Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

25%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-25 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

347

Total Found

225

Shown

225

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Luis Rengifo ELITE	3/3	SD @ MIA		Eury Pérez S vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 3.53	Runs Batted In	0.5	+250	121.4	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	28.6%	71.4%	0	SD @ MIA 4:10 PM ET Final L
2	Heriberto Hernandez ELITE	3/3	SD @ MIA	LF	JP Sears RHB vs LHP ERA 4.38	Hits	1.5	+240	120.6	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	29.4%	70.6%	0	SD @ MIA 4:10 PM ET Final L
3	CJ Abrams ELITE	3/3	ARI @ WSH		TBD	Hits	1.5	+230	119.7	2, 4, 2	3/3 100.0%	30.3%	69.7%	3	ARI @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final W
4	James McCann ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ WSH	C	Foster Griffin RHB vs LHP Average 49% ERA 2.68	Runs Batted In	0.5	+230	119.7	3, 1, 4	3/3 100.0%	30.3%	69.7%	1	ARI @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final W
5	Francisco Alvarez ELITE	3/3	LAD @ NYM	C	Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.78	Hits	0.5	-110	97.6	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	52.4%	47.6%	1	LAD @ NYM 7:15 PM ET Final W
6	Josh Rojas ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	KC @ DET	PH	Casey Mize LHB vs RHP Average 61% ERA 2.79	Hits	0.5	-135	92.6	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	57.4%	42.6%	N/A	KC @ DET 1:10 PM ET Final
7	Luis Rengifo	3/3	SD @ MIA		Eury Pérez S vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 3.53	Home Runs	0.5	+1100	91.7	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	8.3%	58.3%	0	SD @ MIA 4:10 PM ET Final L
8	Luis Rengifo ELITE	3/3	SD @ MIA		Eury Pérez S vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 3.53	Hits	0.5	-140	91.7	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	58.3%	41.7%	1	SD @ MIA 4:10 PM ET Final W
9	Chase Meidroth	3/3	HOU @ CWS	2B	Hunter Brown RHB vs RHP ERA 4.05	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1000	90.9	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	9.1%	57.6%	0	HOU @ CHW 7:10 PM ET Final L
10	James McCann ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ WSH	C	Foster Griffin RHB vs LHP Average 49% ERA 2.68	Home Runs	0.5	+1000	90.9	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	9.1%	57.6%	0	ARI @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final L
11	Teoscar Hernandez ELITE	3/3	LAD @ NYM	LF	Nolan McLean RHB vs RHP Average 62% ERA 3.34	Hits	0.5	-145	90.8	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	59.2%	40.8%	1	LAD @ NYM 7:15 PM ET Final W
12	Joe Mack ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ MIA		JP Sears LHB vs LHP ERA 4.38	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	N/A	SD @ MIA 4:10 PM ET Final
13	Luis Robert Jr.	3/3	LAD @ NYM		Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.78	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	LAD @ NYM 7:15 PM ET Final L
14	Nick Fortes ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ TB	C	Tanner Bibee RHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 3.86	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	2, 0, 4	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	N/A	CLE @ TB 6:10 PM ET Final
15	Patrick Bailey ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CLE @ TB	C	Nick Martinez S vs RHP Good 82% ERA 2.59	Home Runs	0.5	+850	89.5	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.5%	56.1%	0	CLE @ TB 6:10 PM ET Final L
16	Enrique Hernandez ELITE	3/3	LAD @ NYM	3B	Nolan McLean RHB vs RHP Average 62% ERA 3.34	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	N/A	LAD @ NYM 7:15 PM ET Final
17	James McCann ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ WSH	C	Foster Griffin RHB vs LHP Average 49% ERA 2.68	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	3, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	1	ARI @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final W
18	Jazz Chisholm Jr. ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ PHI	PH	TBD	Hits	0.5	-163	88.0	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	62.0%	38.0%	0	NYY @ PHI 6:05 PM ET Final L
19	J.T. Realmuto ELITE	3/3	NYY @ PHI	C	Ryan Weathers RHB vs LHP Weak 21% ERA 4.40	Hits	0.5	-175	86.4	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	63.6%	36.4%	2	NYY @ PHI 6:05 PM ET Final W
20	Jeremy Pena	3/3	HOU @ CWS	SS	TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+575	85.2	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	14.8%	51.9%	0	HOU @ CHW 7:10 PM ET Final L
21	Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3/3	ATL @ BAL		Bryce Elder RHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 4.06	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	4, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	1	ATL @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final L
22	Eugenio Suarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CIN @ STL	DH	Andre Pallante RHB vs RHP Average 38% ERA 4.02	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	CIN @ STL 7:15 PM ET Final L
23	Brady House ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ARI @ WSH		TBD	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	N/A	ARI @ WSH 4:05 PM ET Final
24	Hunter Goodman ELITE	3/3	COL @ MIL	C	Robert Gasser RHB vs LHP ERA 4.91	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	1	COL @ MIL 7:10 PM ET Final W
25	Casey Schmitt	3/3	LAA @ SF		Ryan Johnson RHB vs RHP ERA 6.10	Home Runs	0.5	+525	84.0	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	16.0%	50.7%	0	LAA @ SF 4:05 PM ET Final L

Showing 1–25 of 225 plays

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