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Strong Plays Record
1D 7D 14D 30D |
← Sep 13 – Sep 26 →
Wins
0
Losses
0
Win %
0%
Pending
0
Record based on top 6 NBA + top 6 MLB plays daily, ranked by strong plays score.
⭐ Strong Plays
2026-09-26 🧠 Context → 📚 History →
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Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1  ·  HR ≥ 1  ·  RBI ≥ 1  ·  K ≥ 4  ·  SB ≥ 1    Top Plays   Last 3   Last 4   Last 5
Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.
251
Total Found
186
Shown
186
Actionable
30
Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)
# Action Player Active Matchup Pos vs Pitcher Stat Line Odds Score Last 3 Games Hit Rate Implied % Edge % Actual Game
1 Joe Mack ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 ATL @ MIA
LHB vs LHP
ERA 3.48
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +333 126.9 1, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 23.1% 76.9% N/A
ATL @ MIA
4:10 PM ET
Final
2 Gabriel Moreno ELITE 3/3 ARI @ SD DH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.56
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +244 120.9 1, 3, 1
3/3
100.0%
 29.1% 70.9% 1
ARI @ SD
8:40 PM ET
Final
W
3 Nolan Arenado ELITE 3/3 ARI @ SD 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.56
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +206 117.3 2, 3, 1
3/3
100.0%
 32.7% 67.3% 1
ARI @ SD
8:40 PM ET
Final
W
4 Fernando Tatis Jr. ELITE 3/3 ARI @ SD RF TBD Hits 1.5 +204 117.1 2, 2, 3
3/3
100.0%
 32.9% 67.1% 0
ARI @ SD
8:40 PM ET
Final
L
5 CJ Abrams ELITE 3/3 NYM @ WSH
LHB vs RHP
ERA 4.21
 Runs Batted In 0.5 +180 114.3 2, 1, 3
3/3
100.0%
 35.7% 64.3% 0
NYM @ WSH
12:35 PM ET
Final
L
6 Alejandro Kirk ELITE 3/3 CIN @ TOR C
RHB vs RHP
Weak 13%
ERA 6.01
 Hits 0.5 +125 105.6 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 44.4% 55.6% 0
CIN @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
L
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ELITE 3/3 CIN @ TOR DH
RHB vs RHP
Weak 13%
ERA 6.01
 Hits 0.5 +120 104.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 45.5% 54.5% 0
CIN @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
L
8 Nathan Lukes ELITE 3/3 CIN @ TOR RF
LHB vs RHP
Weak 13%
ERA 6.01
 Hits 0.5 +110 102.4 2, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 47.6% 52.4% 0
CIN @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
L
9 Ethan Salas ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 ARI @ SD C TBD Hits 0.5 +101 100.2 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 49.8% 50.2% 2
ARI @ SD
8:40 PM ET
Final
W
10 Cedric Mullins ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 TB @ PHI PH TBD Hits 0.5 +100 100.0 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 50.0% 50.0% 1
TB @ PHI
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
11 Brett Baty ELITE 3/3 NYM @ WSH 1B
LHB vs LHP
Average 34%
ERA 3.44
 Hits 0.5 -113 96.9 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 53.1% 46.9% 0
NYM @ WSH
12:35 PM ET
Final
L
12 David Fry ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CLE @ KC 1B
RHB vs RHP
Good 73%
ERA 3.33
 Hits 0.5 -120 95.5 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 54.5% 45.5% N/A
CLE @ KC
7:10 PM ET
Final
13 Matt McLain ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 CIN @ TOR 2B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.67
 Hits 0.5 -120 95.5 1, 2, 1
3/3
100.0%
 54.5% 45.5% 0
CIN @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
L
14 Jose Trevino ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 CIN @ TOR
RHB vs RHP
ERA 3.67
 Hits 0.5 -134 92.7 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 57.3% 42.7% N/A
CIN @ TOR
3:07 PM ET
Final
15 Andres Chaparro ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 NYM @ WSH
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.21
 Hits 0.5 -136 92.4 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 57.6% 42.4% N/A
NYM @ WSH
12:35 PM ET
Final
16 Will Smith ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 LAD @ SF C
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.65
 Hits 0.5 -140 91.7 3, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 58.3% 41.7% 1
LAD @ SF
4:05 PM ET
Final
W
17 Nolan Arenado ELITE 3/3 ARI @ SD 3B
RHB vs RHP
ERA 4.56
 Hits 0.5 -148 90.3 1, 3, 1
3/3
100.0%
 59.7% 40.3% 1
ARI @ SD
8:40 PM ET
Final
W
18 Jonny DeLuca ELITE 3/3 TB @ PHI CF TBD Hits 0.5 -150 90.0 1, 1, 3
3/3
100.0%
 60.0% 40.0% 1
TB @ PHI
7:15 PM ET
Final
W
19 Nick Loftin ELITE
⚠ Missed 2 of last 3
 Missed 2/3 CLE @ KC
RHB vs RHP
Weak 23%
ERA 4.35
 Hits 0.5 -150 90.0 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.0% 40.0% N/A
CLE @ KC
7:10 PM ET
Final
20 Christian Moore 3/3 LAA @ SEA 2B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 4.18
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +900 90.0 3, 3, 0
2/3
66.7%
 10.0% 56.7% 0
LAA @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
21 Agustin Ramirez ELITE 3/3 ATL @ MIA DH
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.48
 Hits 0.5 -155 89.2 1, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 60.8% 39.2% 1
ATL @ MIA
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
22 Wade Meckler ELITE 3/3 LAA @ SEA LF
LHB vs LHP
ERA 4.18
 Hits 0.5 -155 89.2 4, 2, 2
3/3
100.0%
 60.8% 39.2% 0
LAA @ SEA
9:40 PM ET
Final
L
23 Luke Keaschall 3/3 TEX @ MIN RF
RHB vs RHP
Average 58%
ERA 4.27
 Runs Batted In 1.5 +800 88.9 3, 2, 1
2/3
66.7%
 11.1% 55.6% 0
TEX @ MIN
4:10 PM ET
Final
L
24 Javier Sanoja ELITE 3/3 ATL @ MIA SS
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.48
 Hits 0.5 -160 88.5 2, 1, 2
3/3
100.0%
 61.5% 38.5% 2
ATL @ MIA
4:10 PM ET
Final
W
25 Joey Ortiz ELITE
⚠ Missed 1 of last 3
 2/3 STL @ MIL 3B
RHB vs LHP
ERA 3.65
 Hits 0.5 -165 87.7 2, 1, 1
3/3
100.0%
 62.3% 37.7% N/A
STL @ MIL
7:10 PM ET
Final
Showing 1–25 of 186 plays
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