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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 13 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-13 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
204
Total Found
134
Shown
134
Actionable
7
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
126 Ronny Simon
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 PIT @ MIA RF
S vs RHP
ERA 3.47
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% N/A
PIT @ MIA
1:10 PM ET
Final
127 Ryan Jeffers
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 PHI @ MIN C
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 8%
ERA 5.47
Hits 1.5 +260 22.2 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
27.8% 5.6% 2
PHI @ MIN
7:30 PM ET
Final
W
128 Chase Meidroth
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CIN @ CWS 2B
RHB vs LHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 3.92
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 2
CIN @ CHW
1:10 PM ET
Final
W
129 Freddie Freeman 3/3 MIL @ LAD 1B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.87
Hits 1.5 +240 20.6 1, 0, 3
1/3
33.3%
29.4% 3.9% 0
MIL @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
130 Michael Busch 3/3 CHC @ WSH 1B
LHB vs RHP
Average 53%
ERA 3.57
Hits 1.5 +230 19.7 1, 0, 3
1/3
33.3%
30.3% 3.0% 1
CHC @ WSH
4:05 PM ET
Final
L
131 Ceddanne Rafaela 3/3 BOS @ TOR CF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 7.25
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 2
BOS @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
W
132 Sal Stewart 3/3 CIN @ CWS 1B TBD Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 2
CIN @ CHW
1:10 PM ET
Final
W
133 Sam Antonacci 3/3 CIN @ CWS DH
LHB vs LHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 3.92
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 3, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 2
CIN @ CHW
1:10 PM ET
Final
W
134 Liam Hicks
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 PIT @ MIA
LHB vs RHP
Good 79%
ERA 4.08
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% N/A
PIT @ MIA
1:10 PM ET
Final
Showing 126–134 of 134 plays
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