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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jul 21 →
Wins
1
Losses
3
Push
2
Win %
25%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-21 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
354
Total Found
279
Shown
279
Actionable
73
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
226 Max Kepler
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 OAK @ ARI
LHB vs RHP
ERA 6.87
 Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 63.6% 3.0% 2
ATH @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
227 Roman Anthony
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 BAL @ BOS DH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 3.61
 Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 63.6% 3.0% N/A
BAL @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
228 Travis Bazzana 3/3 MIN @ CLE 2B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 2.79
 Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 3, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
 63.6% 3.0% 1
MIN @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
229 Will Smith
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 LAD @ PHI C
RHB vs RHP
Average 68%
ERA 2.13
 Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 63.6% 3.0% N/A
LAD @ PHI
6:40 PM ET
Final
230 Riley Greene 3/3 DET @ CHC DH
LHB vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 6.45
 Hits 0.5 -176 36.2 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 63.8% 2.9% 0
DET @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
231 Javier Sanoja 3/3 MIA @ HOU SS
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.06
 Hits 0.5 -178 36.0 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 64.0% 2.6% 2
MIA @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
W
232 Trevor Larnach
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 MIN @ CLE
LHB vs LHP
Average 64%
ERA 2.73
 Hits 0.5 -178 36.0 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 64.0% 2.6% 1
MIN @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
233 Tommy White 3/3 OAK @ ARI TBD Hits 0.5 -179 35.8 4, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 64.2% 2.5% 2
ATH @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
234 Austin Riley 3/3 SD @ ATL 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.36
 Hits 0.5 -180 35.7 0, 3, 1
2/3
66.7%
 64.3% 2.4% 0
SD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
235 Ryan Jeffers
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 MIN @ CLE C
RHB vs LHP
Average 64%
ERA 2.73
 Hits 0.5 -180 35.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 64.3% 2.4% 1
MIN @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
236 Spencer Torkelson 3/3 DET @ CHC 1B
RHB vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 6.45
 Hits 0.5 -180 35.7 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
 64.3% 2.4% 0
DET @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
237 Willy Adames 3/3 SF @ KC
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.08
 Hits 0.5 -180 35.7 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 64.3% 2.4% 0
SF @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
238 A.J. Ewing 3/3 NYM @ MIL CF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.16
 Hits 0.5 -184 35.2 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
 64.8% 1.9% 1
NYM @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
239 Andy Pages 3/3 LAD @ PHI CF
RHB vs RHP
Average 68%
ERA 2.13
 Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 64.9% 1.8% 1
LAD @ PHI
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
240 Brett Sullivan
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 WSH @ COL C
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.53
 Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 64.9% 1.8% N/A
WSH @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
241 Gabriel Gonzalez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 MIN @ CLE
RHB vs LHP
Average 64%
ERA 2.73
 Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 64.9% 1.8% N/A
MIN @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
242 Randy Arozarena 3/3 CIN @ SEA LF
RHB vs RHP
Average 65%
ERA 2.54
 Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 64.9% 1.8% 0
CIN @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
243 Jose Fermin
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 STL @ LAA LF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.88
 Hits 0.5 -186 35.0 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 65.0% 1.6% 0
STL @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
244 Liam Hicks 3/3 MIA @ HOU
LHB vs RHP
ERA 6.06
 Hits 0.5 -187 34.8 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 65.2% 1.5% 0
MIA @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
245 Caleb Durbin 3/3 BAL @ BOS 3B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 3.61
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% N/A
BAL @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Postponed
246 Henry Bolte 3/3 OAK @ ARI TBD Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% 0
ATH @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
247 Joey Meneses
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 OAK @ ARI TBD Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% N/A
ATH @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final/10
248 Jonny DeLuca
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 TB @ TOR CF
RHB vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 4.33
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% 2
TB @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
W
249 Julio Rodriguez 3/3 CIN @ SEA CF
RHB vs RHP
Average 65%
ERA 2.54
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% 1
CIN @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
250 Luis Rengifo 3/3 SD @ ATL
S vs RHP
Average 69%
ERA 3.50
 Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 2, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
 65.5% 1.1% 1
SD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
Showing 226–250 of 279 plays
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