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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 14 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-14 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
329
Total Found
197
Shown
197
Actionable
8
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
151 Eugenio Suarez 3/3 MIA @ CIN DH
RHB vs RHP
Good 75%
ERA 3.52
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% 1
MIA @ CIN
6:10 PM ET
Final
L
152 Jac Caglianone 3/3 KC @ LAA RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 7.20
Runs Batted In 1.5 +360 28.3 0, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% 5
KC @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
W
153 Tommy Pham
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CWS @ DET PH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 0.00
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 1, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% N/A
CHW @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
154 Willi Castro 3/3 COL @ SF
S vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 4.22
Hits 1.5 +360 28.3 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
21.7% 11.6% 0
COL @ SF
10:15 PM ET
Final
L
155 Aaron Judge
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 NYY @ TOR
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.48
Runs Batted In 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% N/A
NYY @ TOR
7:15 PM ET
Final
156 Austin Riley 3/3 ARI @ ATL 3B TBD Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 3, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 0
ARI @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
157 Brett Bateman
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 NYY @ TOR RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.35
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 2
NYY @ TOR
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
158 Edgar Quero
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 CWS @ DET
S vs RHP
ERA 0.00
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 3, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% N/A
CHW @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
159 George Lombard Jr. 3/3 NYY @ TOR SS
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.48
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 0
NYY @ TOR
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
160 Harry Ford
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 WSH @ NYM
RHB vs RHP
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% N/A
WSH @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
161 Masyn Winn 3/3 STL @ CHC
RHB vs RHP
Good 72%
ERA 2.86
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% 0
STL @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
L
162 Willy Adames
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 COL @ SF
RHB vs LHP
ERA 6.63
Hits 1.5 +340 27.3 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
22.7% 10.6% N/A
COL @ SF
10:15 PM ET
Final
163 Cam Smith 3/3 SEA @ HOU RF
RHB vs RHP
Weak 27%
ERA 3.68
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 0, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 1
SEA @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
164 Christian Koss 3/3 COL @ SF SS
RHB vs LHP
ERA 6.63
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 1
COL @ SF
10:15 PM ET
Final
L
165 Denzer Guzman 3/3 KC @ LAA 3B
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 5%
ERA 4.41
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 3, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 1
KC @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
166 Jackson Merrill 3/3 SD @ CLE CF
LHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 3.55
Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 0
SD @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
167 Spencer Torkelson 3/3 CWS @ DET 1B TBD Hits 1.5 +320 26.2 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
23.8% 9.5% 1
CHW @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
168 Abimelec Ortiz 3/3 WSH @ NYM
LHB vs RHP
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
WSH @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
169 Corbin Carroll 3/3 ARI @ ATL RF TBD Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 2
ARI @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
170 Geraldo Perdomo
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 ARI @ ATL SS TBD Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 4
ARI @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
171 Giancarlo Stanton
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 NYY @ TOR PH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.48
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
NYY @ TOR
7:15 PM ET
Final
172 Keibert Ruiz
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 WSH @ NYM
S vs RHP
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 0, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 0
WSH @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
173 Randal Grichuk
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CWS @ DET LF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 0.00
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% N/A
CHW @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
174 Tyler Stephenson 3/3 MIA @ CIN C
RHB vs RHP
Good 75%
ERA 3.52
Hits 1.5 +300 25.0 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
25.0% 8.3% 1
MIA @ CIN
6:10 PM ET
Final
L
175 Dominic Canzone 3/3 SEA @ HOU RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.09
Hits 1.5 +280 23.7 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
26.3% 7.0% 2
SEA @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final/10
W
Showing 151–175 of 197 plays