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Strong Plays Record
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← Jul 28 →
Wins
0
Losses
3
Push
3
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-07-28 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
342
Total Found
229
Shown
229
Actionable
29
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
51 Dansby Swanson
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CHC @ STL SS TBD Hits 1.5 +320 76.2 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
23.8% 42.9% N/A
CHC @ STL
7:45 PM ET
Final
52 Joc Pederson 3/3 TEX @ TB
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.89
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 2, 1, 3
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 1
TEX @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
53 Nathaniel Lowe
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CLE @ CIN
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 9%
ERA 4.60
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 3, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 0
CLE @ CIN
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
54 Nathaniel Lowe
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CLE @ CIN
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 9%
ERA 4.60
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 3, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 0
CLE @ CIN
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
55 Kyle Karros 3/3 COL @ SD 3B
RHB vs RHP
Average 60%
ERA 3.24
Runs Batted In 0.5 +296 74.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
25.3% 41.4% 0
COL @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
56 Bryson Stott 3/3 PHI @ MIA 2B
LHB vs RHP
Good 75%
ERA 4.01
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 2, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 0
PHI @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
57 Masyn Winn 3/3 CHC @ STL
RHB vs RHP
Average 41%
ERA 4.85
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 2
CHC @ STL
7:45 PM ET
Final
W
58 Vinnie Pasquantino
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 KC @ MIN 1B
LHB vs RHP
Average 55%
ERA 3.69
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 3, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 0
KC @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
59 Cole Carrigg 3/3 COL @ SD CF
S vs RHP
Average 60%
ERA 3.24
Runs Batted In 0.5 +273 73.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
26.8% 39.9% 0
COL @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
60 Jung Hoo Lee
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 MIL @ SF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.05
Runs Batted In 0.5 +264 72.5 3, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
27.5% 39.2% 0
MIL @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
L
61 Ezequiel Duran 3/3 TEX @ TB 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.89
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 1
TEX @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
62 Michael Busch 3/3 CHC @ STL 1B TBD Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 0, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 1
CHC @ STL
7:45 PM ET
Final
L
63 Pedro Ramirez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CHC @ STL 3B TBD Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 3
CHC @ STL
7:45 PM ET
Final
W
64 Bryan Torres 3/3 CHC @ STL LF
LHB vs RHP
Average 41%
ERA 4.85
Runs Batted In 0.5 +256 71.9 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
28.1% 38.6% 0
CHC @ STL
7:45 PM ET
Final
L
65 Eliezer Alfonzo
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 SEA @ LAD
S vs RHP
ERA 4.85
Runs Batted In 0.5 +250 71.4 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
28.6% 38.1% N/A
SEA @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
66 J.P. Crawford 3/3 SEA @ LAD SS TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +250 71.4 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
28.6% 38.1% 0
SEA @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
67 Cooper Pratt 3/3 MIL @ SF SS
RHB vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 3.93
Runs Batted In 0.5 +246 71.1 0, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
28.9% 37.8% 1
MIL @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
W
68 Ben Rice 3/3 NYY @ CWS DH TBD Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 0
NYY @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
69 George Springer 3/3 TOR @ WSH DH
RHB vs RHP
Average 53%
ERA 3.58
Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 1
TOR @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
70 Victor Bericoto
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIL @ SF DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.05
Runs Batted In 0.5 +240 70.6 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% N/A
MIL @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
71 CJ Abrams 3/3 TOR @ WSH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.70
Hits 1.5 +230 69.7 0, 3, 3
2/3
66.7%
30.3% 36.4% 1
TOR @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
72 Colt Keith 3/3 BAL @ DET
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.06
Hits 1.5 +230 69.7 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
30.3% 36.4% 2
BAL @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
73 Ivan Herrera 3/3 CHC @ STL DH
RHB vs RHP
Average 41%
ERA 4.85
Hits 1.5 +230 69.7 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
30.3% 36.4% 0
CHC @ STL
7:45 PM ET
Final
L
74 Pete Alonso 3/3 BAL @ DET
RHB vs RHP
ERA 1.95
Hits 1.5 +230 69.7 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
30.3% 36.4% 0
BAL @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
75 Christian Yelich
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ SF DH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 3.93
Runs Batted In 0.5 +228 69.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
30.5% 36.2% 0
MIL @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 51–75 of 229 plays