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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 5 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-05 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
323
Total Found
201
Shown
201
Actionable
11
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
101 Colt Keith 3/3 DET @ SEA
LHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 4.56
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
DET @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
102 Freddy Fermin
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 SD @ ARI C TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 1, 3, 0
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% N/A
SD @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
103 Joe Mack 3/3 MIA @ ATL
LHB vs RHP
Average 41%
ERA 3.84
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 1
MIA @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
104 Jose Altuve 3/3 TOR @ HOU 2B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 5.92
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 1
TOR @ HOU
2:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
105 Luis Urias
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 TOR @ HOU
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.42
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
TOR @ HOU
2:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
106 Spencer Torkelson 3/3 DET @ SEA 1B
RHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 4.56
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 0, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
DET @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
107 Trevor Larnach 3/3 MIN @ KC
LHB vs LHP
Average 42%
ERA 4.59
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
MIN @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
108 Roman Anthony
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CWS @ BOS DH TBD Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% N/A
CHW @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Final
109 Will Smith
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAD @ CHC C
RHB vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 3.67
Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% N/A
LAD @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
110 Jeremy Pena 3/3 TOR @ HOU SS
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 5.92
Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
14.3% 19.0% 0
TOR @ HOU
2:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
111 Masataka Yoshida 3/3 CWS @ BOS TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
14.3% 19.0% 0
CHW @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
112 Brenton Doyle
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 TB @ COL
RHB vs RHP
Good 82%
ERA 2.77
Hits 0.5 -182 35.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
64.5% 2.1% N/A
TB @ COL
3:10 PM ET
Final
113 Edmundo Sosa
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 WSH @ PHI 3B
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 5%
ERA 5.56
Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
64.9% 1.8% N/A
WSH @ PHI
7:05 PM ET
Final/11
114 Gabriel Gonzalez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIN @ KC
RHB vs LHP
Average 42%
ERA 4.59
Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
64.9% 1.8% N/A
MIN @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
115 Brett Sullivan
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 TB @ COL C
LHB vs RHP
Good 82%
ERA 2.77
Hits 0.5 -188 34.7 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
65.3% 1.4% 0
TB @ COL
3:10 PM ET
Final
L
116 Caleb Durbin 3/3 CWS @ BOS 3B TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +550 34.6 4, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
15.4% 17.9% 1
CHW @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
117 Chase DeLauter 3/3 NYM @ CLE RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.99
Runs Batted In 1.5 +550 34.6 0, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
15.4% 17.9% 0
NYM @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
118 Ezequiel Duran 3/3 SF @ TEX 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 6.63
Runs Batted In 1.5 +550 34.6 4, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
15.4% 17.9% 0
SF @ TEX
2:35 PM ET
Final
L
119 Michael Busch 3/3 LAD @ CHC 1B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.50
Runs Batted In 1.5 +550 34.6 0, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
15.4% 17.9% 0
LAD @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
L
120 Dylan Beavers 3/3 LAA @ BAL
LHB vs LHP
Average 51%
ERA 4.03
Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
65.5% 1.1% 0
LAA @ BAL
6:35 PM ET
Final
L
121 Marcell Ozuna
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 PIT @ MIL
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.01
Hits 1.5 +500 33.3 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
16.7% 16.7% N/A
PIT @ MIL
7:30 PM ET
Final
122 Rhys Hoskins
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 NYM @ CLE
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.99
Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 33.3 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
16.7% 16.7% N/A
NYM @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final/10
123 Wilyer Abreu 3/3 CWS @ BOS RF TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 33.3 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
16.7% 16.7% 1
CHW @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
124 Blaze Alexander
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAA @ BAL
RHB vs LHP
Average 51%
ERA 4.03
Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
66.7% 0.0% N/A
LAA @ BAL
6:35 PM ET
Final
125 Teoscar Hernandez 3/3 LAD @ CHC LF
RHB vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 3.67
Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
66.7% 0.0% 0
LAD @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 101–125 of 201 plays