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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 15 →
Wins
0
Losses
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Win %
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Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-15 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
332
Total Found
193
Shown
193
Actionable
11
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
51 Eliezer Alfonzo
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIL @ LAD
S vs RHP
Ace 97%
ERA 1.76
Runs Batted In 0.5 +255 71.8 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
28.2% 38.5% N/A
MIL @ LAD
7:15 PM ET
Final
52 Dylan Beavers 3/3 BAL @ TB
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.08
Runs Batted In 0.5 +250 71.4 2, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
28.6% 38.1% 0
BAL @ TB
6:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
53 Geraldo Perdomo 3/3 ARI @ ATL SS
S vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 3.47
Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 4, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 0
ARI @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
54 Gleyber Torres 3/3 CWS @ DET TBD Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 3
CHW @ DET
1:10 PM ET
Final
W
55 Masataka Yoshida 3/3 BOS @ PIT
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.03
Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 1
BOS @ PIT
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
56 Austin Hays
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SD @ CLE DH
RHB vs LHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.91
Runs Batted In 0.5 +236 70.2 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
29.8% 36.9% 0
SD @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
57 Corbin Carroll 3/3 ARI @ ATL RF
LHB vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 3.47
Hits 1.5 +230 69.7 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
30.3% 36.4% 2
ARI @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
58 Kyle Stowers
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIA @ CIN
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 1%
ERA 4.66
Runs Batted In 0.5 +230 69.7 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
30.3% 36.4% N/A
MIA @ CIN
6:40 PM ET
Final
59 Brice Turang
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIL @ LAD 2B
LHB vs LHP
Ace 99%
ERA 3.44
Runs Batted In 0.5 +220 68.7 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
31.3% 35.4% N/A
MIL @ LAD
7:15 PM ET
Final
60 Chase DeLauter 3/3 SD @ CLE RF TBD Hits 1.5 +220 68.7 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
31.3% 35.4% 2
SD @ CLE
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
61 Ketel Marte
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 ARI @ ATL 2B
S vs RHP
Average 47%
ERA 3.47
Hits 1.5 +220 68.7 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
31.3% 35.4% N/A
ARI @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
62 Nick Gonzales
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BOS @ PIT 2B
RHB vs RHP
Good 88%
ERA 2.79
Hits 1.5 +220 68.7 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
31.3% 35.4% N/A
BOS @ PIT
7:15 PM ET
Final
63 Sal Stewart 3/3 MIA @ CIN 1B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.78
Hits 1.5 +220 68.7 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
31.3% 35.4% 2
MIA @ CIN
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
64 Victor Mesa Jr. 3/3 BAL @ TB
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 3.69
Runs Batted In 0.5 +210 67.7 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
32.3% 34.4% 0
BAL @ TB
6:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
65 Jared Young 3/3 WSH @ NYM
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.79
Runs Batted In 0.5 +204 67.1 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
32.9% 33.8% 2
WSH @ NYM
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
66 Bobby Witt Jr. 3/3 KC @ LAA SS
RHB vs LHP
Average 51%
ERA 4.00
Hits 1.5 +200 66.7 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
33.3% 33.3% 0
KC @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
67 Chandler Simpson
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BAL @ TB LF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 3.69
Hits 1.5 +200 66.7 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
33.3% 33.3% 2
BAL @ TB
6:10 PM ET
Final/10
W
68 Jose Siri 3/3 KC @ LAA PH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.00
Runs Batted In 0.5 +200 66.7 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
33.3% 33.3% 0
KC @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
69 Seiya Suzuki 3/3 STL @ CHC RF
RHB vs RHP
Weak 18%
ERA 3.64
Hits 1.5 +200 66.7 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
33.3% 33.3% 1
STL @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
L
70 Konnor Griffin
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BOS @ PIT SS
RHB vs RHP
Good 88%
ERA 2.79
Hits 1.5 +196 66.2 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
33.8% 32.9% N/A
BOS @ PIT
7:15 PM ET
Final
71 Esmerlyn Valdez 3/3 BOS @ PIT
RHB vs RHP
Good 88%
ERA 2.79
Runs Batted In 0.5 +195 66.1 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
33.9% 32.8% 0
BOS @ PIT
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
72 Jorge Soler
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 KC @ LAA
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.00
Runs Batted In 0.5 +184 64.8 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
35.2% 31.5% N/A
KC @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
73 Jake Rogers
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BOS @ PIT
RHB vs RHP
ERA 5.03
Runs Batted In 0.5 +179 64.2 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
35.8% 30.8% N/A
BOS @ PIT
7:15 PM ET
Final
74 Eduardo Valencia 3/3 CWS @ DET C TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +151 60.2 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
39.8% 26.8% 2
CHW @ DET
1:10 PM ET
Final
W
75 Ben Rortvedt
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 MIL @ LAD
LHB vs RHP
Ace 97%
ERA 1.76
Hits 0.5 +110 52.4 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
47.6% 19.0% N/A
MIL @ LAD
7:15 PM ET
Final
Showing 51–75 of 193 plays