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Strong Plays Record
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← Sep 25 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-09-25 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
325
Total Found
289
Shown
289
Actionable
68
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
226 Geraldo Perdomo 3/3 ARI @ SD SS TBD Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 3, 0, 3
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% 2
ARI @ SD
9:40 PM ET
Final
W
227 Jose Fermin 3/3 STL @ MIL LF
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.01
Hits 0.5 -155 39.2 0, 2, 2
2/3
66.7%
60.8% 5.9% 0
STL @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
228 Javier Baez
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
Missed 2/3 PIT @ DET SS
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.34
Hits 0.5 -156 39.1 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.9% 5.7% N/A
PIT @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
229 Sean Keys
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CIN @ TOR PR
LHB vs LHP
ERA 5.04
Hits 0.5 -156 39.1 1, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
60.9% 5.7% N/A
CIN @ TOR
7:07 PM ET
Final
230 Rafael Devers
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 LAD @ SF
LHB vs LHP
Good 78%
ERA 2.85
Hits 0.5 -157 38.9 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
61.1% 5.6% N/A
LAD @ SF
10:15 PM ET
Final
231 Brandon Lowe 3/3 PIT @ DET 2B
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.98
Hits 0.5 -158 38.8 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
61.2% 5.4% 0
PIT @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
L
232 CJ Abrams 3/3 NYM @ WSH TBD Hits 0.5 -159 38.6 1, 2, 0
2/3
66.7%
61.4% 5.3% 1
NYM @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
W
233 Joc Pederson
⚠ Hasn't played in last 3 games
Out 3/3 TEX @ MIN
LHB vs RHP
Average 44%
ERA 3.83
Hits 0.5 -159 38.6 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
61.4% 5.3% N/A
TEX @ MIN
8:10 PM ET
Final
234 Jake Bauers 3/3 STL @ MIL 1B
LHB vs RHP
Weak 18%
ERA 3.84
Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 2, 0, 1
2/3
66.7%
61.5% 5.1% 1
STL @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
235 Vaughn Grissom 3/3 LAA @ SEA 1B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.99
Hits 0.5 -160 38.5 0, 2, 3
2/3
66.7%
61.5% 5.1% 2
LAA @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
W
236 A.J. Ewing 3/3 NYM @ WSH CF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.17
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% 0
NYM @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
L
237 Ceddanne Rafaela
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CHC @ BOS CF
RHB vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 4.96
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% N/A
CHC @ BOS
1:05 PM ET
Final
238 Ceddanne Rafaela
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 CHC @ BOS CF
RHB vs LHP
Weak 22%
ERA 4.96
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% N/A
CHC @ BOS
5:30 PM ET
Final
239 Cooper Pratt
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 STL @ MIL SS
RHB vs RHP
Weak 18%
ERA 3.84
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 2, 0, 2
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% 0
STL @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
240 Dominic Canzone 3/3 LAA @ SEA RF
LHB vs LHP
Average 51%
ERA 3.47
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% 3
LAA @ SEA
10:10 PM ET
Final
W
241 Dylan Crews 3/3 NYM @ WSH TBD Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% 1
NYM @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
W
242 Joey Ortiz 3/3 STL @ MIL 3B
RHB vs RHP
Weak 18%
ERA 3.84
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% 2
STL @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
243 Luis Lara
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 STL @ MIL RF
S vs RHP
Weak 18%
ERA 3.84
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% 0
STL @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
244 Ryan O'Hearn 3/3 PIT @ DET DH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 3.98
Hits 0.5 -165 37.7 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
62.3% 4.4% 2
PIT @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
245 James Wood 3/3 NYM @ WSH TBD Hits 0.5 -170 37.0 0, 1, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.0% 3.7% 2
NYM @ WSH
6:45 PM ET
Final
W
246 JJ Wetherholt 3/3 STL @ MIL 2B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.01
Hits 0.5 -173 36.6 2, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
63.4% 3.3% 0
STL @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
L
247 Alec Burleson 3/3 STL @ MIL 1B
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.01
Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% 1
STL @ MIL
7:40 PM ET
Final
W
248 Dillon Dingler
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
2/3 PIT @ DET C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 28%
ERA 4.34
Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% 1
PIT @ DET
6:40 PM ET
Final
W
249 Matt Olson 3/3 ATL @ MIA 1B
LHB vs RHP
Replacement 4%
ERA 4.14
Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 0, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% 0
ATL @ MIA
7:10 PM ET
Final
L
250 Pedro Ramirez 3/3 CHC @ BOS 3B
S vs RHP
ERA 4.49
Hits 0.5 -175 36.4 1, 1, 0
2/3
66.7%
63.6% 3.0% 0
CHC @ BOS
1:05 PM ET
Final
L
Showing 226–250 of 289 plays