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Strong Plays Record
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← Sep 3 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
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⭐ Strong Plays
2026-09-03 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
225
Total Found
153
Shown
153
Actionable
11
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
26 Justin Foscue 3/3 TB @ TEX PH
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.36
Home Runs 0.5 +525 84.0 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
16.0% 50.7% 0
TB @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
27 Randy Arozarena 3/3 OAK @ SEA LF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 6.50
Home Runs 0.5 +525 84.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
16.0% 50.7% 0
ATH @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
28 Mookie Betts 3/3 STL @ LAD SS
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.38
Runs Batted In 1.5 +500 83.3 2, 4, 0
2/3
66.7%
16.7% 50.0% 0
STL @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
L
29 Colson Montgomery 3/3 CWS @ HOU SS
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.31
Hits 1.5 +475 82.6 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
17.4% 49.3% 0
CHW @ HOU
2:10 PM ET
Final
L
30 Kyle Stowers 3/3 MIA @ KC
LHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.36
Runs Batted In 1.5 +475 82.6 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
17.4% 49.3% 0
MIA @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
31 Nelson Velazquez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CWS @ HOU PH TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +475 82.6 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
17.4% 49.3% N/A
CHW @ HOU
2:10 PM ET
Final
32 Bryan Torres
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 STL @ LAD LF
LHB vs LHP
Good 78%
ERA 2.86
Hits 1.5 +450 81.8 0, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
18.2% 48.5% N/A
STL @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
33 J.P. Crawford 3/3 OAK @ SEA SS
LHB vs RHP
ERA 6.50
Hits 1.5 +450 81.8 3, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
18.2% 48.5% 1
ATH @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
34 Carson Kelly
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ CHC C
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.48
Hits 1.5 +400 80.0 0, 3, 2
2/3
66.7%
20.0% 46.7% 1
MIL @ CHC
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
35 Jackson Holliday 3/3 BOS @ BAL
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.34
Hits 1.5 +400 80.0 2, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
20.0% 46.7% 0
BOS @ BAL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
36 Ivan Herrera 3/3 STL @ LAD DH
RHB vs LHP
Good 78%
ERA 2.86
Hits 1.5 +380 79.2 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
20.8% 45.8% 2
STL @ LAD
10:10 PM ET
Final
W
37 Angel Martinez 3/3 TOR @ CLE PH
S vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 3.52
Hits 1.5 +360 78.3 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
21.7% 44.9% 0
TOR @ CLE
1:10 PM ET
Final
L
38 Cooper Pratt
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 MIL @ CHC SS
RHB vs RHP
Weak 14%
ERA 4.38
Hits 1.5 +340 77.3 2, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
22.7% 43.9% N/A
MIL @ CHC
7:15 PM ET
Final
39 Jeff McNeil 3/3 OAK @ SEA
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.40
Hits 1.5 +340 77.3 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
22.7% 43.9% 2
ATH @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
40 Justin Foscue 3/3 TB @ TEX PH
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.36
Runs Batted In 0.5 +337 77.1 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
22.9% 43.8% 1
TB @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
W
41 Trevor Story
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BOS @ BAL SS
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.42
Hits 1.5 +320 76.2 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
23.8% 42.9% N/A
BOS @ BAL
7:15 PM ET
Final
42 Edgar Quero
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 CWS @ HOU
S vs RHP
ERA 3.31
Runs Batted In 0.5 +314 75.8 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
24.2% 42.5% N/A
CHW @ HOU
2:10 PM ET
Final
43 Alex Bregman 3/3 MIL @ CHC DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.48
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 2, 1, 3
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 1
MIL @ CHC
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
44 Jo Adell 3/3 TOR @ CLE DH
RHB vs RHP
Average 40%
ERA 3.52
Hits 1.5 +300 75.0 0, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 1
TOR @ CLE
1:10 PM ET
Final
L
45 Kyle Stowers 3/3 MIA @ KC
LHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.36
Home Runs 0.5 +300 75.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
25.0% 41.7% 0
MIA @ KC
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
46 Brandon Nimmo 3/3 TB @ TEX RF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.36
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 1, 4, 2
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 0
TB @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
47 Jonah Cox 3/3 SF @ PIT 2B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.59
Hits 1.5 +280 73.7 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
26.3% 40.4% 0
SF @ PIT
12:35 PM ET
Final
L
48 Eli White 3/3 BOS @ BAL
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.42
Runs Batted In 0.5 +260 72.2 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 0
BOS @ BAL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
49 Jared Triolo 3/3 SF @ PIT PH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.43
Runs Batted In 0.5 +260 72.2 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 2
SF @ PIT
12:35 PM ET
Final
W
50 Wilyer Abreu 3/3 BOS @ BAL RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.42
Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 3, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 0
BOS @ BAL
7:15 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 26–50 of 153 plays