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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 21 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-21 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
343
Total Found
213
Shown
213
Actionable
14
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
76 Adam Frazier 3/3 LAA @ TEX
LHB vs LHP
Replacement 3%
ERA 4.26
Hits 0.5 -113 46.9 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
53.1% 13.6% 0
LAA @ TEX
8:15 PM ET
Final/10
L
77 Austin Wynns
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAA @ TEX
RHB vs LHP
Average 51%
ERA 3.62
Hits 0.5 -113 46.9 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
53.1% 13.6% N/A
LAA @ TEX
8:15 PM ET
Final/10
78 Alan Roden
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 MIN @ SD LF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 15%
ERA 4.19
Hits 0.5 -115 46.5 0, 1, 3
2/3
66.7%
53.5% 13.2% N/A
MIN @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
79 Teoscar Hernandez 3/3 PIT @ LAD LF
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.38
Hits 0.5 -119 45.7 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
54.3% 12.3% 0
PIT @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
80 Jose Trevino
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CIN @ ARI TBD Hits 0.5 -128 43.9 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
56.1% 10.5% 0
CIN @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
81 Nick Allen 3/3 OAK @ HOU 3B
RHB vs RHP
Average 49%
ERA 3.60
Hits 0.5 -128 43.9 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
56.1% 10.5% 0
ATH @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
82 Graham Pauley
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 WSH @ MIA 3B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.88
Hits 0.5 -130 43.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
56.5% 10.1% N/A
WSH @ MIA
7:10 PM ET
Final
83 Taylor Walls
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TB @ BAL SS
S vs LHP
Average 34%
ERA 4.14
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1300 42.9 1, 2, 0
1/3
33.3%
7.1% 26.2% 0
TB @ BAL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
84 Edgar Quero
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 NYM @ CWS
S vs LHP
ERA 4.31
Hits 0.5 -134 42.7 3, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
57.3% 9.4% N/A
NYM @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
85 Eli White
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 SF @ BOS
RHB vs RHP
Average 43%
ERA 3.75
Hits 0.5 -135 42.6 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
57.4% 9.2% N/A
SF @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Final
86 Eliezer Alfonzo
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 PIT @ LAD
S vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.38
Hits 0.5 -135 42.6 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
57.4% 9.2% N/A
PIT @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final/10
87 Luis Torrens
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 NYM @ CWS C TBD Hits 0.5 -139 41.8 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
58.2% 8.5% N/A
NYM @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
88 Dalton Rushing
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 PIT @ LAD PH
LHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.38
Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% N/A
PIT @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final/10
89 Endy Rodriguez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 PIT @ LAD
S vs RHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.61
Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% N/A
PIT @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final/10
90 Eddys Leonard
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 SF @ BOS
RHB vs RHP
Good 88%
ERA 2.79
Hits 0.5 -143 41.2 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
58.8% 7.8% N/A
SF @ BOS
7:10 PM ET
Final
91 David Hamilton
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 ATL @ MIL 3B
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.20
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 40.9 1, 4, 0
1/3
33.3%
9.1% 24.2% N/A
ATL @ MIL
4:10 PM ET
Final
92 Drew Romo
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 NYM @ CWS C
S vs LHP
ERA 4.31
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 40.9 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
9.1% 24.2% N/A
NYM @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
93 Richie Palacios
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TB @ BAL PH
LHB vs LHP
Average 34%
ERA 4.14
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 40.9 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
9.1% 24.2% N/A
TB @ BAL
7:15 PM ET
Final
94 Jorge Mateo
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TB @ BAL PH
RHB vs LHP
Average 34%
ERA 4.14
Hits 0.5 -145 40.8 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
59.2% 7.5% 0
TB @ BAL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
95 Jeff McNeil 3/3 OAK @ HOU
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.23
Runs Batted In 1.5 +900 40.0 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
10.0% 23.3% 0
ATH @ HOU
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
96 Joey Ortiz 3/3 ATL @ MIL 3B
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.20
Runs Batted In 1.5 +900 40.0 1, 4, 0
1/3
33.3%
10.0% 23.3% 0
ATL @ MIL
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
97 Edwin Arroyo
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CIN @ ARI TBD Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% N/A
CIN @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
98 Kyle Stowers
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 WSH @ MIA
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.88
Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 2, 0, 4
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% N/A
WSH @ MIA
7:10 PM ET
Final
99 Freddie Freeman 3/3 PIT @ LAD 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.38
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 1, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 0
PIT @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final/10
L
100 Isaac Collins 3/3 DET @ KC LF
S vs RHP
ERA 1.60
Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 2, 1, 0
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% 0
DET @ KC
8:10 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 76–100 of 213 plays