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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 11 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-11 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
325
Total Found
237
Shown
237
Actionable
36
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
226 Jose Ramirez 3/3 CLE @ DET 3B
S vs RHP
ERA 4.01
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 0
CLE @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
227 Nick Gonzales 3/3 PIT @ MIA 2B
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 4%
ERA 3.61
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 0
PIT @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
228 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3/3 BOS @ TOR DH
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.38
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 1
BOS @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
229 Ernie Clement 3/3 BOS @ TOR 2B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.38
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 0
BOS @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
230 Jonny DeLuca
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 TB @ OAK CF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.56
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 3, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% N/A
TB @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
231 Kevin McGonigle 3/3 CLE @ DET 3B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 23%
ERA 3.85
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 2
CLE @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
232 Luis Garcia Jr.
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CHC @ WSH
LHB vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 3.60
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 0, 3
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% N/A
CHC @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
233 Chase DeLauter 3/3 CLE @ DET RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.01
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 3
CLE @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
234 Freddie Freeman 3/3 KC @ LAD 1B
LHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.44
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 3, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 0
KC @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
235 Jordan Walker 3/3 PHI @ STL RF
RHB vs LHP
Ace 92%
ERA 2.65
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 0
PHI @ STL
7:45 PM ET
Final
L
236 Ketel Marte 3/3 COL @ ARI 2B
S vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.51
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 2
COL @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
237 Pete Alonso 3/3 BAL @ MIN
RHB vs RHP
Average 69%
ERA 4.45
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 3
BAL @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
Showing 226–237 of 237 plays
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