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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 10 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-10 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
213
Total Found
127
Shown
127
Actionable
4
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
51 Victor Bericoto
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 HOU @ SF DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.86
Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% N/A
HOU @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final/10
52 Eddys Leonard
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 HOU @ SF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.86
Hits 0.5 -143 41.2 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
58.8% 7.8% N/A
HOU @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final/10
53 Nathan Lukes 3/3 BOS @ TOR RF
LHB vs RHP
Good 88%
ERA 2.78
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 40.9 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
9.1% 24.2% 0
BOS @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
54 Tyler Heineman 3/3 TEX @ LAA C
S vs LHP
Replacement 3%
ERA 4.55
Hits 0.5 -145 40.8 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
59.2% 7.5% 0
TEX @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final/10
L
55 Victor Mesa Jr.
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TB @ OAK
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.64
Hits 0.5 -145 40.8 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
59.2% 7.5% N/A
TB @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
56 James McCann
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 COL @ ARI C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.25
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% N/A
COL @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
57 Brian Serven
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 TB @ OAK
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 5.37
Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% N/A
TB @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
58 Marcus Semien 3/3 NYM @ ATL 2B
RHB vs RHP
Average 41%
ERA 3.69
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 1, 0, 3
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 0
NYM @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
59 Jake Rogers
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 BOS @ TOR
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 5.96
Hits 0.5 -159 38.6 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
61.4% 5.3% N/A
BOS @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
60 Jordan Lawlar
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 COL @ ARI CF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.25
Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
61.5% 5.1% N/A
COL @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
61 Joey Bart
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 NYM @ ATL
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.15
Hits 0.5 -164 37.9 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
62.1% 4.5% N/A
NYM @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
62 Brooks Lee 3/3 BAL @ MIN 3B
S vs LHP
Average 34%
ERA 4.20
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% 2
BAL @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
63 Joc Pederson
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TEX @ LAA
LHB vs LHP
Average 51%
ERA 4.12
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% 0
TEX @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final/10
L
64 Tommy Troy
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 COL @ ARI
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.25
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% N/A
COL @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
65 Alejandro Kirk
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BOS @ TOR C
RHB vs RHP
Good 88%
ERA 2.78
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% N/A
BOS @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
66 Carson Benge
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 NYM @ ATL RF
LHB vs RHP
Average 41%
ERA 3.69
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
NYM @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
67 Fernando Tatis Jr. 3/3 MIL @ SD RF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.70
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 3, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
MIL @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
68 Jackson Merrill 3/3 MIL @ SD CF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.70
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 2
MIL @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
69 Jake Bauers 3/3 MIL @ SD 1B
LHB vs RHP
Average 61%
ERA 3.40
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
MIL @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
70 Nolan Schanuel 3/3 TEX @ LAA
LHB vs LHP
Replacement 3%
ERA 4.55
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 0
TEX @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final/10
L
71 Luis Urias
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BOS @ TOR
RHB vs RHP
Good 88%
ERA 2.78
Hits 0.5 -174 36.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.5% 3.2% N/A
BOS @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
72 Roman Anthony
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BOS @ TOR DH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 5.96
Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% N/A
BOS @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
73 Will Smith
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 KC @ LAD C
RHB vs LHP
Average 42%
ERA 4.37
Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% N/A
KC @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
74 Andruw Monasterio 3/3 BOS @ TOR PH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 5.96
Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
14.3% 19.0% 0
BOS @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
75 Caleb Durbin 3/3 BOS @ TOR 3B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 5.96
Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
14.3% 19.0% 0
BOS @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 51–75 of 127 plays