Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-09-19 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

327

Total Found

219

Shown

219

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
1	Jake Cronenworth ELITE	3/3	MIA @ SD	2B	Eury Pérez LHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 4.17	Hits	1.5	+375	128.9	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	21.1%	78.9%	1	MIA @ SD 8:40 PM ET Final/10 L
2	Pete Alonso ELITE	3/3	MIL @ BAL		Robert Gasser RHB vs LHP ERA 4.01	Home Runs	0.5	+300	125.0	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	25.0%	75.0%	0	MIL @ BAL 4:05 PM ET Final L
3	Jackson Merrill ELITE	3/3	MIA @ SD	CF	Eury Pérez LHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 4.17	Hits	0.5	+275	123.3	1, 1, 3	3/3 100.0%	26.7%	73.3%	1	MIA @ SD 8:40 PM ET Final/10 W
4	Kevin McGonigle ELITE	3/3	DET @ CWS	3B	TBD	Hits	1.5	+240	120.6	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	29.4%	70.6%	1	DET @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
5	Samad Taylor ELITE	3/3	MIA @ SD	LF	Eury Pérez RHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 4.17	Hits	1.5	+240	120.6	2, 2, 2	3/3 100.0%	29.4%	70.6%	1	MIA @ SD 8:40 PM ET Final/10 L
6	Brett Harris ELITE	3/3	SF @ LAD	1B	Tarik Skubal RHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.85	Hits	0.5	+220	118.8	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	31.3%	68.8%	1	SF @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final W
7	Dustin Harris ELITE	3/3	MIA @ SD	LF	Eury Pérez LHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 4.17	Hits	1.5	+180	114.3	2, 3, 2	3/3 100.0%	35.7%	64.3%	1	MIA @ SD 8:40 PM ET Final/10 L
8	Gabriel Moreno	3/3	NYY @ ARI	DH	Cam Schlittler RHB vs RHP Ace 95% ERA 1.94	Home Runs	0.5	+2000	95.2	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	4.8%	61.9%	0	NYY @ ARI 8:10 PM ET Final L
9	John Rave ELITE	3/3	KC @ PIT	CF	Bubba Chandler LHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 4.34	Hits	0.5	-135	92.6	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	57.4%	42.6%	1	KC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final W
10	Jackson Merrill	3/3	MIA @ SD	CF	Eury Pérez LHB vs RHP Replacement 4% ERA 4.17	Runs Batted In	0.5	+1200	92.3	1, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	7.7%	59.0%	0	MIA @ SD 8:40 PM ET Final/10 L
11	Walker Jenkins	3/3	MIN @ LAA	CF	Reid Detmers LHB vs LHP Average 51% ERA 3.47	Home Runs	0.5	+1100	91.7	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	8.3%	58.3%	0	MIN @ LAA 9:38 PM ET Final/11 L
12	Spencer Torkelson ELITE	3/3	DET @ CWS	1B	TBD	Hits	0.5	-141	91.5	2, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	58.5%	41.5%	0	DET @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
13	Brandon Lowe	3/3	KC @ PIT	2B	Noah Cameron LHB vs LHP Average 42% ERA 3.92	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	2, 1, 2	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	2	KC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final W
14	Konnor Griffin	3/3	KC @ PIT	SS	Noah Cameron RHB vs LHP Average 42% ERA 3.92	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	90.0	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	10.0%	56.7%	0	KC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
15	Michael Massey	3/3	KC @ PIT	2B	Bubba Chandler LHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 4.34	Home Runs	0.5	+850	89.5	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	10.5%	56.1%	0	KC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
16	Justin Crawford ELITE ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	PHI @ NYM	CF	Christian Scott LHB vs RHP ERA 3.85	Hits	0.5	-157	88.9	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	61.1%	38.9%	0	PHI @ NYM 4:10 PM ET Final L
17	Brayan Rocchio	3/3	OAK @ CLE	SS	Jacob Lopez S vs LHP ERA 5.68	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	88.9	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	1	ATH @ CLE 6:10 PM ET Final L
18	Hao-Yu Lee ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	DET @ CWS		TBD	Home Runs	0.5	+800	88.9	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	DET @ CHW 2:10 PM ET Final L
19	Kyle Tucker	3/3	SF @ LAD	RF	Yunior Marte LHB vs RHP ERA 4.66	Home Runs	0.5	+800	88.9	1, 1, 0	2/3 66.7%	11.1%	55.6%	0	SF @ LAD 9:10 PM ET Final L
20	Travis Bazzana	3/3	OAK @ CLE	2B	Jacob Lopez LHB vs LHP ERA 5.68	Home Runs	0.5	+700	87.5	1, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	12.5%	54.2%	0	ATH @ CLE 6:10 PM ET Final L
21	Vinnie Pasquantino ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	KC @ PIT	1B	Bubba Chandler LHB vs RHP Weak 28% ERA 4.34	Home Runs	0.5	+650	86.7	1, 0, 1	2/3 66.7%	13.3%	53.3%	0	KC @ PIT 6:40 PM ET Final L
22	Joey Ortiz ELITE	3/3	MIL @ BAL	3B	Trevor Rogers RHB vs LHP Average 34% ERA 4.07	Hits	0.5	-180	85.7	1, 1, 1	3/3 100.0%	64.3%	35.7%	1	MIL @ BAL 4:05 PM ET Final W
23	Jeremiah Jackson	3/3	MIL @ BAL		Robert Gasser RHB vs LHP ERA 4.01	Home Runs	0.5	+600	85.7	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	MIL @ BAL 4:05 PM ET Final L
24	Jhonny Pereda ⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games	Out 3/3	SEA @ COL	C	Jose Quintana RHB vs LHP ERA 5.40	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	2, 0, 2	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	N/A	SEA @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final
25	Josh Naylor	3/3	SEA @ COL	1B	Jose Quintana LHB vs LHP ERA 5.40	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	85.7	2, 2, 0	2/3 66.7%	14.3%	52.4%	0	SEA @ COL 8:10 PM ET Final L

Showing 1–25 of 219 plays

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