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Strong Plays Record
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← Sep 16 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-09-16 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
308
Total Found
198
Shown
198
Actionable
10
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
51 Mauricio Dubon 3/3 ATL @ CHC SS TBD Hits 1.5 +260 72.2 1, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
27.8% 38.9% 2
ATL @ CHC
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
52 Eli White
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BOS @ TEX TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +258 72.1 0, 1, 3
2/3
66.7%
27.9% 38.7% N/A
BOS @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
53 Joc Pederson
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 BOS @ TEX TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +252 71.6 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
28.4% 38.3% N/A
BOS @ TEX
8:05 PM ET
Final
54 Christopher Morel
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 BAL @ NYM TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +250 71.4 0, 1, 3
2/3
66.7%
28.6% 38.1% N/A
BAL @ NYM
7:00 PM ET
Final
55 Drake Baldwin 3/3 ATL @ CHC DH TBD Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 0
ATL @ CHC
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
56 Jhonny Pereda
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 SEA @ LAA C TBD Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% N/A
SEA @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
57 Josh Naylor 3/3 SEA @ LAA 1B TBD Hits 1.5 +240 70.6 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
29.4% 37.3% 2
SEA @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
W
58 Owen Caissie
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIA @ ARI TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +234 70.1 0, 1, 2
2/3
66.7%
29.9% 36.7% N/A
MIA @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
59 Randy Arozarena 3/3 SEA @ LAA LF TBD Hits 1.5 +230 69.7 1, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
30.3% 36.4% 1
SEA @ LAA
9:38 PM ET
Final
L
60 Daylen Lile 3/3 PHI @ WSH TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +226 69.3 3, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
30.7% 36.0% 0
PHI @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
61 Brice Turang 3/3 MIL @ PIT 2B TBD Hits 1.5 +220 68.7 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
31.3% 35.4% 1
MIL @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
62 Cole Carrigg 3/3 SD @ COL CF TBD Hits 1.5 +220 68.7 4, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
31.3% 35.4% 0
SD @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
63 Connor Norby
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SD @ COL DH TBD Hits 1.5 +220 68.7 2, 3, 1
2/3
66.7%
31.3% 35.4% 1
SD @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
64 Lars Nootbaar 3/3 MIA @ ARI LF TBD Hits 1.5 +220 68.7 0, 3, 2
2/3
66.7%
31.3% 35.4% 0
MIA @ ARI
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
65 Michael Harris II 3/3 ATL @ CHC CF TBD Hits 1.5 +220 68.7 0, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
31.3% 35.4% 1
ATL @ CHC
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
66 TJ Rumfield
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 SD @ COL 1B TBD Hits 1.5 +220 68.7 2, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
31.3% 35.4% N/A
SD @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
67 Joey Ortiz 3/3 MIL @ PIT 3B TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +214 68.2 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
31.8% 34.8% 0
MIL @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
68 Alec Bohm 3/3 PHI @ WSH 1B TBD Hits 1.5 +200 66.7 1, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
33.3% 33.3% 2
PHI @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
W
69 Rafael Devers
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 SF @ STL TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +191 65.6 2, 4, 0
2/3
66.7%
34.4% 32.3% N/A
SF @ STL
1:15 PM ET
Final/10
70 Esmerlyn Valdez
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 MIL @ PIT TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +189 65.4 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
34.6% 32.1% N/A
MIL @ PIT
6:40 PM ET
Final
71 Teoscar Hernández
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAD @ CIN LF TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +162 61.8 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
38.2% 28.5% 0
LAD @ CIN
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
72 Jake McCarthy 3/3 SD @ COL LF TBD Hits 1.5 +160 61.5 2, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
38.5% 28.2% 0
SD @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
73 Ty France 3/3 SD @ COL 1B TBD Hits 1.5 +138 58.0 0, 3, 3
2/3
66.7%
42.0% 24.6% 1
SD @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
74 Jackson Merrill 3/3 SD @ COL CF TBD Hits 1.5 +135 57.4 2, 3, 1
2/3
66.7%
42.6% 24.1% 3
SD @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
W
75 Ty France 3/3 SD @ COL 1B TBD Runs Batted In 0.5 +107 51.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
48.3% 18.4% 2
SD @ COL
8:40 PM ET
Final
W
Showing 51–75 of 198 plays