Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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← Jul 26 – Aug 8 →

Wins

Losses

Push

Win %

25.5%

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-08 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

329

Total Found

211

Shown

211

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Jonathan Aranda ELITE	3/3	TB @ SEA	1B	George Kirby LHB vs RHP Weak 27% ERA 3.76	Runs Batted In	0.5	+239	120.5	1, 1, 3	3/3 100.0%	29.5%	70.5%	0	TB @ SEA 9:50 PM ET Final L
2	Luke Maile ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CHC @ KC	C	Clay Holmes RHB vs RHP Good 72% ERA 2.39	Hits	0.5	+120	104.5	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	45.5%	54.5%	N/A	CHC @ KC 7:10 PM ET Final
3	Colt Emerson ELITE	3/3	TB @ SEA		Griffin Jax LHB vs RHP ERA 3.63	Hits	0.5	+105	101.2	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	48.8%	51.2%	0	TB @ SEA 9:50 PM ET Final L
4	Tim Tawa ELITE	3/3	LAD @ ARI	1B	Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.76	Hits	0.5	-111	97.4	1, 1, 3	3/3 100.0%	52.6%	47.4%	1	LAD @ ARI 8:10 PM ET Final/10 W
5	Christian Vazquez ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	HOU @ SD		Michael King RHB vs RHP Average 60% ERA 3.45	Hits	0.5	-113	96.9	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	53.1%	46.9%	0	HOU @ SD 7:15 PM ET Final L
6	Edgar Quero ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ CWS		Gavin Williams S vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.56	Hits	0.5	-115	96.5	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	53.5%	46.5%	N/A	CLE @ CHW 7:15 PM ET Final
7	Mickey Moniak ELITE	3/3	COL @ STL	RF	Matthew Liberatore LHB vs LHP Replacement 4% ERA 4.97	Hits	0.5	-135	92.6	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	57.4%	42.6%	0	COL @ STL 7:15 PM ET Final L
8	Luis Torrens	3/3	NYM @ PIT	C	Bubba Chandler RHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 4.49	Home Runs	0.5	+1200	92.3	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	7.7%	59.0%	N/A	NYM @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final
9	Leo Jimenez ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAA @ MIA		Walbert Ureña RHB vs RHP ERA 2.54	Hits	0.5	-139	91.8	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	58.2%	41.8%	N/A	LAA @ MIA 4:10 PM ET Final
10	Lars Nootbaar ELITE	3/3	LAD @ ARI	LF	Yoshinobu Yamamoto LHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.76	Hits	0.5	-140	91.7	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	58.3%	41.7%	0	LAD @ ARI 8:10 PM ET Final/10 L
11	Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ PIT	2B	Bubba Chandler RHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 4.49	Home Runs	0.5	+850	89.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	10.5%	56.1%	0	NYM @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
12	Nolan Arenado	3/3	LAD @ ARI	3B	Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.76	Home Runs	0.5	+850	89.5	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.5%	56.1%	0	LAD @ ARI 8:10 PM ET Final/10 L
13	Miguel Rojas ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ ARI	3B	TBD	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	N/A	LAD @ ARI 8:10 PM ET Final/10
14	Marcus Semien	3/3	NYM @ PIT	2B	Bubba Chandler RHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 4.49	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	3, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	NYM @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
15	Matt McLain	3/3	CIN @ WSH	2B	Andrew Alvarez RHB vs LHP ERA 3.94	Home Runs	0.5	+800	88.9	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	CIN @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
16	Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ SF	C	Landen Roupp RHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 4.34	Home Runs	0.5	+750	88.2	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	11.8%	54.9%	0	DET @ SF 7:15 PM ET Final L
17	Luke Keaschall ELITE	3/3	MIN @ MIL	RF	Robert Gasser RHB vs LHP ERA 4.48	Hits	0.5	-165	87.7	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	62.3%	37.7%	2	MIN @ MIL 7:10 PM ET Final W
18	Nathaniel Lowe ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CLE @ CWS	1B	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	3, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	N/A	CLE @ CHW 7:15 PM ET Final
19	Brandon Nimmo ELITE	3/3	BAL @ TEX	RF	Kyle Bradish LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.79	Hits	0.5	-175	86.4	1, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	63.6%	36.4%	1	BAL @ TEX 7:15 PM ET Final W
20	Angel Martínez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CLE @ CWS	PH	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	6, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	CLE @ CHW 7:15 PM ET Final L
21	Dillon Dingler	3/3	DET @ SF	C	Landen Roupp RHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 4.34	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	1, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	1	DET @ SF 7:15 PM ET Final L
22	Jacob Young	3/3	CIN @ WSH		Chase Burns RHB vs RHP Average 65% ERA 2.35	Hits	1.5	+550	84.6	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	1	CIN @ WSH 6:45 PM ET Final L
23	Julio Rodriguez	3/3	TB @ SEA	CF	Griffin Jax RHB vs RHP ERA 3.63	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	TB @ SEA 9:50 PM ET Final L
24	Jonathan Aranda ELITE	3/3	TB @ SEA	1B	George Kirby LHB vs RHP Weak 27% ERA 3.76	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	1	TB @ SEA 9:50 PM ET Final W
25	Julio Rodriguez ELITE	3/3	TB @ SEA	CF	Griffin Jax RHB vs RHP ERA 3.63	Hits	0.5	-190	84.5	2, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	65.5%	34.5%	1	TB @ SEA 9:50 PM ET Final W

Showing 1–25 of 211 plays

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