Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-20 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

193

Total Found

112

Shown

112

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
76	Tommy Pham ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ATL @ CWS	PH	Grant Holmes RHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.64	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	N/A	ATL @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final
77	Aaron Judge ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ BAL		Kyle Bradish RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.70	Runs Batted In	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	N/A	NYY @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final
78	Braden Montgomery	3/3	ATL @ CWS	RF	Grant Holmes S vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.64	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	0	ATL @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
79	Gunnar Henderson	3/3	NYY @ BAL		Gerrit Cole LHB vs RHP ERA 3.11	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	1	NYY @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final L
80	Miguel Vargas	3/3	ATL @ CWS	3B	Grant Holmes RHB vs RHP Average 47% ERA 3.64	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	0	ATL @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
81	Cody Freeman	3/3	WSH @ TEX	PH	Andrew Alvarez RHB vs LHP ERA 3.60	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	WSH @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
82	Giancarlo Stanton ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ BAL	PH	Kyle Bradish RHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.70	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	N/A	NYY @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final
83	Keibert Ruiz ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ TEX		Jacob deGrom S vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 3.77	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	WSH @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
84	Lawrence Butler	3/3	OAK @ KC		Randy Dobnak LHB vs RHP ERA 1.58	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	2	ATH @ KC 2:10 PM ET Final W
85	Liam Hicks ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ TB	C	Shane Bieber LHB vs RHP ERA 4.53	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	N/A	TOR @ TB 1:10 PM ET Final
86	Luis Lara	3/3	SEA @ MIL	PH	George Kirby S vs RHP Weak 27% ERA 4.18	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 3, 0	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	0	SEA @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final L
87	Pete Alonso	3/3	NYY @ BAL		Gerrit Cole RHB vs RHP ERA 3.11	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	2	NYY @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final W
88	Brendan Donovan	3/3	SEA @ MIL		Robert Gasser LHB vs LHP ERA 4.79	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	2	SEA @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final W
89	CJ Abrams ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ TEX		Jacob deGrom LHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 3.77	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	N/A	WSH @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final
90	Jonathan Aranda	3/3	TOR @ TB	1B	Shane Bieber LHB vs RHP ERA 4.53	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	1	TOR @ TB 1:10 PM ET Final L
91	Zach Neto	3/3	LAA @ HOU	DH	Peter Lambert RHB vs RHP ERA 3.68	Hits	1.5	+280	23.7	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	26.3%	7.0%	5	LAA @ HOU 8:10 PM ET Final W
92	Bryce Eldridge	3/3	SF @ CLE		Gavin Williams LHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.72	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	1	SF @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final L
93	Jake Burger ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	WSH @ TEX	1B	Andrew Alvarez RHB vs LHP ERA 3.60	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	0	WSH @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
94	Junior Caminero	3/3	TOR @ TB	3B	Shane Bieber RHB vs RHP ERA 4.53	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	1	TOR @ TB 1:10 PM ET Final L
95	Masyn Winn	3/3	STL @ CIN		Brady Singer RHB vs RHP Replacement 1% ERA 4.72	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	0, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	0	STL @ CIN 12:40 PM ET Final L
96	Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ CLE		Gavin Williams LHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.72	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	1	SF @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final L
97	Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ MIL	LF	Robert Gasser RHB vs LHP ERA 4.79	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	0	SEA @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final L
98	Trent Grisham	3/3	NYY @ BAL	CF	Kyle Bradish LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.70	Hits	1.5	+260	22.2	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	27.8%	5.6%	1	NYY @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final L
99	Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ BAL	DH	Kyle Bradish LHB vs RHP Weak 10% ERA 3.70	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	1	NYY @ BAL 6:35 PM ET Final L
100	Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ MIL	1B	Robert Gasser LHB vs LHP ERA 4.79	Hits	1.5	+240	20.6	3, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	29.4%	3.9%	0	SEA @ MIL 2:10 PM ET Final L

Showing 76–100 of 112 plays

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