Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-09-14 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

222

Total Found

150

Shown

150

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Graham Pauley ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ ARI	3B	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	140.0	2, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	10.0%	90.0%	0	MIA @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
2	Riley Greene ELITE	3/3	DET @ TOR	DH	José Soriano LHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.48	Hits	1.5	+280	123.7	2, 2, 3	3/3 100.0%	26.3%	73.7%	2	DET @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final W
3	Josh Naylor ELITE	3/3	SEA @ LAA	1B	Reid Detmers LHB vs LHP Average 51% ERA 3.32	Hits	1.5	+260	122.2	2, 3, 2	3/3 100.0%	27.8%	72.2%	0	SEA @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
4	George Springer ELITE	3/3	DET @ TOR	DH	Troy Melton RHB vs RHP ERA 2.42	Hits	1.5	+240	120.6	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	29.4%	70.6%	1	DET @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
5	Alex Freeland ELITE	3/3	LAD @ CIN		Nick Lodolo S vs LHP ERA 5.12	Hits	0.5	+117	103.9	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	46.1%	53.9%	0	LAD @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
6	Austin Hedges ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	CWS @ CLE	C	TBD	Hits	0.5	-106	98.5	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	51.5%	48.5%	N/A	CHW @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final
7	Brett Bateman	3/3	DET @ TOR	RF	Troy Melton LHB vs RHP ERA 2.42	Home Runs	0.5	+1400	93.3	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	6.7%	60.0%	0	DET @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
8	Graham Pauley ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	MIA @ ARI	3B	TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+1100	91.7	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	8.3%	58.3%	0	MIA @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
9	Nolan Arenado	3/3	MIA @ ARI	3B	Sandy Alcantara RHB vs RHP Good 75% ERA 3.78	Home Runs	0.5	+900	90.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	MIA @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
10	Eugenio Suarez	3/3	LAD @ CIN	DH	Tarik Skubal RHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.84	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	3, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	LAD @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
11	Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ MIN	LF	Dean Kremer LHB vs RHP ERA 5.65	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	0, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	NYY @ MIN 7:40 PM ET Final L
12	Dillon Dingler ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ TOR	C	José Soriano RHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.48	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	0, 2, 2	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	1	DET @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
13	Jhonny Pereda ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SEA @ LAA	C	Reid Detmers RHB vs LHP Average 51% ERA 3.32	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	N/A	SEA @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final
14	Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ LAA	LF	Reid Detmers RHB vs LHP Average 51% ERA 3.32	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	4, 4, 0	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	SEA @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
15	Ildemaro Vargas ELITE ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	MIA @ ARI	PH	Sandy Alcantara S vs RHP Good 75% ERA 3.78	Hits	0.5	-185	85.1	1, 2, 1	3/3 100.0%	64.9%	35.1%	N/A	MIA @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final
16	Eugenio Suarez	3/3	LAD @ CIN	DH	Tarik Skubal RHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.84	Home Runs	0.5	+550	84.6	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	15.4%	51.3%	0	LAD @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final L
17	Cody Bellinger	3/3	NYY @ MIN	LF	Dean Kremer LHB vs RHP ERA 5.65	Home Runs	0.5	+525	84.0	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	16.0%	50.7%	0	NYY @ MIN 7:40 PM ET Final L
18	Alec Burleson	3/3	SF @ STL	1B	Landen Roupp LHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 4.00	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	83.3	3, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	1	SF @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
19	Randy Arozarena	3/3	SEA @ LAA	LF	Reid Detmers RHB vs LHP Average 51% ERA 3.32	Home Runs	0.5	+500	83.3	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	SEA @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
20	Riley Greene	3/3	DET @ TOR	DH	José Soriano LHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.48	Runs Batted In	1.5	+500	83.3	3, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	16.7%	50.0%	0	DET @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
21	Dustin Harris	3/3	SD @ COL	LF	Tomoyuki Sugano LHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 5.30	Runs Batted In	1.5	+475	82.6	0, 3, 2	2/3 66.7%	17.4%	49.3%	1	SD @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final L
22	Kazuma Okamoto	3/3	DET @ TOR	3B	Troy Melton RHB vs RHP ERA 2.42	Home Runs	0.5	+450	81.8	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	18.2%	48.5%	1	DET @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final W
23	Matt Olson	3/3	ATL @ CHC	1B	David Peterson LHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.28	Home Runs	0.5	+425	81.0	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	19.0%	47.6%	0	ATL @ CHC 7:40 PM ET Final L
24	Travis Bazzana	3/3	CWS @ CLE	2B	TBD	Hits	1.5	+400	80.0	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	20.0%	46.7%	1	CHW @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final L
25	Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ELITE ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	MIA @ ARI		Sandy Alcantara RHB vs RHP Good 75% ERA 3.78	Hits	0.5	-238	79.6	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	70.4%	29.6%	N/A	MIA @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final

Showing 1–25 of 150 plays

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