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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 8 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-08 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
329
Total Found
211
Shown
211
Actionable
17
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
76 Jackson Chourio 3/3 MIN @ MIL LF
RHB vs RHP
Average 55%
ERA 3.69
Runs Batted In 0.5 +165 62.3 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
37.7% 28.9% 0
MIN @ MIL
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
77 Junior Caminero 3/3 TB @ SEA 3B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 27%
ERA 3.76
Runs Batted In 0.5 +160 61.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
38.5% 28.2% 0
TB @ SEA
9:50 PM ET
Final
L
78 Pete Crow-Armstrong 3/3 CHC @ KC CF
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 5%
ERA 4.41
Hits 1.5 +160 61.5 1, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
38.5% 28.2% 0
CHC @ KC
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
79 Gary Sanchez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIN @ MIL PH
RHB vs RHP
Average 55%
ERA 3.69
Runs Batted In 0.5 +140 58.3 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
41.7% 25.0% 0
MIN @ MIL
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
80 Austin Wells 3/3 ATL @ NYY C
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.08
Hits 0.5 +105 51.2 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
48.8% 17.9% 1
ATL @ NYY
3:05 PM ET
Final
W
81 Coby Mayo 3/3 BAL @ TEX
RHB vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 3.96
Hits 0.5 -105 48.8 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% 0
BAL @ TEX
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
82 Ryan Waldschmidt 3/3 LAD @ ARI
RHB vs RHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.76
Hits 0.5 -105 48.8 1, 0, 3
2/3
66.7%
51.2% 15.4% 0
LAD @ ARI
8:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
83 Graham Pauley
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAA @ MIA 3B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.54
Hits 0.5 -110 47.6 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% N/A
LAA @ MIA
4:10 PM ET
Final
84 Taylor Ward 3/3 TB @ SEA PH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.63
Hits 0.5 -110 47.6 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
52.4% 14.3% 1
TB @ SEA
9:50 PM ET
Final
W
85 Andrew Pinckney
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 CIN @ WSH
RHB vs RHP
Average 65%
ERA 2.35
Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
53.5% 13.2% N/A
CIN @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
86 Elias Diaz
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BAL @ TEX PH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 3.79
Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
53.5% 13.2% N/A
BAL @ TEX
7:15 PM ET
Final
87 Leody Taveras 3/3 BAL @ TEX
S vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 3.96
Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
53.5% 13.2% 0
BAL @ TEX
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
88 Luisangel Acuna 3/3 CLE @ CWS PR
RHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 3.56
Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
53.5% 13.2% 0
CLE @ CHW
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
89 Ryan McMahon 3/3 ATL @ NYY 3B
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.08
Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
53.5% 13.2% 0
ATL @ NYY
3:05 PM ET
Final
L
90 Cedric Mullins
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TB @ SEA PH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 27%
ERA 3.76
Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
54.5% 12.1% 1
TB @ SEA
9:50 PM ET
Final
W
91 Nicky Lopez 3/3 BAL @ TEX 2B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 3.79
Hits 0.5 -120 45.5 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
54.5% 12.1% 0
BAL @ TEX
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
92 Harry Ford
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CIN @ WSH
RHB vs RHP
Average 65%
ERA 2.35
Hits 0.5 -123 44.8 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
55.2% 11.5% N/A
CIN @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
93 Brett Baty 3/3 NYM @ PIT 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.49
Hits 0.5 -125 44.4 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
55.6% 11.1% 0
NYM @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
94 Jose Trevino
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 CIN @ WSH
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.94
Hits 0.5 -128 43.9 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
56.1% 10.5% 0
CIN @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
95 Nolan Arenado 3/3 LAD @ ARI 3B
RHB vs RHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.76
Hits 0.5 -129 43.7 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
56.3% 10.3% 1
LAD @ ARI
8:10 PM ET
Final/10
W
96 Dylan Beavers 3/3 BAL @ TEX
LHB vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 3.96
Hits 0.5 -130 43.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
56.5% 10.1% 0
BAL @ TEX
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
97 Francisco Alvarez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 NYM @ PIT C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.49
Hits 0.5 -130 43.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
56.5% 10.1% 1
NYM @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
98 Eliezer Alfonzo
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAD @ ARI TBD Hits 0.5 -135 42.6 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
57.4% 9.2% N/A
LAD @ ARI
8:10 PM ET
Final/10
99 Brenton Doyle
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 COL @ STL
RHB vs LHP
Replacement 4%
ERA 4.97
Hits 0.5 -138 42.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
58.0% 8.7% N/A
COL @ STL
7:15 PM ET
Final
100 Dalton Rushing
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAD @ ARI PH TBD Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% N/A
LAD @ ARI
8:10 PM ET
Final/10
Showing 76–100 of 211 plays