Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Win %

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-31 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

296

Total Found

176

Shown

176

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
151	JJ Wetherholt	3/3	STL @ TOR	2B	Dylan Cease LHB vs RHP Good 71% ERA 2.46	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	0	STL @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
152	Travis Bazzana	3/3	ARI @ CLE	2B	TBD	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	0	ARI @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final L
153	Zach McKinstry	3/3	DET @ OAK	RF	Jeffrey Springs LHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 6.23	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	0	DET @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
154	Brandon Lowe	3/3	PIT @ CIN	2B	Hunter Greene LHB vs RHP ERA 7.06	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	3	PIT @ CIN 6:10 PM ET Final W
155	Giancarlo Stanton ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ CHC	PH	Shota Imanaga RHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 3.72	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	N/A	NYY @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Final
156	Jo Adell	3/3	MIL @ LAA		Shane Drohan RHB vs LHP ERA 3.51	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	MIL @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
157	Ryan Jeffers ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIN @ SEA	C	Bryce Miller RHB vs RHP ERA 2.75	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	MIN @ SEA 10:10 PM ET Final L
158	Yainer Diaz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TEX @ HOU	C	Nathan Eovaldi RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 4.05	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	4, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	4	TEX @ HOU 8:15 PM ET Final W
159	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	STL @ TOR	3B	Kyle Leahy RHB vs RHP Weak 21% ERA 3.55	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	3, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	1	STL @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
160	Steven Kwan	3/3	ARI @ CLE	LF	TBD	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	3, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	2	ARI @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final W
161	Brenton Doyle ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	KC @ COL		Michael Wacha RHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.60	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	1	KC @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final L
162	Dominic Canzone	3/3	MIN @ SEA	RF	Zebby Matthews LHB vs RHP ERA 5.21	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	1	MIN @ SEA 10:10 PM ET Final L
163	Jasson Dominguez	3/3	NYY @ CHC		Shota Imanaga S vs LHP Average 32% ERA 3.72	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	0	NYY @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Final L
164	Seiya Suzuki ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ CHC	RF	Will Warren RHB vs RHP Weak 20% ERA 4.41	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	0, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	N/A	NYY @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Final
165	Michael Busch	3/3	NYY @ CHC	1B	Will Warren LHB vs RHP Weak 20% ERA 4.41	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	0	NYY @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Final L
166	Daylen Lile	3/3	WSH @ ATL		Bryce Elder LHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 3.96	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	1	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
167	Spencer Horwitz ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PIT @ CIN	1B	Hunter Greene LHB vs RHP ERA 7.06	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	N/A	PIT @ CIN 6:10 PM ET Final
168	A.J. Ewing	3/3	MIA @ NYM	CF	Janson Junk LHB vs RHP Weak 24% ERA 4.89	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	0, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	1	MIA @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
169	Cole Carrigg	3/3	KC @ COL	CF	Michael Wacha S vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.60	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	0, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	0	KC @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final L
170	Drake Baldwin	3/3	WSH @ ATL	DH	Foster Griffin LHB vs LHP Average 49% ERA 2.76	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	0	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
171	Francisco Lindor	3/3	MIA @ NYM	SS	Janson Junk S vs RHP Weak 24% ERA 4.89	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	1, 0, 3	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	2	MIA @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final W
172	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	CWS @ TB	1B	TBD	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	0	CHW @ TB 7:10 PM ET Final L
173	Nico Hoerner	3/3	NYY @ CHC	2B	Will Warren RHB vs RHP Weak 20% ERA 4.41	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	3, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	0	NYY @ CHC 2:20 PM ET Final L
174	Jake Mangum ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ CIN	RF	Hunter Greene S vs RHP ERA 7.06	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	2	PIT @ CIN 6:10 PM ET Final W
175	Ozzie Albies	3/3	WSH @ ATL	2B	Foster Griffin S vs LHP Average 49% ERA 2.76	Hits	1.5	+200	16.7	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	33.3%	0.0%	2	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final W

Showing 151–175 of 176 plays

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