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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 18 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-18 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
335
Total Found
209
Shown
209
Actionable
5
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
201 Nick Gonzales
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 DET @ PIT 2B
RHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.30
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% N/A
DET @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
202 Nico Hoerner 3/3 CWS @ CHC 2B TBD Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 4, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 1
CHW @ CHC
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
203 Sal Stewart 3/3 STL @ CIN 1B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 21%
ERA 3.13
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% 1
STL @ CIN
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
204 Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 TOR @ TB DH
RHB vs RHP
Good 82%
ERA 2.93
Hits 1.5 +220 18.7 1, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
31.3% 2.1% N/A
TOR @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
205 Bo Bichette 3/3 SD @ NYM 3B
RHB vs LHP
Average 36%
ERA 3.20
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 3, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 2
SD @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
W
206 Bobby Witt Jr. 3/3 OAK @ KC SS
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.88
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 3, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 1
ATH @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
207 Gabriel Moreno 3/3 ARI @ BOS DH
RHB vs LHP
Average 43%
ERA 3.41
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 1, 3
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 1
ARI @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
208 Jackson Chourio 3/3 SEA @ MIL LF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.12
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 3, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 1
SEA @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
209 Yordan Alvarez 3/3 LAA @ HOU LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.74
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 0
LAA @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 201–209 of 209 plays
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