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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 19 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-19 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
345
Total Found
209
Shown
209
Actionable
8
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
51 Dominic Canzone 3/3 SEA @ MIL RF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 4.13
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 2
SEA @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
52 JJ Wetherholt 3/3 STL @ CIN 2B
LHB vs RHP
Average 65%
ERA 2.47
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 2
STL @ CIN
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
53 Nick Sogard 3/3 ARI @ BOS 2B TBD Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 2
ARI @ BOS
4:10 PM ET
Final/10
W
54 Brett Sullivan 3/3 LAD @ COL C
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.46
Runs Batted In 0.5 +257 72.0 0, 1, 3
2/3
66.7%
28.0% 38.7% 0
LAD @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final/10
L
55 Eliezer Alfonzo
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAD @ COL
S vs LHP
ERA 6.27
Runs Batted In 0.5 +255 71.8 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
28.2% 38.5% N/A
LAD @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final/10
56 Jorge Mateo
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 TOR @ TB PH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.59
Runs Batted In 0.5 +250 71.4 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
28.6% 38.1% N/A
TOR @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
57 Jose Ramirez 3/3 SF @ CLE 3B
S vs LHP
Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 3, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 0
SF @ CLE
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
58 Masataka Yoshida
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 ARI @ BOS TBD Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% N/A
ARI @ BOS
4:10 PM ET
Final/10
59 William Contreras 3/3 SEA @ MIL C
RHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.28
Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 0
SEA @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
60 Alex Bregman 3/3 CWS @ CHC DH TBD Hits 1.5 +230 69.7 2, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
30.3% 36.4% 0
CHW @ CHC
2:20 PM ET
Final
L
61 Fernando Tatis Jr. 3/3 SD @ NYM RF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.57
Hits 1.5 +230 69.7 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
30.3% 36.4% 1
SD @ NYM
1:10 PM ET
Final
L
62 Kyle Stowers
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIA @ PHI
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 8%
ERA 5.33
Runs Batted In 0.5 +230 69.7 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
30.3% 36.4% N/A
MIA @ PHI
6:05 PM ET
Final
63 Ryan Vilade 3/3 TOR @ TB RF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.59
Hits 1.5 +230 69.7 2, 1, 3
2/3
66.7%
30.3% 36.4% 0
TOR @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
64 Alec Bohm 3/3 MIA @ PHI 1B
RHB vs RHP
Good 75%
ERA 3.43
Hits 1.5 +220 68.7 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
31.3% 35.4% 0
MIA @ PHI
6:05 PM ET
Final
L
65 Brice Turang
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SEA @ MIL 2B
LHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.28
Runs Batted In 0.5 +220 68.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
31.3% 35.4% 0
SEA @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
66 Bo Bichette 3/3 SD @ NYM 3B
RHB vs RHP
Average 60%
ERA 3.41
Hits 1.5 +200 66.7 2, 1, 3
2/3
66.7%
33.3% 33.3% 0
SD @ NYM
1:10 PM ET
Final
L
67 Chandler Simpson 3/3 TOR @ TB LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 6.59
Hits 1.5 +200 66.7 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
33.3% 33.3% 1
TOR @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
68 Corey Seager
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 WSH @ TEX SS
LHB vs RHP
Average 53%
ERA 3.36
Hits 1.5 +200 66.7 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
33.3% 33.3% 2
WSH @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
W
69 Jordan Walker 3/3 STL @ CIN RF
RHB vs RHP
Average 65%
ERA 2.47
Hits 1.5 +200 66.7 1, 3, 3
2/3
66.7%
33.3% 33.3% 1
STL @ CIN
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
70 Wyatt Langford 3/3 WSH @ TEX LF
RHB vs RHP
Average 53%
ERA 3.36
Hits 1.5 +200 66.7 2, 0, 3
2/3
66.7%
33.3% 33.3% 0
WSH @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
71 Yandy Diaz 3/3 TOR @ TB DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.59
Hits 1.5 +200 66.7 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
33.3% 33.3% 1
TOR @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
72 Drake Baldwin 3/3 ATL @ MIN DH
LHB vs RHP
Average 55%
ERA 3.98
Hits 1.5 +196 66.2 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
33.8% 32.9% 0
ATL @ MIN
1:40 PM ET
Final
L
73 Konnor Griffin
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 DET @ PIT SS
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.23
Hits 1.5 +196 66.2 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
33.8% 32.9% N/A
DET @ PIT
12:35 PM ET
Final
74 Jake Rogers
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 ARI @ BOS TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +179 64.2 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
35.8% 30.8% N/A
ARI @ BOS
4:10 PM ET
Final/10
75 Charles McAdoo
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TOR @ TB 1B
RHB vs RHP
Good 84%
ERA 2.78
Hits 0.5 -106 48.5 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
51.5% 15.2% 3
TOR @ TB
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
Showing 51–75 of 209 plays