Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-08-27 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

168

Total Found

119

Shown

119

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Nathan Lukes ELITE	3/3	KC @ TOR	RF	Noah Cameron LHB vs LHP Average 42% ERA 4.08	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1300	142.9	3, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	7.1%	92.9%	0	KC @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
2	Rafael Devers ELITE	3/3	ARI @ SF		TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+400	130.0	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	20.0%	80.0%	0	ARI @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L
3	Leody Taveras	3/3	BAL @ STL		Gordon Graceffo S vs RHP ERA 2.78	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1300	92.9	3, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	7.1%	59.5%	0	BAL @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final L
4	Colton Cowser ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ STL		Gordon Graceffo LHB vs RHP ERA 2.78	Hits	0.5	-135	92.6	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	57.4%	42.6%	1	BAL @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final W
5	Nathan Lukes	3/3	KC @ TOR	RF	Noah Cameron LHB vs LHP Average 42% ERA 4.08	Home Runs	0.5	+1200	92.3	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	7.7%	59.0%	0	KC @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
6	Jonah Cox	3/3	ARI @ SF	2B	TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+850	89.5	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.5%	56.1%	0	ARI @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L
7	Christian Yelich ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ NYM	DH	Sean Manaea LHB vs LHP ERA 4.70	Hits	0.5	-165	87.7	1, 1, 2	3/3 100.0%	62.3%	37.7%	N/A	MIL @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final
8	Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3/3	BAL @ STL		Gordon Graceffo RHB vs RHP ERA 2.78	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	BAL @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final L
9	Daylen Lile	3/3	COL @ WSH		Gabriel Hughes LHB vs RHP ERA 6.19	Home Runs	0.5	+700	87.5	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	1	COL @ WSH 1:05 PM ET Final W
10	Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ STL		Gordon Graceffo RHB vs RHP ERA 2.78	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	87.5	2, 4, 0	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	BAL @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final L
11	Alec Burleson	3/3	BAL @ STL	1B	Trevor Rogers LHB vs LHP Average 34% ERA 4.30	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	84.6	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	1	BAL @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final L
12	John Rave	3/3	KC @ TOR	CF	Spencer Arrighetti LHB vs RHP ERA 4.82	Hits	1.5	+550	84.6	1, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	KC @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
13	Jesus Sanchez	3/3	KC @ TOR		Noah Cameron LHB vs LHP Average 42% ERA 4.08	Hits	1.5	+500	83.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	KC @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
14	Hunter Goodman	3/3	COL @ WSH	C	Jake Irvin RHB vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 5.57	Home Runs	0.5	+475	82.6	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	0	COL @ WSH 1:05 PM ET Final L
15	Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	HOU @ NYY	1B	Hayden Wesneski LHB vs RHP ERA 3.18	Home Runs	0.5	+475	82.6	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	0	HOU @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
16	Luis Garcia Jr.	3/3	HOU @ NYY	1B	Hayden Wesneski LHB vs RHP ERA 3.18	Runs Batted In	1.5	+450	81.8	2, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	HOU @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
17	Rafael Devers	3/3	ARI @ SF		TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+450	81.8	2, 1, 3	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	0	ARI @ SF 9:45 PM ET Final L
18	Cody Bellinger ELITE	3/3	HOU @ NYY	LF	Hayden Wesneski LHB vs RHP ERA 3.18	Hits	0.5	-220	81.3	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	68.8%	31.3%	0	HOU @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
19	Ezequiel Tovar	3/3	COL @ WSH	SS	Jake Irvin RHB vs RHP Replacement 5% ERA 5.57	Hits	1.5	+380	79.2	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.8%	45.8%	0	COL @ WSH 1:05 PM ET Final L
20	Pete Alonso	3/3	BAL @ STL		Gordon Graceffo RHB vs RHP ERA 2.78	Home Runs	0.5	+375	78.9	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	21.1%	45.6%	0	BAL @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final L
21	Ha-Seong Kim ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	LAD @ ATL	SS	Yoshinobu Yamamoto RHB vs RHP Ace 99% ERA 2.67	Runs Batted In	0.5	+343	77.4	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	22.6%	44.1%	0	LAD @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
22	Christian Encarnacion-Strand	3/3	BAL @ STL		Gordon Graceffo RHB vs RHP ERA 2.78	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	4, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	2	BAL @ STL 2:15 PM ET Final W
23	Daulton Varsho	3/3	HOU @ NYY		Gerrit Cole LHB vs RHP ERA 3.29	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	2, 2, 1	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	0	HOU @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L
24	Freddie Freeman	3/3	LAD @ ATL	1B	Chris Sale LHB vs LHP Good 86% ERA 2.10	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	1	LAD @ ATL 7:15 PM ET Final L
25	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	3/3	HOU @ NYY	PH	Hayden Wesneski LHB vs RHP ERA 3.18	Hits	1.5	+340	77.3	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	22.7%	43.9%	1	HOU @ NYY 7:05 PM ET Final L

Showing 1–25 of 119 plays

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