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Strong Plays Record
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← Sep 10 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-09-10 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
117
Total Found
80
Shown
80
Actionable
18
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
51 Esmerlyn Valdez
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 PIT @ CWS TBD Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% N/A
PIT @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
52 Oneil Cruz 3/3 PIT @ CWS CF TBD Hits 0.5 -140 41.7 1, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
58.3% 8.3% 3
PIT @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
53 Cedric Mullins
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 TB @ ATL PH
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 3.08
Hits 0.5 -141 41.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
58.5% 8.2% 0
TB @ ATL
12:15 PM ET
Final
L
54 Jorge Mateo 3/3 TB @ ATL PH
RHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 3.08
Hits 0.5 -145 40.8 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
59.2% 7.5% 0
TB @ ATL
12:15 PM ET
Final
L
55 Braden Montgomery 3/3 PIT @ CWS RF
S vs RHP
ERA 4.10
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% 0
PIT @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
56 Cam Smith 3/3 HOU @ PHI RF
RHB vs RHP
Average 68%
ERA 3.14
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% 2
HOU @ PHI
1:05 PM ET
Final
W
57 Tristan Peters 3/3 PIT @ CWS CF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.10
Hits 0.5 -150 40.0 1, 0, 3
2/3
66.7%
60.0% 6.7% 0
PIT @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
58 Christian Walker 3/3 HOU @ PHI 1B
RHB vs RHP
Average 68%
ERA 3.14
Hits 0.5 -152 39.7 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.3% 6.3% 1
HOU @ PHI
1:05 PM ET
Final
W
59 Justin Crawford 3/3 HOU @ PHI CF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.50
Hits 0.5 -157 38.9 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
61.1% 5.6% 1
HOU @ PHI
1:05 PM ET
Final
W
60 Henry Davis
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 PIT @ CWS C TBD Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 38.9 1, 0, 2
1/3
33.3%
11.1% 22.2% N/A
PIT @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
61 Jake Burger 3/3 TEX @ SEA 1B
RHB vs RHP
Average 45%
ERA 3.72
Hits 0.5 -159 38.6 1, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
61.4% 5.3% 0
TEX @ SEA
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
62 Andrew Benintendi 3/3 PIT @ CWS DH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.10
Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
61.5% 5.1% 0
PIT @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
63 Cal Raleigh 3/3 TEX @ SEA DH
S vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 3.80
Hits 0.5 -167 37.5 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
62.5% 4.1% 1
TEX @ SEA
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
64 Jazz Chisholm Jr.
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 COL @ NYY PH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.88
Hits 0.5 -167 37.5 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
62.5% 4.1% N/A
COL @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
65 Liam Hicks 3/3 TB @ ATL C
LHB vs LHP
Good 86%
ERA 3.08
Hits 0.5 -169 37.2 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
62.8% 3.8% 0
TB @ ATL
12:15 PM ET
Final
L
66 Cole Young 3/3 TEX @ SEA 2B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 3.80
Hits 0.5 -170 37.0 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
63.0% 3.7% 1
TEX @ SEA
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
67 Spencer Jones 3/3 COL @ NYY RF
LHB vs RHP
ERA 5.88
Hits 0.5 -172 36.8 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.2% 3.4% 3
COL @ NYY
7:05 PM ET
Final
W
68 Daulton Varsho 3/3 HOU @ PHI
LHB vs RHP
Average 68%
ERA 3.14
Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 1, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% 0
HOU @ PHI
1:05 PM ET
Final
L
69 Matt Olson 3/3 TB @ ATL 1B
LHB vs RHP
Good 82%
ERA 2.92
Hits 0.5 -177 36.1 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.9% 2.8% 1
TB @ ATL
12:15 PM ET
Final
W
70 Jake Mangum
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 PIT @ CWS RF TBD Hits 0.5 -179 35.8 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
64.2% 2.5% 0
PIT @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
71 Isaac Paredes 3/3 HOU @ PHI DH
RHB vs RHP
Average 68%
ERA 3.14
Hits 0.5 -182 35.5 2, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
64.5% 2.1% 1
HOU @ PHI
1:05 PM ET
Final
W
72 Mauricio Dubon 3/3 TB @ ATL SS
RHB vs RHP
Good 82%
ERA 2.92
Hits 0.5 -182 35.5 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
64.5% 2.1% 0
TB @ ATL
12:15 PM ET
Final
L
73 Leo Rivas
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 TEX @ SEA SS
S vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 3.80
Hits 1.5 +550 34.6 0, 2, 1
1/3
33.3%
15.4% 17.9% N/A
TEX @ SEA
4:10 PM ET
Final
74 Konnor Griffin 3/3 PIT @ CWS SS TBD Hits 0.5 -196 33.8 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
66.2% 0.5% 0
PIT @ CHW
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
75 Dominic Canzone 3/3 TEX @ SEA RF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 16%
ERA 3.80
Hits 0.5 -198 33.6 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
66.4% 0.2% 1
TEX @ SEA
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
Showing 51–75 of 80 plays