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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 11 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-11 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
325
Total Found
237
Shown
237
Actionable
36
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
126 Jared Young
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 NYM @ ATL
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 3.14
Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 2, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% N/A
NYM @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
127 Jorge Soler
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 TEX @ LAA
RHB vs LHP
ERA 0.00
Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% N/A
TEX @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
128 Richie Palacios 3/3 TB @ OAK PH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.56
Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% 2
TB @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
129 Victor Bericoto
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 HOU @ SF DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.53
Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% 0
HOU @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
L
130 Eddys Leonard
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 HOU @ SF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.53
Hits 0.5 -143 41.2 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
58.8% 7.8% N/A
HOU @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
131 Salvador Perez 3/3 KC @ LAD DH
RHB vs LHP
ERA 12.00
Hits 0.5 -144 41.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
59.0% 7.7% 1
KC @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final/10
W
132 Jacob Young 3/3 CHC @ WSH
RHB vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 3.60
Hits 0.5 -147 40.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
59.5% 7.2% 2
CHC @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
W
133 Tyrone Taylor
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CHC @ WSH PH TBD Hits 0.5 -148 40.3 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
59.7% 7.0% N/A
CHC @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
134 Harry Ford
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 CHC @ WSH
RHB vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 3.60
Hits 0.5 -149 40.2 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
59.8% 6.8% 1
CHC @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
W
135 Jordan Beck
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 COL @ ARI RF TBD Hits 0.5 -149 40.2 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
59.8% 6.8% 1
COL @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
136 Oswald Peraza 3/3 TEX @ LAA SS
RHB vs LHP
ERA 0.00
Hits 0.5 -149 40.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
59.8% 6.8% 0
TEX @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
137 Masataka Yoshida
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BOS @ TOR
LHB vs RHP
Good 71%
ERA 2.28
Runs Batted In 1.5 +900 40.0 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
10.0% 23.3% 0
BOS @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
138 Braden Montgomery 3/3 CIN @ CWS RF
S vs LHP
ERA 4.60
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% 0
CIN @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
139 Colson Montgomery 3/3 CIN @ CWS SS
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.60
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% 0
CIN @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
140 Edwin Arroyo
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CIN @ CWS TBD Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% N/A
CIN @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
141 Hector Rodriguez 3/3 CIN @ CWS RF TBD Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% 0
CIN @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
142 James McCann
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 COL @ ARI C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.51
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% 0
COL @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
143 Michael Conforto 3/3 CHC @ WSH PH TBD Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% 0
CHC @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
144 Taylor Walls 3/3 TB @ OAK SS
S vs RHP
ERA 5.56
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% 2
TB @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
145 Willy Adames 3/3 HOU @ SF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.53
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% 2
HOU @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
W
146 Brenton Doyle
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 COL @ ARI TBD Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% N/A
COL @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
147 Brian Serven
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 TB @ OAK
RHB vs RHP
Good 82%
ERA 2.65
Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% N/A
TB @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
148 Edgar Quero
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CIN @ CWS
S vs LHP
ERA 4.60
Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% 1
CIN @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
149 Kyle Manzardo
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CLE @ DET
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.01
Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% N/A
CLE @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
150 Kyle Stowers
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 PIT @ MIA
LHB vs RHP
Weak 25%
ERA 3.96
Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 2, 0, 4
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% N/A
PIT @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final
Showing 126–150 of 237 plays