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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 12 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-12 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
332
Total Found
205
Shown
205
Actionable
5
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
151 Andres Chaparro 3/3 CHC @ WSH
RHB vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 5.35
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 0
CHC @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
152 George Lombard Jr. 3/3 SEA @ NYY SS
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.08
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 2
SEA @ NYY
7:00 PM ET
Final
W
153 Lawrence Butler 3/3 TB @ OAK
LHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.75
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 1
TB @ ATH
3:05 PM ET
Final
L
154 Osleivis Basabe 3/3 HOU @ SF PH
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.83
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 0
HOU @ SF
3:45 PM ET
Final
L
155 Willy Adames 3/3 HOU @ SF
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.83
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 1
HOU @ SF
3:45 PM ET
Final
L
156 Zack Gelof 3/3 TB @ OAK
RHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.75
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 2
TB @ ATH
3:05 PM ET
Final
W
157 Javier Baez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CLE @ DET SS
RHB vs LHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.31
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 1
CLE @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
158 Spencer Torkelson 3/3 CLE @ DET 1B
RHB vs LHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.31
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 1
CLE @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
159 Agustin Ramirez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 PIT @ MIA DH
RHB vs RHP
Average 51%
ERA 3.51
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 2
PIT @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
160 Giancarlo Stanton
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 SEA @ NYY PH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.08
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
SEA @ NYY
7:00 PM ET
Final
161 Jacob Young 3/3 CHC @ WSH
RHB vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 5.35
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 2
CHC @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
W
162 Jakob Marsee 3/3 PIT @ MIA DH
LHB vs RHP
Average 51%
ERA 3.51
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 1
PIT @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
163 Jordan Walker 3/3 PHI @ STL RF
RHB vs RHP
Average 68%
ERA 2.69
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 1
PHI @ STL
2:15 PM ET
Final
L
164 Nathaniel Lowe 3/3 CLE @ DET 1B
LHB vs LHP
Weak 29%
ERA 4.17
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
CLE @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
165 Ronny Simon 3/3 PIT @ MIA RF
S vs RHP
Weak 24%
ERA 4.63
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 2
PIT @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
166 Tim Tawa 3/3 COL @ ARI 1B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.71
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
COL @ ARI
3:40 PM ET
Final
L
167 Abimelec Ortiz 3/3 CHC @ WSH
LHB vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 5.35
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 1
CHC @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
168 Chase Meidroth
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 CIN @ CWS 2B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 13%
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 2
CIN @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
169 CJ Abrams 3/3 CHC @ WSH
LHB vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 5.35
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 0
CHC @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
170 Daylen Lile 3/3 CHC @ WSH
LHB vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 5.35
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 2
CHC @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
W
171 Hunter Goodman 3/3 COL @ ARI C TBD Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 0
COL @ ARI
3:40 PM ET
Final
L
172 Josh Naylor
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SEA @ NYY 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 20%
ERA 4.18
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 3, 0
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 1
SEA @ NYY
7:00 PM ET
Final
L
173 Leody Taveras
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BAL @ MIN
S vs RHP
ERA 5.23
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 1
BAL @ MIN
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
174 Manny Machado 3/3 MIL @ SD 3B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.30
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 3, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 0
MIL @ SD
4:10 PM ET
Final/11
L
175 Brady House 3/3 CHC @ WSH
RHB vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 5.35
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 3, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 1
CHC @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 151–175 of 205 plays