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Strong Plays Record
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← Sep 3 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-09-03 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
225
Total Found
153
Shown
153
Actionable
11
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
151 Ceddanne Rafaela
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 BOS @ BAL CF
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.42
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% N/A
BOS @ BAL
7:15 PM ET
Final
152 Junior Caminero 3/3 TB @ TEX 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 2.79
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 0
TB @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
L
153 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3/3 TOR @ CLE DH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 23%
ERA 4.06
Hits 1.5 +200 16.7 3, 1, 1
1/3
33.3%
33.3% 0.0% 0
TOR @ CLE
1:10 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 151–153 of 153 plays
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