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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 21 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-21 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
343
Total Found
213
Shown
213
Actionable
14
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
26 Colt Keith ELITE 3/3 DET @ KC
LHB vs LHP
Average 42%
ERA 4.02
Hits 0.5 -200 83.3 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
66.7% 33.3% 1
DET @ KC
8:10 PM ET
Final
W
27 David Hamilton
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 ATL @ MIL 3B
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.20
Hits 1.5 +500 83.3 2, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
16.7% 50.0% N/A
ATL @ MIL
4:10 PM ET
Final
28 Garrett Mitchell
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 ATL @ MIL CF
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.20
Hits 1.5 +475 82.6 3, 4, 0
2/3
66.7%
17.4% 49.3% 0
ATL @ MIL
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
29 Leody Taveras 3/3 TB @ BAL
S vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 5.33
Hits 1.5 +475 82.6 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
17.4% 49.3% 1
TB @ BAL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
30 Sal Stewart 3/3 CIN @ ARI 1B TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +475 82.6 2, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
17.4% 49.3% 0
CIN @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
31 George Lombard Jr. 3/3 TOR @ NYY SS
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.63
Hits 1.5 +450 81.8 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
18.2% 48.5% 1
TOR @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
L
32 Kazuma Okamoto 3/3 TOR @ NYY 3B
RHB vs RHP
Ace 95%
ERA 2.16
Home Runs 0.5 +450 81.8 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
18.2% 48.5% 0
TOR @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
L
33 Cody Bellinger ELITE
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 TOR @ NYY LF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.63
Hits 0.5 -220 81.3 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
68.8% 31.3% N/A
TOR @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
34 Coby Mayo
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TB @ BAL
RHB vs RHP
Weak 10%
ERA 5.33
Home Runs 0.5 +400 80.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
20.0% 46.7% 0
TB @ BAL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
35 Jordan Walker 3/3 STL @ PHI RF
RHB vs LHP
Ace 90%
ERA 3.35
Runs Batted In 1.5 +400 80.0 4, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
20.0% 46.7% 2
STL @ PHI
6:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
36 Josh Bell 3/3 MIN @ SD DH
S vs RHP
Weak 15%
ERA 4.19
Hits 1.5 +380 79.2 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
20.8% 45.8% 0
MIN @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
37 Kody Clemens 3/3 MIN @ SD 2B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 15%
ERA 4.19
Hits 1.5 +380 79.2 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
20.8% 45.8% 1
MIN @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
38 Joey Ortiz 3/3 ATL @ MIL 3B
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.20
Hits 1.5 +360 78.3 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
21.7% 44.9% 0
ATL @ MIL
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
39 Josh Lowe 3/3 LAA @ TEX RF
LHB vs LHP
Replacement 3%
ERA 4.26
Hits 1.5 +360 78.3 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
21.7% 44.9% 0
LAA @ TEX
8:15 PM ET
Final/10
L
40 Max Clark 3/3 DET @ KC CF
LHB vs LHP
Average 42%
ERA 4.02
Hits 1.5 +360 78.3 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
21.7% 44.9% 0
DET @ KC
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
41 Jordan Walker 3/3 STL @ PHI RF
RHB vs LHP
Ace 90%
ERA 3.35
Home Runs 0.5 +350 77.8 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
22.2% 44.4% 1
STL @ PHI
6:40 PM ET
Final/10
W
42 Freddie Freeman 3/3 PIT @ LAD 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.38
Hits 1.5 +340 77.3 1, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
22.7% 43.9% 0
PIT @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
43 Pete Crow-Armstrong 3/3 CHC @ SEA CF
LHB vs RHP
Average 42%
ERA 3.37
Home Runs 0.5 +325 76.5 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
23.5% 43.1% 1
CHC @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final/10
W
44 Alejandro Kirk 3/3 TOR @ NYY C
RHB vs RHP
Ace 95%
ERA 2.16
Hits 1.5 +320 76.2 1, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
23.8% 42.9% 1
TOR @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
L
45 George Springer 3/3 TOR @ NYY DH
RHB vs RHP
Ace 95%
ERA 2.16
Hits 1.5 +320 76.2 2, 0, 3
2/3
66.7%
23.8% 42.9% 0
TOR @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
L
46 Edgar Quero
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 NYM @ CWS
S vs LHP
ERA 4.31
Runs Batted In 0.5 +314 75.8 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
24.2% 42.5% N/A
NYM @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
47 Christian Vazquez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 OAK @ HOU
RHB vs RHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.60
Runs Batted In 0.5 +305 75.3 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
24.7% 42.0% N/A
ATH @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
48 Agustin Ramirez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 WSH @ MIA DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.88
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 0
WSH @ MIA
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
49 Angel Genao 3/3 CLE @ COL 2B
S vs RHP
ERA 5.75
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 1
CLE @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
50 Jeff McNeil 3/3 OAK @ HOU
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.23
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 1
ATH @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 26–50 of 213 plays