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Strong Plays Record
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← Aug 27 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
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Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-08-27 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
168
Total Found
119
Shown
119
Actionable
5
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
26 Nathan Lukes 3/3 KC @ TOR RF
LHB vs LHP
Average 42%
ERA 4.08
Hits 1.5 +340 77.3 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
22.7% 43.9% 1
KC @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
27 Daylen Lile 3/3 COL @ WSH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 6.19
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 0, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 3
COL @ WSH
1:05 PM ET
Final
W
28 Carson Benge 3/3 MIL @ NYM RF
LHB vs RHP
Ace 97%
ERA 1.97
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 1, 3, 2
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 0
MIL @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
29 Rafael Devers 3/3 ARI @ SF TBD Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 2
ARI @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
W
30 Eliezer Alfonzo
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAD @ ATL
S vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.10
Runs Batted In 0.5 +255 71.8 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
28.2% 38.5% N/A
LAD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
31 Dylan Beavers 3/3 BAL @ STL
LHB vs RHP
ERA 2.78
Runs Batted In 0.5 +250 71.4 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
28.6% 38.1% 0
BAL @ STL
2:15 PM ET
Final
L
32 Jonah Cox 3/3 ARI @ SF 2B TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +250 71.4 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
28.6% 38.1% 1
ARI @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
W
33 Francisco Lindor 3/3 MIL @ NYM SS
S vs RHP
Ace 97%
ERA 1.97
Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 0
MIL @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
34 Geraldo Perdomo 3/3 ARI @ SF SS
S vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 4.17
Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 2
ARI @ SF
9:45 PM ET
Final
W
35 Ozzie Albies 3/3 LAD @ ATL 2B
S vs RHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.67
Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 1
LAD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
36 William Contreras 3/3 MIL @ NYM C
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.70
Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 0, 3, 2
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 0
MIL @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
37 Luis Garcia Jr. 3/3 HOU @ NYY 1B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.18
Hits 1.5 +230 69.7 3, 4, 0
2/3
66.7%
30.3% 36.4% 0
HOU @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
L
38 Christian Yelich
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ NYM DH
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.70
Runs Batted In 0.5 +210 67.7 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
32.3% 34.4% N/A
MIL @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
39 Cody Bellinger 3/3 HOU @ NYY LF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.18
Runs Batted In 0.5 +200 66.7 2, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
33.3% 33.3% 1
HOU @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
W
40 Jeremy Pena 3/3 HOU @ NYY SS
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.29
Hits 1.5 +200 66.7 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
33.3% 33.3% 1
HOU @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
L
41 Drake Baldwin 3/3 LAD @ ATL DH
LHB vs RHP
Ace 99%
ERA 2.67
Hits 1.5 +196 66.2 3, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
33.8% 32.9% 1
LAD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
42 Teoscar Hernandez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 LAD @ ATL LF
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.10
Hits 0.5 -119 45.7 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
54.3% 12.3% 0
LAD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
43 Brett Baty 3/3 MIL @ NYM 1B
LHB vs RHP
Ace 97%
ERA 1.97
Hits 0.5 -135 42.6 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
57.4% 9.2% 0
MIL @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
44 Eliezer Alfonzo
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAD @ ATL
S vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.10
Hits 0.5 -135 42.6 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
57.4% 9.2% N/A
LAD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
45 Francisco Alvarez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ NYM C
RHB vs RHP
Ace 97%
ERA 1.97
Hits 0.5 -135 42.6 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
57.4% 9.2% 0
MIL @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
46 Luis Torrens
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 MIL @ NYM C
RHB vs RHP
Ace 97%
ERA 1.97
Hits 0.5 -139 41.8 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
58.2% 8.5% N/A
MIL @ NYM
7:10 PM ET
Final
47 Dalton Rushing
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAD @ ATL PH
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 2.10
Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% N/A
LAD @ ATL
7:15 PM ET
Final
48 Connor Norby 3/3 COL @ WSH DH
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 5%
ERA 5.57
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 40.9 5, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
9.1% 24.2% 0
COL @ WSH
1:05 PM ET
Final
L
49 Ezequiel Tovar 3/3 COL @ WSH SS
RHB vs RHP
Replacement 5%
ERA 5.57
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 40.9 2, 0, 1
1/3
33.3%
9.1% 24.2% 0
COL @ WSH
1:05 PM ET
Final
L
50 John Rave 3/3 KC @ TOR CF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.82
Runs Batted In 1.5 +1000 40.9 0, 1, 2
1/3
33.3%
9.1% 24.2% 0
KC @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 26–50 of 119 plays