Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-17 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

247

Total Found

137

Shown

137

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
76	Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ CHC	3B	Shota Imanaga RHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 3.74	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	35.7	1, 0, 3	1/3 33.3%	14.3%	19.0%	0	CHW @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final/10 L
77	Gabriel Gonzalez ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ATL @ MIN		Martín Pérez RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.96	Hits	0.5	-185	35.1	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	64.9%	1.8%	N/A	ATL @ MIN 7:40 PM ET Final
78	Alec Bohm	3/3	MIA @ PHI	1B	Janson Junk RHB vs RHP Weak 24% ERA 4.41	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	4, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	1	MIA @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L
79	Alika Williams	3/3	OAK @ KC		Michael Wacha RHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.46	Hits	1.5	+500	33.3	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0	ATH @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final L
80	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ CHC	SS	Shota Imanaga LHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 3.74	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	N/A	CHW @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final/10
81	Kaelen Culpepper	3/3	ATL @ MIN	SS	Martín Pérez RHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.96	Hits	1.5	+500	33.3	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	1	ATL @ MIN 7:40 PM ET Final L
82	Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ CHC	1B	Shota Imanaga LHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 3.74	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0	CHW @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final/10 L
83	Richie Palacios	3/3	BAL @ TB	PH	Brandon Young LHB vs RHP ERA 3.33	Hits	1.5	+500	33.3	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	1	BAL @ TB 6:05 PM ET Final L
84	Blaze Alexander ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	BAL @ TB		Shane McClanahan RHB vs LHP ERA 3.09	Hits	0.5	-200	33.3	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	66.7%	0.0%	N/A	BAL @ TB 6:05 PM ET Final
85	Colt Keith	3/3	DET @ PIT		Carmen Mlodzinski LHB vs RHP Average 51% ERA 3.79	Hits	0.5	-200	33.3	2, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	66.7%	0.0%	1	DET @ PIT 7:00 PM ET Final W
86	Cedric Mullins ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ TB	PH	Brandon Young LHB vs RHP ERA 3.33	Hits	1.5	+475	32.6	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	1	BAL @ TB 6:05 PM ET Final L
87	Leody Taveras	3/3	BAL @ TB		Shane McClanahan S vs LHP ERA 3.09	Hits	1.5	+475	32.6	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	0	BAL @ TB 6:05 PM ET Final L
88	Heriberto Hernandez	3/3	MIA @ PHI	LF	Cristopher Sánchez RHB vs LHP Ace 92% ERA 2.54	Runs Batted In	1.5	+450	31.8	1, 3, 0	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	0	MIA @ PHI 6:40 PM ET Final L
89	Jake Cronenworth	3/3	SD @ NYM	2B	Nolan McLean LHB vs RHP Average 62% ERA 3.42	Hits	1.5	+400	30.0	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	2	SD @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final W
90	Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ CHC	2B	Shota Imanaga RHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 3.74	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	0	CHW @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final/10 L
91	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ CHC	SS	Shota Imanaga LHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 3.74	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	N/A	CHW @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final/10
92	Connor Wong ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ BOS	C	TBD	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	N/A	ARI @ BOS 7:10 PM ET Final
93	Jahmai Jones ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ARI @ BOS	DH	TBD	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	N/A	ARI @ BOS 7:10 PM ET Final
94	Kody Clemens ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ MIN	2B	Martín Pérez LHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.96	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	2	ATL @ MIN 7:40 PM ET Final W
95	Luis Campusano ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ NYM	C	Nolan McLean RHB vs RHP Average 62% ERA 3.42	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	0	SD @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final L
96	Tim Tawa	3/3	ARI @ BOS	1B	Alec Gamboa RHB vs LHP ERA 1.59	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	2	ARI @ BOS 7:10 PM ET Final W
97	Jackson Holliday	3/3	BAL @ TB		Shane McClanahan LHB vs LHP ERA 3.09	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	1	BAL @ TB 6:05 PM ET Final L
98	Tommy Pham ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ CHC	PH	Shota Imanaga RHB vs LHP Average 32% ERA 3.74	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	N/A	CHW @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final/10
99	Braden Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ CHC	RF	Shota Imanaga S vs LHP Average 32% ERA 3.74	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	1	CHW @ CHC 8:05 PM ET Final/10 L
100	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	BAL @ TB		Shane McClanahan LHB vs LHP ERA 3.09	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	0, 1, 4	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	2	BAL @ TB 6:05 PM ET Final W

Showing 76–100 of 137 plays

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