Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

25%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-25 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

347

Total Found

225

Shown

225

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
151	Casey Schmitt	3/3	LAA @ SF		Ryan Johnson RHB vs RHP ERA 6.10	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	3, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	1	LAA @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final L
152	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	ARI @ WSH	DH	Foster Griffin RHB vs LHP Average 49% ERA 2.68	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	2	ARI @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final W
153	Blaze Alexander ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ATL @ BAL		Bryce Elder RHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 4.06	Hits	0.5	-200	33.3	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	66.7%	0.0%	N/A	ATL @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final
154	Luke Keaschall ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	OAK @ MIN	RF	Mason Barnett RHB vs RHP ERA 4.64	Hits	0.5	-200	33.3	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	66.7%	0.0%	N/A	ATH @ MIN 7:10 PM ET Final
155	Romy Gonzalez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ BOS		Dylan Cease RHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 2.67	Hits	0.5	-200	33.3	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	66.7%	0.0%	N/A	TOR @ BOS 4:10 PM ET Final
156	Dansby Swanson	3/3	CHC @ PIT	SS	Paul Skenes RHB vs RHP Weak 25% ERA 3.43	Hits	1.5	+475	32.6	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	2	CHC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final W
157	Dylan Crews	3/3	ARI @ WSH		TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	32.6	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	0	ARI @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final L
158	James Wood	3/3	ARI @ WSH		TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	32.6	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	0	ARI @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final L
159	Andruw Monasterio	3/3	TOR @ BOS	PH	Dylan Cease RHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 2.67	Hits	1.5	+450	31.8	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	1	TOR @ BOS 4:10 PM ET Final L
160	Henry Davis	3/3	CHC @ PIT	C	Shota Imanaga RHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 3.91	Hits	1.5	+450	31.8	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	1	CHC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
161	Nicky Lopez	3/3	SEA @ TEX	2B	Bryan Woo LHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 4.16	Hits	1.5	+450	31.8	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	1	SEA @ TEX 7:15 PM ET Final L
162	Patrick Bailey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	C	Nick Martinez S vs RHP Good 82% ERA 2.59	Hits	1.5	+450	31.8	1, 1, 4	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	0	CLE @ TB 6:10 PM ET Final L
163	Drew Gilbert	3/3	LAA @ SF	CF	Ryan Johnson LHB vs RHP ERA 6.10	Hits	1.5	+400	30.0	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	1	LAA @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final L
164	Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ BAL	1B	Brandon Young LHB vs RHP ERA 3.25	Runs Batted In	1.5	+400	30.0	3, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	0	ATL @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final L
165	Mickey Moniak ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	COL @ MIL	RF	Robert Gasser LHB vs LHP ERA 4.91	Hits	1.5	+400	30.0	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	N/A	COL @ MIL 7:10 PM ET Final
166	Ryan Waldschmidt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ WSH		Foster Griffin RHB vs LHP Average 49% ERA 2.68	Hits	1.5	+400	30.0	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	1	ARI @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final L
167	Chase Meidroth	3/3	HOU @ CWS	2B	Hunter Brown RHB vs RHP ERA 4.05	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	1, 4, 0	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	0	HOU @ CHW 7:10 PM ET Final L
168	Ian Happ	3/3	CHC @ PIT	LF	Paul Skenes S vs RHP Weak 25% ERA 3.43	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	0	CHC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
169	Jarren Duran	3/3	TOR @ BOS	PH	Dylan Cease LHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 2.67	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	0	TOR @ BOS 4:10 PM ET Final L
170	Victor Mesa Jr. ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB		Tanner Bibee LHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 3.86	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	1	CLE @ TB 6:10 PM ET Final L
171	Victor Robles ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ TEX		Nathan Eovaldi RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 4.21	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	1, 4, 0	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	0	SEA @ TEX 7:15 PM ET Final L
172	Braden Montgomery	3/3	HOU @ CWS	RF	Hunter Brown S vs RHP ERA 4.05	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	3, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	1	HOU @ CHW 7:10 PM ET Final L
173	TJ Rumfield	3/3	COL @ MIL	1B	Robert Gasser LHB vs LHP ERA 4.91	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	0	COL @ MIL 7:10 PM ET Final L
174	Tommy Pham ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	HOU @ CWS	PH	Hunter Brown RHB vs RHP ERA 4.05	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	N/A	HOU @ CHW 7:10 PM ET Final
175	Zach McKinstry	3/3	KC @ DET	RF	Michael Wacha LHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.66	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	1	KC @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final L

Showing 151–175 of 225 plays

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