Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

25%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-25 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

347

Total Found

225

Shown

225

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
51	Alan Roden ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ MIN	LF	Mason Barnett LHB vs RHP ERA 4.64	Runs Batted In	0.5	+321	76.2	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	2	ATH @ MIN 7:10 PM ET Final W
52	Isaac Paredes	3/3	HOU @ CWS	DH	TBD	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	2	HOU @ CHW 7:10 PM ET Final W
53	Michael Massey	3/3	KC @ DET	2B	Casey Mize LHB vs RHP Average 61% ERA 2.79	Hits	1.5	+320	76.2	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	23.8%	42.9%	0	KC @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final L
54	Austin Riley	3/3	ATL @ BAL	3B	Brandon Young RHB vs RHP ERA 3.25	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	0	ATL @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final L
55	Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3/3	ATL @ BAL		Bryce Elder RHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 4.06	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	1	ATL @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final L
56	Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ MIA	3B	Eury Pérez RHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 3.53	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	1	SD @ MIA 4:10 PM ET Final L
57	Ryan O'Hearn	3/3	CHC @ PIT	DH	Shota Imanaga LHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 3.91	Hits	1.5	+300	75.0	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	25.0%	41.7%	1	CHC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
58	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CLE @ TB	SS	Nick Martinez S vs RHP Good 82% ERA 2.59	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	0	CLE @ TB 6:10 PM ET Final L
59	Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	ARI @ WSH	PH	Foster Griffin S vs LHP Average 49% ERA 2.68	Hits	1.5	+280	73.7	0, 3, 3	2/3 66.7%	26.3%	40.4%	1	ARI @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final L
60	Ben Williamson	3/3	CLE @ TB	2B	Tanner Bibee RHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 3.86	Runs Batted In	0.5	+275	73.3	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	26.7%	40.0%	0	CLE @ TB 6:10 PM ET Final L
61	Francisco Alvarez	3/3	LAD @ NYM	C	Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.78	Runs Batted In	0.5	+260	72.2	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	0	LAD @ NYM 7:15 PM ET Final L
62	Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ NYM	1B	Nolan McLean LHB vs RHP Average 62% ERA 3.34	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	3, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	3	LAD @ NYM 7:15 PM ET Final W
63	Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ TEX	1B	Nathan Eovaldi LHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 4.21	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	0, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	0	SEA @ TEX 7:15 PM ET Final L
64	Pete Crow-Armstrong	3/3	CHC @ PIT	CF	Paul Skenes LHB vs RHP Weak 25% ERA 3.43	Hits	1.5	+260	72.2	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	4	CHC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final W
65	Alika Williams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ MIN		TBD	Runs Batted In	0.5	+250	71.4	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	28.6%	38.1%	N/A	ATH @ MIN 7:10 PM ET Final
66	Brandon Nimmo	3/3	SEA @ TEX	RF	Bryan Woo LHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 4.16	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 1, 4	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	0	SEA @ TEX 7:15 PM ET Final L
67	Dylan Crews	3/3	ARI @ WSH		TBD	Hits	1.5	+240	70.6	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	0	ARI @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final L
68	Victor Bericoto ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	LAA @ SF	DH	Ryan Johnson RHB vs RHP ERA 6.10	Runs Batted In	0.5	+240	70.6	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	N/A	LAA @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final
69	Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ BAL	1B	Brandon Young LHB vs RHP ERA 3.25	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	0	ATL @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final L
70	Steven Kwan ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	LF	Nick Martinez LHB vs RHP Good 82% ERA 2.59	Hits	1.5	+230	69.7	2, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	30.3%	36.4%	1	CLE @ TB 6:10 PM ET Final L
71	Nick Gonzales	3/3	CHC @ PIT	2B	Shota Imanaga RHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 3.91	Runs Batted In	0.5	+229	69.6	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	30.4%	36.3%	0	CHC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
72	Jeremy Pena	3/3	HOU @ CWS	SS	TBD	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	3, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	3	HOU @ CHW 7:10 PM ET Final W
73	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	HOU @ CWS	LF	TBD	Hits	1.5	+220	68.7	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	0	HOU @ CHW 7:10 PM ET Final L
74	Alejandro Kirk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BOS	C	Sonny Gray RHB vs RHP Good 88% ERA 2.48	Runs Batted In	0.5	+210	67.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	32.3%	34.4%	N/A	TOR @ BOS 4:10 PM ET Final
75	Romy Gonzalez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BOS		Dylan Cease RHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 2.67	Runs Batted In	0.5	+201	66.8	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	33.2%	33.4%	N/A	TOR @ BOS 4:10 PM ET Final

Showing 51–75 of 225 plays

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