Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-07-31 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

296

Total Found

176

Shown

176

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	James McCann ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ CLE	C	Tanner Bibee RHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 3.89	Runs Batted In	0.5	+230	119.7	1, 1, 3	3/3 100.0%	30.3%	69.7%	N/A	ARI @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final
2	Joey Bart ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL		Foster Griffin RHB vs LHP Average 49% ERA 2.76	Hits	0.5	-124	94.6	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	55.4%	44.6%	0	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
3	Dalton Rushing ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ LAD	PH	Ranger Suarez LHB vs LHP Average 43% ERA 3.02	Hits	0.5	-130	93.5	1, 1, 3	3/3 100.0%	56.5%	43.5%	N/A	BOS @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final
4	Luis Campusano ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD	C	Carson Whisenhunt RHB vs LHP ERA 4.60	Hits	0.5	-146	90.7	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	59.3%	40.7%	3	SF @ SD 9:45 PM ET Final W
5	Jacob Young ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ ATL		Bryce Elder RHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 3.96	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
6	Gabriel Arias ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ CLE		TBD	Hits	0.5	-154	89.4	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.6%	39.4%	N/A	ARI @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final
7	James McCann ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ CLE	C	Tanner Bibee RHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 3.89	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	4, 1, 3	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	N/A	ARI @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final
8	Daniel Susac ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ SD		Bradgley Rodriguez RHB vs RHP ERA 2.33	Home Runs	0.5	+800	88.9	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	N/A	SF @ SD 9:45 PM ET Final
9	Jackson Holliday ELITE	3/3	PHI @ BAL		TBD	Hits	0.5	-160	88.5	2, 2, 4	3/3 100.0%	61.5%	38.5%	1	PHI @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final W
10	Colt Keith ELITE	3/3	DET @ OAK		Jeffrey Springs LHB vs LHP Replacement 3% ERA 6.23	Hits	0.5	-165	87.7	1, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	62.3%	37.7%	0	DET @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L
11	Willy Adames ELITE	3/3	SF @ SD		Bradgley Rodriguez RHB vs RHP ERA 2.33	Hits	0.5	-165	87.7	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	62.3%	37.7%	0	SF @ SD 9:45 PM ET Final L
12	Vaughn Grissom	3/3	MIL @ LAA	1B	Shane Drohan RHB vs LHP ERA 3.51	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	MIL @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
13	Kyle Schwarber ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PHI @ BAL	DH	Brandon Young LHB vs RHP ERA 3.13	Hits	0.5	-175	86.4	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	63.6%	36.4%	0	PHI @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final L
14	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	ARI @ CLE	DH	Tanner Bibee RHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 3.89	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	1	ARI @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final L
15	Ildemaro Vargas ELITE	3/3	ARI @ CLE	PH	Tanner Bibee S vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 3.89	Hits	0.5	-185	85.1	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	64.9%	35.1%	0	ARI @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final L
16	Mookie Betts ELITE	3/3	BOS @ LAD	SS	Ranger Suarez RHB vs LHP Average 43% ERA 3.02	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	1	BOS @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
17	Willi Castro ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ COL		Michael Wacha S vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.60	Home Runs	0.5	+525	84.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	16.0%	50.7%	N/A	KC @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final
18	Jackson Merrill ELITE	3/3	SF @ SD	CF	Carson Whisenhunt LHB vs LHP ERA 4.60	Hits	0.5	-200	83.3	1, 1, 3	3/3 100.0%	66.7%	33.3%	0	SF @ SD 9:45 PM ET Final L
19	Brandon Lockridge ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIL @ LAA	RF	Ryan Johnson RHB vs RHP ERA 7.34	Hits	1.5	+500	83.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	N/A	MIL @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final
20	Brice Turang	3/3	MIL @ LAA	2B	Ryan Johnson LHB vs RHP ERA 7.34	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	83.3	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	2	MIL @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final W
21	Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	WSH @ ATL		Bryce Elder LHB vs RHP Average 41% ERA 3.96	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	82.6	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	0	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
22	Ozzie Albies	3/3	WSH @ ATL	2B	Foster Griffin S vs LHP Average 49% ERA 2.76	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	82.6	2, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	0	WSH @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
23	Ryan Waldschmidt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ARI @ CLE		Tanner Bibee RHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 3.89	Hits	1.5	+475	82.6	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	2	ARI @ CLE 7:10 PM ET Final W
24	Alec Bohm ELITE	3/3	PHI @ BAL	1B	Brandon Young RHB vs RHP ERA 3.13	Hits	0.5	-210	82.3	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	67.7%	32.3%	0	PHI @ BAL 7:05 PM ET Final L
25	Jeff McNeil ELITE	3/3	DET @ OAK		Casey Mize LHB vs RHP Average 61% ERA 2.70	Hits	0.5	-210	82.3	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	67.7%	32.3%	0	DET @ ATH 9:40 PM ET Final L

Showing 1–25 of 176 plays

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