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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 17 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-17 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
247
Total Found
137
Shown
137
Actionable
8
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
51 Endy Rodriguez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 DET @ PIT
S vs LHP
Weak 29%
ERA 4.26
Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% N/A
DET @ PIT
7:00 PM ET
Final
52 Braden Montgomery 3/3 CWS @ CHC RF
S vs LHP
Average 32%
ERA 3.74
Runs Batted In 1.5 +900 40.0 0, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
10.0% 23.3% 0
CHW @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final/10
L
53 Xander Bogaerts 3/3 SD @ NYM SS
RHB vs RHP
Average 62%
ERA 3.42
Runs Batted In 1.5 +900 40.0 1, 0, 3
1/3
33.3%
10.0% 23.3% 0
SD @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
54 Zac Veen 3/3 LAD @ COL
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.00
Runs Batted In 1.5 +900 40.0 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
10.0% 23.3% 1
LAD @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
55 Edwin Arroyo
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 STL @ CIN
S vs LHP
ERA 3.60
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% N/A
STL @ CIN
1:40 PM ET
Final
56 Edwin Arroyo
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 STL @ CIN
S vs LHP
ERA 3.60
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% N/A
STL @ CIN
6:40 PM ET
Final/10
57 James McCann
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 ARI @ BOS C
RHB vs LHP
ERA 1.59
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% 0
ARI @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
58 Brian Serven
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 OAK @ KC
RHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.46
Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% 1
ATH @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
59 Kyle Stowers
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIA @ PHI
LHB vs LHP
Ace 92%
ERA 2.54
Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 2, 0, 4
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% N/A
MIA @ PHI
6:40 PM ET
Final
60 Andruw Monasterio 3/3 ARI @ BOS PH TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 1
ARI @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
61 Cole Carrigg 3/3 LAD @ COL CF
S vs LHP
ERA 5.00
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 0
LAD @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
62 Luis Campusano
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SD @ NYM C
RHB vs RHP
Average 62%
ERA 3.42
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 0, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 0
SD @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
63 Michael Massey 3/3 OAK @ KC 2B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 6.16
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 0
ATH @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
64 Jake Rogers
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 ARI @ BOS TBD Hits 0.5 -159 38.6 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
61.4% 5.3% N/A
ARI @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Final
65 Brett Sullivan 3/3 LAD @ COL C
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.00
Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
61.5% 5.1% 1
LAD @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
W
66 Jordan Lawlar
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 ARI @ BOS CF
RHB vs LHP
ERA 1.59
Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
61.5% 5.1% 0
ARI @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
67 Tommy Troy
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 ARI @ BOS
RHB vs LHP
ERA 1.59
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% N/A
ARI @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Final
68 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 3/3 BAL @ TB
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.09
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 3, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 4
BAL @ TB
6:05 PM ET
Final
W
69 Mickey Moniak
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 LAD @ COL RF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.00
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 3, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% N/A
LAD @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
70 Pete Alonso 3/3 BAL @ TB
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.09
Runs Batted In 1.5 +700 37.5 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
12.5% 20.8% 1
BAL @ TB
6:05 PM ET
Final
L
71 Roman Anthony
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 ARI @ BOS DH TBD Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% N/A
ARI @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Final
72 Will Smith
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAD @ COL C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.43
Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% N/A
LAD @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
73 Alex Call
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 LAD @ COL LF
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.43
Hits 0.5 -178 36.0 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
64.0% 2.6% 0
LAD @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
74 Bryson Stott 3/3 MIA @ PHI 2B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 24%
ERA 4.41
Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 0, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
14.3% 19.0% 0
MIA @ PHI
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
75 Lawrence Butler 3/3 OAK @ KC
LHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.46
Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 35.7 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
14.3% 19.0% 0
ATH @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 51–75 of 137 plays