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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jul 26 →
Wins
4
Losses
2
Win %
66.7%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-26 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
318
Total Found
198
Shown
198
Actionable
22
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
151 Joc Pederson 3/3 SEA @ TEX
LHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.38
Hits 1.5 +380 29.2 3, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
20.8% 12.5% 1
SEA @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
L
152 Victor Mesa Jr.
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 CLE @ TB
LHB vs LHP
Average 64%
ERA 2.68
Hits 1.5 +380 29.2 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
20.8% 12.5% N/A
CLE @ TB
12:15 PM ET
Final
153 Victor Robles
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SEA @ TEX
RHB vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 3.76
Hits 1.5 +380 29.2 0, 1, 4
1/3
33.3%
20.8% 12.5% 1
SEA @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
L
154 David Hamilton
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 COL @ MIL 3B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 7.28
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% N/A
COL @ MIL
2:10 PM ET
Final
155 Ian Happ 3/3 CHC @ PIT LF
S vs RHP
Good 79%
ERA 3.95
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% 1
CHC @ PIT
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
156 Tommy Pham
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 HOU @ CWS PH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 7.71
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 1, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% N/A
HOU @ CHW
2:10 PM ET
Final
157 Aaron Judge
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 NYY @ PHI
RHB vs LHP
Ace 92%
ERA 2.65
Runs Batted In 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% N/A
NYY @ PHI
7:20 PM ET
Final
158 Chase Meidroth 3/3 HOU @ CWS 2B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 7.71
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 0, 1, 4
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 1
HOU @ CHW
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
159 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3/3 ATL @ BAL
RHB vs RHP
Average 69%
ERA 3.95
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 1
ATL @ BAL
1:35 PM ET
Final/11
L
160 Joey Bart
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 ATL @ BAL
RHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 4.05
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% N/A
ATL @ BAL
1:35 PM ET
Final/11
161 Tyler Locklear
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 ARI @ WSH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.60
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 0
ARI @ WSH
1:35 PM ET
Final
L
162 Zach McKinstry 3/3 KC @ DET RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.86
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 0
KC @ DET
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
163 Eugenio Suarez 3/3 CIN @ STL DH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.59
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
CIN @ STL
2:15 PM ET
Final/10
L
164 J.P. Crawford
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SEA @ TEX SS
LHB vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 3.76
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
SEA @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
L
165 Jake Burger
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SEA @ TEX 1B
RHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.38
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
SEA @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
L
166 Ryan Waldschmidt
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 ARI @ WSH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.60
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 2
ARI @ WSH
1:35 PM ET
Final
W
167 Tyler Stephenson 3/3 CIN @ STL C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.59
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
CIN @ STL
2:15 PM ET
Final/10
L
168 Cooper Pratt
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 COL @ MIL SS
RHB vs LHP
ERA 7.28
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 3, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 2
COL @ MIL
2:10 PM ET
Final
W
169 Dansby Swanson 3/3 CHC @ PIT SS
RHB vs RHP
Good 79%
ERA 3.95
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 2
CHC @ PIT
1:35 PM ET
Final
W
170 Giancarlo Stanton
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 NYY @ PHI PH
RHB vs LHP
Ace 92%
ERA 2.65
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
NYY @ PHI
7:20 PM ET
Final
171 Joey Ortiz
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 COL @ MIL 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 7.28
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 0, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 2
COL @ MIL
2:10 PM ET
Final
W
172 Kyle Schwarber 3/3 NYY @ PHI DH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 20%
ERA 4.00
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 1
NYY @ PHI
7:20 PM ET
Final
L
173 Kyle Tucker 3/3 LAD @ NYM RF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 5.01
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
LAD @ NYM
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
174 Nathaniel Lowe
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CIN @ STL
LHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.59
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 3
CIN @ STL
2:15 PM ET
Final/10
W
175 Austin Riley 3/3 ATL @ BAL 3B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 4.05
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 1
ATL @ BAL
1:35 PM ET
Final/11
L
Showing 151–175 of 198 plays