Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-09-03 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

225

Total Found

153

Shown

153

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
101	Weston Wilson ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	OAK @ SEA	3B	Jack Perkins RHB vs RHP ERA 6.50	Hits	1.5	+500	33.3	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	N/A	ATH @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final
102	Joshua Baez	3/3	STL @ LAD		Tarik Skubal RHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.86	Hits	1.5	+475	32.6	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	1	STL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final L
103	Rafael Devers	3/3	SF @ PIT		Lake Bachar LHB vs RHP ERA 3.59	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	32.6	1, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	0	SF @ PIT 12:35 PM ET Final L
104	Salvador Perez	3/3	MIA @ KC	DH	Sandy Alcantara RHB vs RHP Good 75% ERA 3.54	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	32.6	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	17.4%	15.9%	1	MIA @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final L
105	Alika Williams	3/3	OAK @ SEA		Kade Anderson RHB vs LHP ERA 5.40	Hits	1.5	+450	31.8	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	1	ATH @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final L
106	Josh Smith ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	TOR @ CLE	3B	Tanner Bibee LHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 4.06	Hits	1.5	+450	31.8	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	0	TOR @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final L
107	Nate Furman	3/3	SF @ PIT		Lake Bachar LHB vs RHP ERA 3.59	Hits	1.5	+450	31.8	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	0	SF @ PIT 12:35 PM ET Final L
108	Oneil Cruz	3/3	SF @ PIT	CF	Blade Tidwell LHB vs RHP ERA 4.43	Runs Batted In	1.5	+450	31.8	1, 4, 0	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	1	SF @ PIT 12:35 PM ET Final L
109	Tyrone Taylor ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIL @ CHC	PH	Logan Henderson RHB vs RHP ERA 2.48	Hits	1.5	+450	31.8	1, 1, 4	1/3 33.3%	18.2%	15.2%	N/A	MIL @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final
110	Ian Happ	3/3	MIL @ CHC	LF	Logan Henderson S vs RHP ERA 2.48	Hits	1.5	+400	30.0	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	20.0%	13.3%	0	MIL @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final L
111	Cam Smith	3/3	CWS @ HOU	RF	TBD	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	0	CHW @ HOU 2:10 PM ET Final L
112	Christian Koss	3/3	SF @ PIT	SS	Lake Bachar RHB vs RHP ERA 3.59	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	0	SF @ PIT 12:35 PM ET Final L
113	Cody Freeman	3/3	TB @ TEX	PH	Shane McClanahan RHB vs LHP ERA 3.36	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	0	TB @ TEX 8:05 PM ET Final L
114	Graham Pauley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ KC	3B	Michael Wacha LHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.36	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	0	MIA @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final L
115	Jonah Heim	3/3	OAK @ SEA		Kade Anderson S vs LHP ERA 5.40	Hits	1.5	+380	29.2	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	20.8%	12.5%	1	ATH @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final L
116	Andres Gimenez	3/3	TOR @ CLE	SS	Tanner Bibee LHB vs RHP Weak 23% ERA 4.06	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	1	TOR @ CLE 1:10 PM ET Final L
117	Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ HOU	2B	Hunter Brown RHB vs RHP ERA 3.31	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	2	CHW @ HOU 2:10 PM ET Final W
118	Zack Gelof	3/3	OAK @ SEA		Kade Anderson RHB vs LHP ERA 5.40	Hits	1.5	+360	28.3	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	21.7%	11.6%	2	ATH @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final W
119	Jacob Gonzalez	3/3	SF @ PIT	3B	Blade Tidwell LHB vs RHP ERA 4.43	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	0	SF @ PIT 12:35 PM ET Final L
120	Jordan Walker	3/3	STL @ LAD	RF	Tarik Skubal RHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.86	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	1, 3, 0	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	2	STL @ LAD 10:10 PM ET Final W
121	Pedro Ramirez ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIL @ CHC	3B	Logan Henderson S vs RHP ERA 2.48	Hits	1.5	+340	27.3	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	22.7%	10.6%	0	MIL @ CHC 7:15 PM ET Final L
122	Henry Bolte	3/3	OAK @ SEA		Kade Anderson RHB vs LHP ERA 5.40	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	3, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	2	ATH @ SEA 9:40 PM ET Final W
123	Nick Sogard	3/3	BOS @ BAL	2B	Brandon Young S vs RHP ERA 3.42	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	1	BOS @ BAL 7:15 PM ET Final L
124	Ronny Simon ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SF @ PIT	RF	Blade Tidwell S vs RHP ERA 4.43	Hits	1.5	+320	26.2	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	23.8%	9.5%	N/A	SF @ PIT 12:35 PM ET Final
125	Agustin Ramirez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ KC	DH	Michael Wacha RHB vs RHP Good 73% ERA 3.36	Hits	1.5	+300	25.0	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	25.0%	8.3%	1	MIA @ KC 7:40 PM ET Final L

Showing 101–125 of 153 plays

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