Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-03 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

166

Total Found

111

Shown

111

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
26	Osleivis Basabe	3/3	SF @ TEX	PH	TBD	Runs Batted In	0.5	+275	73.3	1, 4, 0	2/3 66.7%	26.7%	40.0%	1	SF @ TEX 8:00 PM ET Final W
27	Drew Cavanaugh ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ TEX	C	TBD	Runs Batted In	0.5	+267	72.8	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.2%	39.4%	N/A	SF @ TEX 8:00 PM ET Final
28	Andres Chaparro	3/3	WSH @ PHI		Aaron Nola RHB vs RHP Replacement 8% ERA 5.61	Runs Batted In	0.5	+260	72.2	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	27.8%	38.9%	0	WSH @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L
29	Evan Carter	3/3	SF @ TEX	CF	Logan Webb LHB vs RHP Average 43% ERA 3.93	Runs Batted In	0.5	+249	71.3	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	28.7%	38.0%	0	SF @ TEX 8:00 PM ET Final L
30	Justin Crawford	3/3	WSH @ PHI	CF	TBD	Runs Batted In	0.5	+245	71.0	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	29.0%	37.7%	0	WSH @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L
31	Victor Bericoto ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SF @ TEX	DH	TBD	Runs Batted In	0.5	+240	70.6	0, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	29.4%	37.3%	N/A	SF @ TEX 8:00 PM ET Final
32	Michael Busch	3/3	LAD @ CHC	1B	TBD	Runs Batted In	0.5	+220	68.7	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	31.3%	35.4%	3	LAD @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final W
33	Yordan Alvarez	3/3	TOR @ HOU	LF	Shane Bieber LHB vs RHP ERA 5.74	Hits	1.5	+200	66.7	4, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.3%	33.3%	1	TOR @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
34	Willy Adames	3/3	SF @ TEX		TBD	Runs Batted In	0.5	+198	66.4	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	33.6%	33.1%	0	SF @ TEX 8:00 PM ET Final L
35	Konnor Griffin ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	PIT @ MIL	SS	Brandon Sproat RHB vs RHP ERA 5.05	Hits	1.5	+196	66.2	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	33.8%	32.9%	N/A	PIT @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final
36	Kyle Karros ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TB @ COL	3B	Ian Seymour RHB vs LHP ERA 4.37	Hits	1.5	+196	66.2	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	33.8%	32.9%	2	TB @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final W
37	Jake Mangum	3/3	PIT @ MIL	RF	Brandon Sproat S vs RHP ERA 5.05	Hits	1.5	+190	65.5	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	34.5%	32.2%	1	PIT @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final L
38	Trea Turner	3/3	WSH @ PHI	SS	TBD	Hits	1.5	+180	64.3	1, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	35.7%	31.0%	0	WSH @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L
39	Brett Sullivan ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	TB @ COL	C	Ian Seymour LHB vs LHP ERA 4.37	Runs Batted In	0.5	+179	64.2	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	35.8%	30.8%	N/A	TB @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final
40	Esmerlyn Valdez	3/3	PIT @ MIL		Brandon Sproat RHB vs RHP ERA 5.05	Runs Batted In	0.5	+175	63.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	36.4%	30.3%	0	PIT @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final L
41	Brandon Marsh	3/3	WSH @ PHI	PH	TBD	Runs Batted In	0.5	+168	62.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	37.3%	29.4%	0	WSH @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L
42	CJ Abrams	3/3	WSH @ PHI		Aaron Nola LHB vs RHP Replacement 8% ERA 5.61	Runs Batted In	0.5	+142	58.7	0, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	41.3%	25.3%	0	WSH @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L
43	Bryce Harper	3/3	WSH @ PHI	RF	TBD	Runs Batted In	0.5	+137	57.8	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	42.2%	24.5%	2	WSH @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final W
44	Henry Davis ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PIT @ MIL	C	Brandon Sproat RHB vs RHP ERA 5.05	Hits	0.5	+105	51.2	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	48.8%	17.9%	0	PIT @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final L
45	Marcell Ozuna ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	PIT @ MIL		Brandon Sproat RHB vs RHP ERA 5.05	Hits	0.5	-108	48.1	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	51.9%	14.7%	N/A	PIT @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final
46	Bryan Torres	3/3	STL @ NYY	LF	Cam Schlittler LHB vs RHP Ace 95% ERA 2.04	Hits	0.5	-125	44.4	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	55.6%	11.1%	1	STL @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final W
47	Jose Fermin ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	STL @ NYY	LF	Cam Schlittler RHB vs RHP Ace 95% ERA 2.04	Hits	0.5	-127	44.1	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	55.9%	10.7%	2	STL @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final W
48	Brandon Valenzuela ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	TOR @ HOU	C	Cristian Javier S vs RHP ERA 7.17	Hits	0.5	-134	42.7	3, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	57.3%	9.4%	N/A	TOR @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final
49	Jorbit Vivas ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ PHI		Aaron Nola LHB vs RHP Replacement 8% ERA 5.61	Hits	0.5	-135	42.6	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	57.4%	9.2%	0	WSH @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L
50	Dalton Rushing ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	LAD @ CHC	PH	Matthew Boyd LHB vs LHP ERA 3.41	Hits	0.5	-140	41.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	58.3%	8.3%	N/A	LAD @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final

Showing 26–50 of 111 plays

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