Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Win %

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⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-03 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

166

Total Found

111

Shown

111

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
101	Bryan Reynolds	3/3	PIT @ MIL	LF	Brandon Sproat S vs RHP ERA 5.05	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	2	PIT @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final W
102	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ NYY	1B	Cam Schlittler LHB vs RHP Ace 95% ERA 2.04	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	3	STL @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final W
103	Christian Walker	3/3	TOR @ HOU	1B	Shane Bieber RHB vs RHP ERA 5.74	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	1	TOR @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
104	Isaac Paredes	3/3	TOR @ HOU	DH	Shane Bieber RHB vs RHP ERA 5.74	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	0	TOR @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
105	Willi Castro	3/3	TB @ COL		Ian Seymour S vs LHP ERA 4.37	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	2	TB @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final W
106	Xander Bogaerts	3/3	SD @ ARI	SS	TBD	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	1	SD @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
107	Jackson Chourio	3/3	PIT @ MIL	LF	Bubba Chandler RHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 4.56	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	0	PIT @ MIL 7:40 PM ET Final L
108	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ HOU	DH	Cristian Javier RHB vs RHP ERA 7.17	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	0	TOR @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final L
109	Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ ARI	2B	TBD	Hits	1.5	+230	19.7	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	30.3%	3.0%	0	SD @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
110	Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ ARI	CF	TBD	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	1	SD @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
111	TJ Rumfield	3/3	TB @ COL	1B	Ian Seymour LHB vs LHP ERA 4.37	Hits	1.5	+220	18.7	1, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	31.3%	2.1%	0	TB @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final L

Showing 101–111 of 111 plays

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