Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-09-14 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

222

Total Found

150

Shown

150

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
51	Rafael Devers ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ STL		Quinn Mathews LHB vs LHP ERA 4.11	Runs Batted In	0.5	+191	65.6	2, 4, 0	2/3 66.7%	34.4%	32.3%	N/A	SF @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final
52	Otto Lopez	3/3	MIA @ ARI	SS	TBD	Hits	1.5	+190	65.5	1, 2, 4	2/3 66.7%	34.5%	32.2%	0	MIA @ ARI 9:40 PM ET Final L
53	Ronald Acuna Jr.	3/3	ATL @ CHC	RF	David Peterson RHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.28	Hits	1.5	+190	65.5	2, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	34.5%	32.2%	0	ATL @ CHC 7:40 PM ET Final L
54	Miguel Amaya ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	ATL @ CHC	C	Reynaldo López RHB vs RHP Average 69% ERA 4.13	Hits	0.5	+128	56.1	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	43.9%	22.8%	N/A	ATL @ CHC 7:40 PM ET Final
55	Mike Yastrzemski ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ CHC	LF	David Peterson LHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.28	Hits	0.5	+112	52.8	0, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	47.2%	19.5%	1	ATL @ CHC 7:40 PM ET Final W
56	Juan Brito	3/3	LAD @ CIN	3B	Tarik Skubal S vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.84	Hits	0.5	+100	50.0	1, 3, 0	2/3 66.7%	50.0%	16.7%	1	LAD @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final W
57	Connor Norby ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SD @ COL	DH	Casey Mize RHB vs RHP Average 61% ERA 3.70	Hits	0.5	-105	48.8	3, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	51.2%	15.4%	2	SD @ COL 8:40 PM ET Final W
58	Francisco Alvarez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYM	C	Brandon Young RHB vs RHP ERA 3.71	Hits	0.5	-105	48.8	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	51.2%	15.4%	1	BAL @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final W
59	Brett Callahan	3/3	DET @ TOR	LF	José Soriano LHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.48	Hits	0.5	-109	47.8	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	52.2%	14.5%	1	DET @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final W
60	Alan Roden ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	NYY @ MIN	LF	Will Warren LHB vs RHP Weak 20% ERA 4.05	Hits	0.5	-115	46.5	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	53.5%	13.2%	N/A	NYY @ MIN 7:40 PM ET Final
61	Gabriel Arias ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	ATL @ CHC	PH	Reynaldo López RHB vs RHP Average 69% ERA 4.13	Hits	0.5	-115	46.5	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	53.5%	13.2%	N/A	ATL @ CHC 7:40 PM ET Final
62	Sean Murphy ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	ATL @ CHC	C	David Peterson RHB vs LHP Weak 22% ERA 5.28	Hits	0.5	-115	46.5	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	53.5%	13.2%	0	ATL @ CHC 7:40 PM ET Final L
63	Enrique Hernandez	3/3	LAD @ CIN	3B	Nick Lodolo RHB vs LHP ERA 5.12	Hits	0.5	-133	42.9	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	57.1%	9.6%	1	LAD @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final W
64	Jeremiah Jackson ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYM		Jonah Tong RHB vs RHP ERA 4.80	Hits	0.5	-135	42.6	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	57.4%	9.2%	N/A	BAL @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final
65	Joshua Baez ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	SF @ STL		Landen Roupp RHB vs RHP Weak 16% ERA 4.00	Hits	0.5	-135	42.6	0, 3, 1	2/3 66.7%	57.4%	9.2%	0	SF @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final L
66	Luis Torrens ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	BAL @ NYM	C	Brandon Young RHB vs RHP ERA 3.71	Hits	0.5	-139	41.8	0, 2, 3	2/3 66.7%	58.2%	8.5%	N/A	BAL @ NYM 7:10 PM ET Final
67	Spencer Torkelson	3/3	DET @ TOR	1B	José Soriano RHB vs RHP Average 40% ERA 3.48	Hits	0.5	-140	41.7	2, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	58.3%	8.3%	1	DET @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final W
68	Charles McAdoo ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ TOR	1B	Troy Melton RHB vs RHP ERA 2.42	Hits	0.5	-141	41.5	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	58.5%	8.2%	0	DET @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
69	Brett Bateman	3/3	DET @ TOR	RF	Troy Melton LHB vs RHP ERA 2.42	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1000	40.9	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	9.1%	24.2%	0	DET @ TOR 7:07 PM ET Final L
70	Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ CLE	2B	Gavin Williams RHB vs RHP Average 58% ERA 3.78	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1000	40.9	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	9.1%	24.2%	1	CHW @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final L
71	J.P. Crawford	3/3	SEA @ LAA	SS	Reid Detmers LHB vs LHP Average 51% ERA 3.32	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1000	40.9	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	9.1%	24.2%	1	SEA @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final L
72	Steven Kwan	3/3	CWS @ CLE	LF	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1000	40.9	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	9.1%	24.2%	0	CHW @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final L
73	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	CWS @ CLE	SS	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	40.0	0, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	10.0%	23.3%	0	CHW @ CLE 6:40 PM ET Final L
74	Dane Myers	3/3	LAD @ CIN		Tarik Skubal RHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.84	Hits	0.5	-152	39.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	60.3%	6.3%	1	LAD @ CIN 6:40 PM ET Final W
75	Rafael Devers ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SF @ STL		Quinn Mathews LHB vs LHP ERA 4.11	Hits	0.5	-157	38.9	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	61.1%	5.6%	N/A	SF @ STL 7:45 PM ET Final

Showing 51–75 of 150 plays

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