Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-09-03 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

225

Total Found

153

Shown

153

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
76	Edgar Quero ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	CWS @ HOU		Hunter Brown S vs RHP ERA 3.31	Hits	0.5	-134	42.7	3, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	57.3%	9.4%	N/A	CHW @ HOU 2:10 PM ET Final
77	Eli White	3/3	BOS @ BAL		Brandon Young RHB vs RHP ERA 3.42	Hits	0.5	-135	42.6	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	57.4%	9.2%	1	BOS @ BAL 7:15 PM ET Final W
78	Eliezer Alfonzo ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	STL @ LAD		Quinn Mathews S vs LHP ERA 4.38	Hits	0.5	-135	42.6	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	57.4%	9.2%	N/A	STL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final
79	Myles Straw	3/3	TOR @ CLE	CF	Tanner Bibee RHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 4.06	Hits	0.5	-140	41.7	2, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	58.3%	8.3%	0	TOR @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final L
80	Justin Foscue	3/3	TB @ TEX	PH	Shane McClanahan RHB vs LHP ERA 3.36	Hits	0.5	-141	41.5	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	58.5%	8.2%	1	TB @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final W
81	Ivan Herrera	3/3	STL @ LAD	DH	Tarik Skubal RHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.86	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1000	40.9	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	9.1%	24.2%	0	STL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
82	Josh Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ CLE	3B	Tanner Bibee LHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 4.06	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	40.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	10.0%	23.3%	0	TOR @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final L
83	Esmerlyn Valdez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ PIT		Blade Tidwell RHB vs RHP ERA 4.43	Hits	0.5	-150	40.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	60.0%	6.7%	N/A	SF @ PIT 12:35 PM ET Final
84	Jared Triolo	3/3	SF @ PIT	PH	Blade Tidwell RHB vs RHP ERA 4.43	Hits	0.5	-150	40.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	60.0%	6.7%	0	SF @ PIT 12:35 PM ET Final L
85	Joshua Baez	3/3	STL @ LAD		Tarik Skubal RHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.86	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	1	STL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
86	Brendan Donovan ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	OAK @ SEA		Jack Perkins LHB vs RHP ERA 6.50	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	N/A	ATH @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final
87	Cooper Pratt ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CHC	SS	Kevin Gausman RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.38	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	N/A	MIL @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final
88	Jonah Cox	3/3	SF @ PIT	2B	Lake Bachar RHB vs RHP ERA 3.59	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	SF @ PIT 12:35 PM ET Final L
89	Michael Conforto ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CHC	PH	Logan Henderson LHB vs RHP ERA 2.48	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	0, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	MIL @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final L
90	Spencer Horwitz	3/3	SF @ PIT	1B	Blade Tidwell LHB vs RHP ERA 4.43	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	SF @ PIT 12:35 PM ET Final L
91	Joey Ortiz	3/3	MIL @ CHC	3B	Kevin Gausman RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.38	Hits	0.5	-175	36.4	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	63.6%	3.0%	1	MIL @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final W
92	Trevor Story ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BOS @ BAL	SS	Brandon Young RHB vs RHP ERA 3.42	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	35.7	1, 0, 3	1/3 33.3%	14.3%	19.0%	N/A	BOS @ BAL 7:15 PM ET Final
93	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	3/3	TOR @ CLE	DH	Tanner Bibee RHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 4.06	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	35.7	5, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	14.3%	19.0%	1	TOR @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final L
94	Carter Jensen	3/3	MIA @ KC	C	Sandy Alcantara LHB vs RHP Good 75% ERA 3.54	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	3	MIA @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final W
95	Colson Montgomery	3/3	CWS @ HOU	SS	Hunter Brown LHB vs RHP ERA 3.31	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	0	CHW @ HOU 2:10 PM ET Final L
96	Gary Sanchez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ CHC	PH	Kevin Gausman RHB vs RHP Weak 14% ERA 4.38	Runs Batted In	1.5	+550	34.6	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	N/A	MIL @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final
97	Leo Rivas ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	OAK @ SEA	SS	Jack Perkins S vs RHP ERA 6.50	Hits	1.5	+550	34.6	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	N/A	ATH @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final
98	Bryce Eldridge	3/3	SF @ PIT		Lake Bachar LHB vs RHP ERA 3.59	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0	SF @ PIT 12:35 PM ET Final L
99	Dominic Canzone	3/3	OAK @ SEA	RF	Jack Perkins LHB vs RHP ERA 6.50	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	33.3	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0	ATH @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final L
100	Nathan Church	3/3	STL @ LAD	CF	Tarik Skubal LHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.86	Hits	1.5	+500	33.3	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	1	STL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L

Showing 76–100 of 153 plays

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