Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-17 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

247

Total Found

137

Shown

137

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Carlos Cortes ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	OAK @ KC		Michael Wacha LHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.46	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	133.3	3, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	16.7%	83.3%	0	ATH @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final L
2	Gleyber Torres ELITE	3/3	DET @ PIT		Carmen Mlodzinski RHB vs RHP Average 51% ERA 3.79	Hits	1.5	+240	120.6	2, 3, 2	3/3 100.0%	29.4%	70.6%	1	DET @ PIT 7:00 PM ET Final L
3	Jared Young ELITE	3/3	SD @ NYM		Walker Buehler LHB vs RHP ERA 4.88	Runs Batted In	0.5	+204	117.1	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	32.9%	67.1%	0	SD @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
4	Teoscar Hernandez ELITE	3/3	LAD @ COL	LF	Tomoyuki Sugano RHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 4.43	Hits	0.5	-119	95.7	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	54.3%	45.7%	0	LAD @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final L
5	Luis Torrens ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ NYM	C	Walker Buehler RHB vs RHP ERA 4.88	Hits	0.5	-139	91.8	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	58.2%	41.8%	N/A	SD @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final
6	Luis Torrens ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ NYM	C	Walker Buehler RHB vs RHP ERA 4.88	Home Runs	0.5	+1000	90.9	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	9.1%	57.6%	N/A	SD @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final
7	Esmerlyn Valdez ELITE	3/3	DET @ PIT		Framber Valdez RHB vs LHP Weak 29% ERA 4.26	Hits	0.5	-145	90.8	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	59.2%	40.8%	0	DET @ PIT 7:00 PM ET Final L
8	Ildemaro Vargas	3/3	ARI @ BOS	PH	Alec Gamboa S vs LHP ERA 1.59	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	ARI @ BOS 7:10 PM ET Final L
9	Michael Massey	3/3	OAK @ KC	2B	Mason Barnett LHB vs RHP ERA 6.16	Home Runs	0.5	+850	89.5	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.5%	56.1%	0	ATH @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final L
10	Jared Young ELITE	3/3	SD @ NYM		Walker Buehler LHB vs RHP ERA 4.88	Hits	0.5	-155	89.2	2, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	60.8%	39.2%	0	SD @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
11	Lawrence Butler	3/3	OAK @ KC		Michael Wacha LHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.46	Home Runs	0.5	+800	88.9	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	ATH @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final L
12	Brandon Lowe	3/3	DET @ PIT	2B	Framber Valdez LHB vs LHP Weak 29% ERA 4.26	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	2, 0, 3	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	DET @ PIT 7:00 PM ET Final L
13	Edmundo Sosa ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ PHI	3B	Janson Junk RHB vs RHP Weak 24% ERA 4.41	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	0, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	N/A	MIA @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final
14	Ildemaro Vargas ELITE	3/3	ARI @ BOS	PH	Alec Gamboa S vs LHP ERA 1.59	Hits	0.5	-182	85.5	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	64.5%	35.5%	0	ARI @ BOS 7:10 PM ET Final L
15	Andy Pages	3/3	LAD @ COL	CF	Tomoyuki Sugano RHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 4.43	Home Runs	0.5	+575	85.2	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	14.8%	51.9%	0	LAD @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final L
16	Colton Cowser	3/3	BAL @ TB		Shane McClanahan LHB vs LHP ERA 3.09	Home Runs	0.5	+575	85.2	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	14.8%	51.9%	0	BAL @ TB 6:05 PM ET Final L
17	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ CIN	1B	Kent Emanuel LHB vs LHP	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	STL @ CIN 1:40 PM ET Final L
18	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ CIN	1B	Kent Emanuel LHB vs LHP	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	4, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	STL @ CIN 1:40 PM ET Final L
19	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ CIN	1B	Kent Emanuel LHB vs LHP	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	STL @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final/10 L
20	Alec Burleson	3/3	STL @ CIN	1B	Kent Emanuel LHB vs LHP	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	4, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	STL @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final/10 L
21	Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ CHC	3B	Shota Imanaga RHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 3.74	Home Runs	0.5	+450	81.8	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	CHW @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final/10 L
22	Tristan Peters	3/3	CWS @ CHC	CF	Shota Imanaga LHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 3.74	Hits	1.5	+400	80.0	1, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	0	CHW @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final/10 L
23	Luke Keaschall	3/3	ATL @ MIN	RF	Martín Pérez RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.96	Hits	1.5	+380	79.2	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	2	ATL @ MIN 7:40 PM ET Final W
24	Michael Massey	3/3	OAK @ KC	2B	Mason Barnett LHB vs RHP ERA 6.16	Hits	1.5	+360	78.3	3, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	21.7%	44.9%	1	ATH @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final L
25	Alan Roden ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ MIN	LF	Martín Pérez LHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.96	Runs Batted In	0.5	+325	76.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	23.5%	43.1%	0	ATL @ MIN 7:40 PM ET Final L

Showing 1–25 of 137 plays

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