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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 11 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-11 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
325
Total Found
237
Shown
237
Actionable
36
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
176 Wilyer Abreu 3/3 BOS @ TOR RF
LHB vs RHP
Good 71%
ERA 2.28
Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 0, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
14.3% 19.0% 1
BOS @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
177 Cedric Mullins 3/3 TB @ OAK PH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.56
Hits 0.5 -180 35.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
64.3% 2.4% 0
TB @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
178 Blaze Jordan
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 PHI @ STL
RHB vs LHP
Ace 92%
ERA 2.65
Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
64.9% 1.8% 0
PHI @ STL
7:45 PM ET
Final
L
179 Carson Benge 3/3 NYM @ ATL RF
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 3.14
Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
64.9% 1.8% 2
NYM @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
180 Carson Kelly
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CHC @ WSH C TBD Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
64.9% 1.8% 1
CHC @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
W
181 Edmundo Sosa
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 PHI @ STL 3B
RHB vs RHP
Average 38%
ERA 3.63
Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
64.9% 1.8% N/A
PHI @ STL
7:45 PM ET
Final
182 Gabriel Gonzalez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BAL @ MIN
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.43
Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
64.9% 1.8% N/A
BAL @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
183 Tim Tawa 3/3 COL @ ARI 1B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.51
Hits 0.5 -185 35.1 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
64.9% 1.8% 2
COL @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
184 Willi Castro 3/3 COL @ ARI TBD Hits 0.5 -186 35.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
65.0% 1.6% 0
COL @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
185 Leo Jimenez
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 PIT @ MIA
RHB vs RHP
Weak 25%
ERA 3.96
Hits 1.5 +550 34.6 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
15.4% 17.9% N/A
PIT @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final
186 Owen Caissie 3/3 PIT @ MIA
LHB vs RHP
Weak 25%
ERA 3.96
Hits 1.5 +550 34.6 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
15.4% 17.9% 0
PIT @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
187 Cam Smith
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 HOU @ SF RF TBD Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 3, 0, 3
2/3
66.7%
65.5% 1.1% 1
HOU @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
W
188 Fernando Tatis Jr. 3/3 MIL @ SD RF
RHB vs LHP
ERA 2.84
Hits 0.5 -190 34.5 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
65.5% 1.1% 1
MIL @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
189 Hunter Goodman 3/3 COL @ ARI C TBD Hits 0.5 -192 34.2 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
65.8% 0.9% 1
COL @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
190 Tyler O'Neill 3/3 BAL @ MIN
RHB vs RHP
Average 69%
ERA 4.45
Hits 0.5 -195 33.9 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
66.1% 0.6% 1
BAL @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
191 Abimelec Ortiz 3/3 CHC @ WSH
LHB vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 3.60
Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 33.3 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
16.7% 16.7% 0
CHC @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
192 Marcell Ozuna
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 PIT @ MIA
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 4%
ERA 3.61
Hits 1.5 +500 33.3 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
16.7% 16.7% N/A
PIT @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final
193 Nathaniel Lowe
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CIN @ CWS TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 33.3 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
16.7% 16.7% N/A
CIN @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final/10
194 Alec Burleson 3/3 PHI @ STL 1B
LHB vs LHP
Ace 92%
ERA 2.65
Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
66.7% 0.0% 1
PHI @ STL
7:45 PM ET
Final
W
195 Blaze Alexander
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BAL @ MIN
RHB vs RHP
Average 69%
ERA 4.45
Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
66.7% 0.0% N/A
BAL @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
196 Ezequiel Duran 3/3 TEX @ LAA 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 7.11
Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
66.7% 0.0% 1
TEX @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
W
197 Leody Taveras
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BAL @ MIN
S vs RHP
Average 69%
ERA 4.45
Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
66.7% 0.0% N/A
BAL @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
198 Luis Robert Jr. 3/3 NYM @ ATL
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 3.14
Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
66.7% 0.0% 1
NYM @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
199 Luke Keaschall 3/3 BAL @ MIN RF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.43
Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
66.7% 0.0% 1
BAL @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
200 Royce Lewis 3/3 BAL @ MIN 1B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.43
Hits 0.5 -200 33.3 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
66.7% 0.0% 2
BAL @ MIN
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
Showing 176–200 of 237 plays