Strong Plays — PlayTakers

Strong Plays Record

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Wins

Losses

Win %

Pending

⭐ Strong Plays

2026-10-03 🧠 Context → 📚 History →

Thresholds (2 of 3): H ≥ 1 · HR ≥ 1 · RBI ≥ 1 · K ≥ 4 · SB ≥ 1 Top Plays Last 3 Last 4 Last 5

Methodology: Strong Plays surfaces player props where recent performance consistently beats the current market line. It pulls each player's last 3 game logs, compares actual stats against the best available sportsbook line, and flags plays with a meaningful edge.

Hit Rate = how many of the last 3 games the player cleared the line (e.g. 3/3 = 100%).
Edge % = hit-rate percentage minus the implied probability from the over odds. A positive edge means the player is clearing the line more often than the market expects.
Actionable plays have both a valid edge and hit rate. Elite plays require ≥ 10% edge and a perfect 3/3 hit rate.

147

Total Found

Shown

Actionable

Elite (10%+ Edge, 3/3)

#	Player	Active	Matchup	Pos	vs Pitcher	Stat	Line	Odds	Score	Last 3 Games	Hit Rate	Implied %	Edge %	Actual	Game
51	Jonny DeLuca	3/3	NYY @ TB	CF	Gerrit Cole RHB vs RHP ERA 3.61	Runs	1.5	+1500	43.7	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	6.3%	27.1%	0	NYY @ TB 6:30 PM ET Final L
52	Ty France	3/3	SD @ MIL	1B	Jacob Misiorowski RHB vs RHP Ace 97% ERA 1.80	Runs	1.5	+1500	43.7	1, 1, 2	1/3 33.3%	6.3%	27.1%	0	SD @ MIL 8:30 PM ET Final L
53	Michael Harris II	3/3	ATL @ LAD	CF	Tarik Skubal LHB vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.72	Runs	1.5	+1300	42.9	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	7.1%	26.2%	0	ATL @ LAD 4:00 PM ET Final L
54	Munetaka Murakami	3/3	CWS @ CLE	1B	Parker Messick LHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.56	Runs	1.5	+1300	42.9	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	7.1%	26.2%	1	CHW @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Final L
55	Spencer Jones	3/3	NYY @ TB	RF	Drew Rasmussen LHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 2.67	Runs	1.5	+1300	42.9	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	7.1%	26.2%	0	NYY @ TB 6:30 PM ET Final L
56	Chase Meidroth	3/3	CWS @ CLE	2B	Parker Messick RHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.56	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1100	41.7	3, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	8.3%	25.0%	0	CHW @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Final L
57	Miguel Vargas	3/3	CWS @ CLE	3B	Parker Messick RHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.56	Runs	1.5	+1100	41.7	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	8.3%	25.0%	1	CHW @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Final L
58	Ozzie Albies	3/3	ATL @ LAD	2B	Tarik Skubal S vs LHP Good 78% ERA 2.72	Runs	1.5	+1100	41.7	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	8.3%	25.0%	1	ATL @ LAD 4:00 PM ET Final L
59	Brayan Rocchio ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	SS	TBD	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1000	40.9	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	9.1%	24.2%	0	CHW @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Final L
60	Brenton Doyle ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	CF	Parker Messick RHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.56	Runs Batted In	1.5	+1000	40.9	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	9.1%	24.2%	0	CHW @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Final L
61	Fernando Tatis Jr.	3/3	SD @ MIL	RF	Jacob Misiorowski RHB vs RHP Ace 97% ERA 1.80	Runs	1.5	+1000	40.9	0, 3, 1	1/3 33.3%	9.1%	24.2%	0	SD @ MIL 8:30 PM ET Final L
62	Jo Adell	3/3	CWS @ CLE	DH	TBD	Runs	1.5	+1000	40.9	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	9.1%	24.2%	0	CHW @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Final L
63	Gavin Sheets ⚠ Missed 2 of last 3	Missed 2/3	SD @ MIL	DH	Jacob Misiorowski LHB vs RHP Ace 97% ERA 1.80	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	40.0	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	10.0%	23.3%	N/A	SD @ MIL 8:30 PM ET Final
64	Jackson Merrill	3/3	SD @ MIL	CF	Jacob Misiorowski LHB vs RHP Ace 97% ERA 1.80	Runs Batted In	1.5	+900	40.0	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	10.0%	23.3%	0	SD @ MIL 8:30 PM ET Final L
65	Andrew Benintendi ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	DH	Parker Messick LHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.56	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	1, 0, 3	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	N/A	CHW @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Final
66	Ben Rice	3/3	NYY @ TB	DH	Drew Rasmussen LHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 2.67	Runs	1.5	+800	38.9	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0	NYY @ TB 6:30 PM ET Final L
67	Jonny DeLuca	3/3	NYY @ TB	CF	Gerrit Cole RHB vs RHP ERA 3.61	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	2, 0, 1	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0	NYY @ TB 6:30 PM ET Final L
68	Manny Machado	3/3	SD @ MIL	3B	Jacob Misiorowski RHB vs RHP Ace 97% ERA 1.80	Runs Batted In	1.5	+800	38.9	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	11.1%	22.2%	0	SD @ MIL 8:30 PM ET Final L
69	Ryan Vilade ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TB	RF	Gerrit Cole RHB vs RHP ERA 3.61	Hits	0.5	-160	38.5	0, 1, 1	2/3 66.7%	61.5%	5.1%	N/A	NYY @ TB 6:30 PM ET Final
70	Randal Grichuk ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	CWS @ CLE	LF	Parker Messick RHB vs LHP Average 64% ERA 2.56	Runs Batted In	1.5	+700	37.5	0, 2, 1	1/3 33.3%	12.5%	20.8%	0	CHW @ CLE 1:00 PM ET Final L
71	Jackson Chourio	3/3	SD @ MIL	LF	Robbie Ray RHB vs LHP Average 36% ERA 3.59	Runs Batted In	1.5	+600	35.7	2, 1, 1	1/3 33.3%	14.3%	19.0%	2	SD @ MIL 8:30 PM ET Final W
72	Austin Wells	3/3	NYY @ TB	C	Drew Rasmussen LHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 2.67	Hits	1.5	+550	34.6	1, 2, 0	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	1	NYY @ TB 6:30 PM ET Final L
73	Jackson Chourio	3/3	SD @ MIL	LF	Robbie Ray RHB vs LHP Average 36% ERA 3.59	Runs	1.5	+550	34.6	2, 1, 0	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	1	SD @ MIL 8:30 PM ET Final L
74	Taylor Walls ⚠ Missed 1 of last 3	2/3	NYY @ TB	SS	Gerrit Cole S vs RHP ERA 3.61	Hits	1.5	+550	34.6	1, 1, 3	1/3 33.3%	15.4%	17.9%	0	NYY @ TB 6:30 PM ET Final L
75	Ryan McMahon	3/3	NYY @ TB	3B	Drew Rasmussen LHB vs RHP Good 84% ERA 2.67	Hits	1.5	+500	33.3	1, 0, 2	1/3 33.3%	16.7%	16.7%	0	NYY @ TB 6:30 PM ET Final L

Showing 51–75 of 97 plays

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