @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
W
24 Luke Keaschall ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 MIN @ CLE RF
RHB vs RHP
Weak 23%
ERA 3.90
 Hits 0.5 -147 90.5 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 59.5% 40.5% N/A
MIN @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
25 Hao-Yu Lee ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 DET @ CHC
Unknown
Weak 28%
ERA 5.19
 Hits 0.5 -149 90.2 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 59.8% 40.2% 1
DET @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final/10
W
Showing 1–25 of 268 plays
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