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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Jul 26 – Aug 24 →
Wins
12
Losses
35
Push
10
Win %
25.5%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-24 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
215
Total Found
138
Shown
138
Actionable
7
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 Tim Tawa ELITE 3/3 CHC @ ARI 1B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 4.38
 Hits 1.5 +380 129.2 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 20.8% 79.2% 1
CHC @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
2 Brendan Donovan ELITE
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 PHI @ SEA
LHB vs RHP
Average 68%
ERA 3.31
 Hits 1.5 +280 123.7 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 26.3% 73.7% N/A
PHI @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
3 Jo Adell ELITE 3/3 CLE @ LAA DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.67
 Hits 1.5 +280 123.7 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 26.3% 73.7% 1
CLE @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
4 Brian Serven ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 MIN @ OAK
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.69
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +230 119.7 3, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 30.3% 69.7% N/A
MIN @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
5 Corbin Carroll ELITE 3/3 CHC @ ARI RF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 4.38
 Hits 1.5 +230 119.7 2, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 30.3% 69.7% 0
CHC @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
6 Fernando Tatis Jr. ELITE 3/3 PIT @ SD RF
RHB vs RHP
Good 79%
ERA 3.59
 Hits 1.5 +230 119.7 4, 2, 3
3/3
100.0%
 30.3% 69.7% 0
PIT @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final/12
L
7 Tristan Peters 3/3 TEX @ CWS CF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.61
 Home Runs 0.5 +1000 90.9 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 9.1% 57.6% 1
TEX @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
8 Brooks Lee 3/3 MIN @ OAK 3B
S vs LHP
Replacement 3%
ERA 6.37
 Home Runs 0.5 +900 90.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 10.0% 56.7% 0
MIN @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
9 Brian Serven ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 MIN @ OAK
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.69
 Hits 0.5 -155 89.2 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.8% 39.2% N/A
MIN @ ATH
9:40 PM ET
Final
10 Edmundo Sosa
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 PHI @ SEA 3B
RHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.71
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +600 85.7 3, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 14.3% 52.4% N/A
PHI @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
11 Jackson Merrill 3/3 PIT @ SD CF
LHB vs RHP
Good 79%
ERA 3.59
 Home Runs 0.5 +600 85.7 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 14.3% 52.4% 0
PIT @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final/12
L
12 Alex Bregman 3/3 CHC @ ARI DH TBD Home Runs 0.5 +575 85.2 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
 14.8% 51.9% 0
CHC @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
13 Randy Arozarena 3/3 PHI @ SEA LF
RHB vs RHP
Average 68%
ERA 3.31
 Home Runs 0.5 +550 84.6 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 15.4% 51.3% 0
PHI @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
14 Ian Happ 3/3 CHC @ ARI LF TBD Home Runs 0.5 +500 83.3 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 16.7% 50.0% 0
CHC @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
15 Oneil Cruz 3/3 PIT @ SD CF
LHB vs LHP
Average 36%
ERA 3.14
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 83.3 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
 16.7% 50.0% 0
PIT @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final/12
L
16 Alex Bregman 3/3 CHC @ ARI DH TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +475 82.6 2, 1, 3
2/3
66.7%
 17.4% 49.3% 0
CHC @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
17 Jo Adell 3/3 CLE @ LAA DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.67
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +475 82.6 2, 3, 1
2/3
66.7%
 17.4% 49.3% 1
CLE @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
18 Kyle Schwarber 3/3 PHI @ SEA DH
LHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.71
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +475 82.6 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
 17.4% 49.3% 0
PHI @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
19 Tyrone Taylor
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CHC @ ARI PH TBD Hits 1.5 +450 81.8 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
 18.2% 48.5% N/A
CHC @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
20 Patrick Bailey
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 CLE @ LAA C
S vs RHP
ERA 3.67
 Hits 1.5 +400 80.0 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
 20.0% 46.7% N/A
CLE @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
21 Connor Wong
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 BOS @ MIA C
RHB vs RHP
Good 75%
ERA 3.54
 Hits 1.5 +380 79.2 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
 20.8% 45.8% N/A
BOS @ MIA
6:40 PM ET
Final
22 Pete Crow-Armstrong 3/3 CHC @ ARI CF TBD Home Runs 0.5 +325 76.5 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
 23.5% 43.1% 0
CHC @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
23 Ian Happ 3/3 CHC @ ARI LF TBD Hits 1.5 +320 76.2 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
 23.8% 42.9% 2
CHC @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
24 Edgar Quero
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
 Out 3/3 TEX @ CWS
S vs RHP
ERA 4.61
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +314 75.8 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
 24.2% 42.5% N/A
TEX @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
25 J.T. Realmuto 3/3 PHI @ SEA C
RHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.71
 Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
 25.0% 41.7% 1
PHI @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 1–25 of 138 plays
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